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Re:Predict the next frame. Results of training a transformer... by gwern on Tuesday December 05, 2023 @02:02PM (#38535399)
That pretty much already exists. Look at DeepMind's Gato: all tasks and modalities are simply sequences of tokens, everything from 'predict English text' to 'predict VAE image token sequences' to 'predict robotic arms commands and movements IRL'.
Re:Predict the next frame. Results of training a transformer... by cs702 on Tuesday December 05, 2023 @03:00PM (#38536178)
Ah, yes, I'd forgotten about Gato. Thank you for reminding me. There's so much research activity that the Gato paper feels as if it was published eons ago. There's only so much I can retain in my puny little human mind at once!

In any case, I'm not sure Gato qualifies as a "large" model with 1.2B parameters -- it's kinda right below the threshold at which it could or would start exhibiting emergent behaviors. Maybe a new Gato with 10's or 100's of billions of parameters operating in the physical world?

Re:Predict the next frame. Results of training a transformer... by gwern on Tuesday December 05, 2023 @05:16PM (#38537701)
Yes. Gato was a good proof-of-concept that the Decision Transformer approach of 'just model literally everything as a sequence' scales well and doesn't exhibit some sort of catastrophic interference and can successfully imitation-learn from all the expert datasets, and a bit of transfer. But they need to push it at least another OOM or 2 to show major transfer, some emergences, and ideally do both from-scratch learning and additional learning on many new tasks. We continue to wait. :(

I hope it didn't all get rolled up into Gemini and become a state secret they'll never publish on again, or lost in the shuffle in the chaos of the DeepMind/Brain merger/liquidation.

Re:Predict the next frame. Results of training a transformer... by cs702 on Tuesday December 05, 2023 @06:05PM (#38538188)
> ...lost in the shuffle in the chaos of the DeepMind/Brain merger/liquidation

That's the most likely explanation, in my view.

Re:Predict the next frame. Results of training a transformer... by jerpint on Tuesday December 05, 2023 @02:29PM (#38535755)
GATO was heavily biased towards tasks in a simple simulator, but didn’t exhibit emergent behaviours