Is anyone really that far behind on AI given that the newest open-source models are closing in on GPT4?

I agree, Apple needs to wait and see what team offers a good alternative to OpenAI and buy them, I hope they do not buy and close an open source friendly team.

>Apple can play since they control OS and hardware, but at the moment they appear pretty far behind in the AI aspect.

I disagree strongly with this, and it has everything to do with how we conceptualize AI.

I get in my car and plug in my iPhone. CarPlay immediately causes the Maps app to pop up and route me to my next meeting. I can say "hey siri, set a reminder to call Mr. Jones at 3:00" and she will gladly comply. If my buddy texts me while I'm driving to the meeting and asks if I'm free for golf tomorrow, she will automatically try to pin that on my calendar. I can throw out lots of examples here, but you get the idea.

Now granted, voice recognition in Siri has been pretty bad. She struggles with a lot of basic things, like putting on the music I request. But, there's no question in my mind that these augmented reality moments are where AI is actually making a difference in our lives and represent the actual business opportunity bridgeheads. In Apple's case, they not only already control the hardware (the phone, the watch, the earbuds, the tablet) but they've also figured out how to start bridging this into other hardware like a vehicle.

Conversely, I've recently had Apple software mess up in a whole bunch of different ways:

• Maps doesn't understand that I don't own a car, defaults to driving sometimes

• Autocorrupt rather than autocorrect

• Calendar suggestions only work for the simplest of dates, so it suggested an event for the wrong month

• One case where it seemed to think the only timezone in the world was California

(It's not all negatives: for me, Apple has the least wrong voice transcription AI, and I do like their computational photography and definitely the ability to select text in images and Safari's website translation — but even then I don't think they're way ahead of the rest with these things, and website translation was definitely behind).

The impressive ML is ML that’s part of daily life. Even as I tap on this iPhone’s keyboard, button regions (tappable, not visible) slightly change in size depending on what it predicts the next letter would be. No one calls this “AI” yet it’s the same tech, and arguably more beneficial for the society as a whole than “AI” as a dedicated commercial service purpose-built to launder copyrighted creative works for profit (which is what AI is in the eyes of an ordinary person these days).

And yet the iPhone keyboard has gotten worse than it was a few years ago. I used an iPhone 8 years ago, and when I got an SE last year the keyboard was too smart, and so I disabled all the AI features.

Adjusting invisible tappable key regions, swipe typing, etc., these are based on ML even if you disable predictive typing and other settings though.

I suggest you try the assistant features on a Pixel 8 Pro. They have all the features you mentioned (except the creepy eavesdropping golf one) and the interaction is miles ahead, especially the text to speech.

I do not have any Android products, I only use Google Assistant through my Sonos speakers. Do you know if that code is different from that on the Pixel? (Because my experience of Google Assistant is long from good/useful, it struggles with basic tasks, I have to overpronounce to be sure it can differentiate “lights on” from “lights off”, etc etc.)

I don't know, because I haven't used Sonos for this purpose. But it's easy to imagine that a mobile handset with an array of microphones that you tend to hold near yourself would be more suited at the hardware level.

OpenAI has close ties to Microsoft and we've already seen them integrate AI into Bing; MS may not be a player in phones but they make a major OS and some of the best hardware money can buy. I'm really not convinced vertical integration matters all that much, but if it does, they can do it.

Unsurprisingly, they already integrated OpenAI into Windows. You can ask it questions and pass it files.

I'm expecting:

* Microsoft to do it for business users

* Google pixie does it first for personal use. Android phones might even momentarily be more desirable than iphone

* Apple eventually get there, for their walled garden

* Amazon etc fall totally behind

* And, years later, users of google docs are still waiting for basic AI help writing docs whilst google completely doesn't try in that space

I know that I'm part of a minority, but I'll avoid touching an "AI" enabled smartphone as long as possible. All privacy issues and tech issues aside, so far I have simply not found a single use case in which AI-tools would make my life easier.

AI would be much better at code _review_ than code generation.

AI would be much better at auto-completing whole sentences and paragraphs and suggesting rephrasing etc in docs and presentations, than at answering questions about the world.

