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A comment on $10M AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize. Parent comment

Re:$10M AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize by queuebert on Monday November 27, 2023 @11:40AM (#38434458)
While I get your point and agree, there apparently is no Dunning-Kruger effect. It was determined to be yet another case of faulty data analysis in behavioral psych.[1]

1. https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-k...

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Re:$10M AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize by lupire on Monday November 27, 2023 @11:43AM (#38434497)
That paper was thoroughly rebutted when posted to HN.

But Gwern has written about some earlier debunkings of the D-K effect, ad furthermore D-K was never about the popular misconception of D-K ("incompetent people think they are more competent than competent people").

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Re:$10M AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize by alecco on Monday November 27, 2023 @01:35PM (#38436217)
I don't think that's a mainstream take. But I can settle with:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overconfidence_effect

Or even

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grandiose_delusions

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Re:$10M AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize by queuebert on Monday November 27, 2023 @07:52PM (#38440835)
That first article cites more behavioral psych research, which has the absolute worst track record of data analysis. After so many retractions and scandals, I find it difficult to know what to believe anymore.
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