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Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by bondarchuk on Thursday November 02, 2023 @12:46PM (#38116334)
>Every time I see Yudkowsky’s writing I wonder why people take him seriously.

Because he identified the potential risk of superhuman AI 20 years before almost everyone else. Sure, science fiction also identified that risk (as people here seem eager to point out), but he identified it as an actual real-world risk and has been trying to take real-world action on it for 20 years. No matter what else you think about him or the specifics of his ideas, for me that counts for something.

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by throwaway9274 on Thursday November 02, 2023 @01:06PM (#38116671)
Twenty years ago was 2003. There are dozens of examples of AI x-risk thought experiments dating back to 1960.

As far as I can tell, all he did was open a forum for people to write fanfic about these earlier ideas.

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by bondarchuk on Thursday November 02, 2023 @01:29PM (#38117077)
I opened the lesswrong homepage through archive.org on an arbitrary date in 2010, where I found a post about raising $100000 for a grant program. Most of that went towards papers and fellowships at the singularity institute AFAICT.

https://web.archive.org/web/20100304171507/http://lesswrong....

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by dghlsakjg on Thursday November 02, 2023 @12:56PM (#38116494)
Hal 9000, the malevolent AI in 2001: a space Odyssey, was in one of the most respected films of all time three years before Yudkowsky was born.

Plenty of people have been beating that drum for years.

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by bondarchuk on Thursday November 02, 2023 @01:19PM (#38116901)
I addressed science fiction in my comment. The crucial difference is taking it seriously and actually trying to do something tangible about slowing/stopping AI progress, which is not something Stanley Kubrick did.
Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by dghlsakjg on Thursday November 02, 2023 @11:17PM (#38124033)
You edited the comment after I posted.

Your original made no mention of sci-fi, and made it sound as if no one had imagined a malicious AI before yudkowski

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by bondarchuk on Friday November 03, 2023 @04:28AM (#38125943)
I did not edit my comment.

(edit: you can see that https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38116456 responds to the scifi part of my comment as well and was posted before yours https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38116494 (if my assumption that ids are chronological is correct))

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by oceanplexian on Thursday November 02, 2023 @03:17PM (#38118599)
Mary Shelly wrote about the same philosophical issue in 1818 when she wrote Frankenstein. My take is that AI influencers don’t read a lot of books, because if they did they’d have much more intelligent commentary.
Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by ben_w on Thursday November 02, 2023 @07:32PM (#38121919)
A Frankenstein's creation scenario would be a fantastic win in AI. Extremely smart, started off kind, only turned cruel when literally every single human he met was violently repulsed by the mere sight of him.

If you want AI gone wrong, Magician's Apprentice.

If you want misalignment between what you wanted and what you actually asked for, Greek myths, Midas or Tithonus would both suffice.

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by TeMPOraL on Thursday November 02, 2023 @05:53PM (#38120783)
Kubrick created a memorable character and a plot twist, but the movie itself wasn't meant to be a warning about AGI/ASI.

"${my favorite work of fiction} mentioned/alluded to it too!" does not make that work of fiction equivalent to a serious take on the topic in real-world context.

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by dghlsakjg on Thursday November 02, 2023 @11:16PM (#38124020)
The gp was edited.

It originally credited Mr. Yudkowsky with being the first person to imagine ai as a serious threat to humans, without mentioning that the trope existed in sci-fi, or mentioning sci-fi at all

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by TeMPOraL on Friday November 03, 2023 @08:01AM (#38127427)
I see, thanks for clarification.

The pre-edit text must've sounded funny, as from what I remember of Yudkowsky's writings, he frequently referenced old sci-fi tropes about or related to AI, commenting on their relevance and applicability in the real world.

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by earleybird on Thursday November 02, 2023 @10:28PM (#38123658)
Including Colossus: The Forbin Project; two years after 2001 (1968). In some ways, Colossus hits much closer than 2001 with respect to unfettered AI.
Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by daveguy on Thursday November 02, 2023 @01:33PM (#38117139)
A poorly premised fantasy fiction horror story about what might happen during the interaction between a super intelligence and its creator makes for a great story, but it's not a blueprint for the future, much less a pressing concern. Misuse of current AI is far more concerning than anything dreamt up about AGI.
Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by bondarchuk on Thursday November 02, 2023 @02:14PM (#38117776)
Yeah, for me EY's stories about an airgapped AI convincing their keepers to release it (or that other one about an AI destroying all humans because it's the most efficient way to make a gazillion paperclips) also miss the point. It's mostly the just the realization that superhuman AI might be dangerous through some kind of runaway feedback, as a very general idea, that I respect about EY's work.
Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by jonathankoren on Thursday November 02, 2023 @12:54PM (#38116456)
But it’s not a real world risk. Arguably, it’s even less of a real world risk because it’s a common sci-fi trope.

The whole concept is farcical.

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by ben_w on Thursday November 02, 2023 @01:05PM (#38116657)
"Hacking" is also a common sci-fi trope, I don't think you can infer much from it appearing in sci-fi beyond "it makes for good sci-fi".

As for real world risk… well, an AI with some kind of personality disorder might not be much of a realistic risk today, but even assuming it never is, there are still plenty of GOFAI that have gone wrong, either killing people directly when their bugs caused them to give patients lethal radiation doses, or nearly triggering WW3 because they weren't programmed to recognise the moon wasn't a Soviet bomber group, or causing economic catastrophes because the investors all reacted to the phrase "won the Nobel prize for economics" as a thought-terminating cliché, or categorising humans as gorillas if they had too much melanin[0], or promoted messages encouraging genocide to groups vulnerable to such messages thanks to a lack of oversight and a language barrier between platform owners and the messages in question.

[0] Asimov's three laws was a plot device, and most of the works famously show how they can go wrong. Genuine question as I've not read them all: did that kind of failure mode ever come up in his fiction?

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by bondarchuk on Thursday November 02, 2023 @02:09PM (#38117695)
>Arguably, it’s even less of a real world risk because it’s a common sci-fi trope.

It would be nice if the world worked that way. Then we could diminish any risk just by writing a lot of scifi about it :)

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by sdwr on Thursday November 02, 2023 @02:33PM (#38118004)
That's exactly how it works. Invest thought into it before it happens, then when it becomes an issue, there's already awareness and possibilities have been mapped out.
Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by TeMPOraL on Thursday November 02, 2023 @05:56PM (#38120818)
Unless, of course, people then call decades of slow awareness building a "Silicon Valley conspiracy" of "AI one-percenters", or equivalent, as witnessed in this very thread...