But the race seems to be to answer questions about the world based on a 2021 dump of the internet, so ... :)

Oh, as a tool I see a ton of use: personally for image processing (sharpening, noise reduction) even if I can perfectly live without it, professionally I see a ton of potential use in optimizing planning (supply chain, production, scheduling, netwrok planning...) by proposing scenarios and supporting the people doing said planning. I don't need AI to search the internet for me, summarize a book (if it is worth or important enough for me, I just read it) or all the other stuff AI currently is doing.

As for privacy - Apple does most, if not all AI processing on-device. E.g. Siri understands voice commands when offline (although may work worse then I think).

A good on-device assistant would be super useful: - instead of searching for a setting, you just tell it to change a device setting - decent appointment/reminder setting ("remind me to invite joe to my next birthday party" -> and it knows who Joe is, and how to set up such a reminder) - all kinds of search ("what was that book about startups that someone recommended to me a year ago?", "open up a tracking page for that thing I ordered last week", "show me a photo of XX I took last summer") - managing e-mails the way old-school secretaries did - "any important messages?", or "reply to everyone I'm out of office, unless it's related to X"

As I said, while this is usefull for others, I have zero need for any of this. Settings? I know where to find those. Setting alerts? Use the standard calendar and timer apps. Internet search? Type it.

I make a point to not share my search history with anyobe, or any other data as much as possible. And I wont start doing so to enable some AI gadget I am more than happy to live without.

I think it will be more like:

"Pixie, reply to that email for me"

"Pixie, book that car service for me and remind them they promised a free brake fluid replacement"

"Pixie order all the ingredients I need to make my wife her favourite dish"

"Pixel, buy everyone in my family birthday presents"

I will 100% pay for that capability, and as someone that uses GPT4 to basically do my job for me, it really does not seem that far off. And I do think Google has an advantage here over Apple or anyone else, not just in Hardware, but in the enormous amount of data and information they have about both people in general, and specifically me.

I won't let any AI read my e-mails, let alone reply to them. I discuss car services when I drop of the car at the workshop, and the workshop confirms the details. I don't want an AI to know anyones favorite dish, and delivery services suck for fresh ingredients anyway. And I think about presents before buying them, that is a crucial bit of gifting things to people, especially if you care about them.

By the way, if I would use ChatGPT for my job, let alone letting it do for me, I'd be fired, worst case go to jail. And even if not, what would prevent my employer from firing me anyway if a basically free to use web service can do it at the same level I can?

I think you'll find yourself in the minority soon.

My grandma said, "I won't send any email through a computer, I prefer to write it by hand and have it delivered by a human being".

Although maybe it will be even weirder with AI assistants sending birthday greetings to other people's AI assistants and then your AI assistant summarizing who sent you birthday greetings.

The fact is the next generation moves on and uses new tools. I don't think AI will replace our jobs but people who are good at their jobs can, with the help of AI, outcompete people who are just good at their jobs but don't use AI.

The parent you were replying to may currently be able to automate what they are doing with the help of AI but I don't think that will last long as jobs end up requiring a mix of human and AI capabilities.

Replying to email is one thing - a pita to implement securely.

But reading? On-premise? You already allow basic algorithms to read your mail, for spam control and whenever you search through your messages. Having a better algorithm (as long as it's still on device) has no difference in terms of safety.

I can see it being wildly popular. Especially if it can edit photos.

Phone, remove the blemish from this picture.

Phone, make my hair slightly more red, and my waist thinner by one inch.

Phone, tell me who that guy in the background of my pictures is.

Phone, what time do I need to leave to get coffee on my way to work.

Those sorts of things.

Just to be that picky guy; > Android phones might even momentarily be more desirable than iphone

Most of the world is already there, and it's not momentary. iPhones only dominate the market in North America - Android has the majority basically everywhere else

As for docs, I can see them pushing for more Gemini integration depending on how M$ Copilot goes when it reaches saturation

> Just to be that picky guy; > Android phones might even momentarily be more desirable than iphone

> Most of the world is already there, and it's not momentary. iPhones only dominate the market in North America - Android has the majority basically everywhere else

Market share is not necessarily proportional to desirability. Cars make a useful analogy here. I think a Ferrari is more desirable than a Volkswagen, but Volkswagen’s market share is much higher.

Android is there because it’s what the cheapest devices use and most of the world does not want to pay even iPhone SE pricing. That’s relevant because the play described of making the Pixel lineup more compelling will hit the same problem if it’s tied to more capable hardware which is outside of the budget for many people.