I think that those tools not seeking the spotlight might also be at risk. I'm fairly sure some of these tools have a 'twin' that has found success by securing early adopters and has become the de-facto tool for 'X' job, largely due to marketing.
Very plausible.
Still it feels like there’s way more problems that software hasn’t quite solved yet that LLMs may only go near.
What risk? Most of those tools are created by inexperienced people that will only notice how bad it was in the future (and they will fail to achieve the same success with much better products later)
Replicability isn’t the only part of value.
Solving a valuable problem is. What about the tools quietly moving mountains and not seeking the spotlight?
Most customers of software are not in the software development space.