I know people who have already automated most of their own job and some colleagues through linking together disparate AI models. Think graphic designer at medium-sized law firm. Or copywriter at a scientific publisher. Those jobs are going, going, gone.
So as any model becomes widespread, people will become increasingly sensitive to the sameness of easy, simple prompts.
So the graphic designer at the law firm may lose their job tomorrow, but the law firm is going to have to hire a AI Image Technician in a few years so that their stuff looks like somebody actually invested in it (which matters to the law firm’s brand image or they’d not have a graphic designer in the first place).
So yeah, the job market will shuffle around, but it’s unclear what that means in net number of jobs or what share of AI Image Technicians will literally have just been Graphic Designers five years earlier.
Maybe I'm living under a rock, but I have serious doubts about this claim.
> Think graphic designer at medium-sized law firm. Or copywriter at a scientific publisher.
How is that even possible? Take the example of the graphic designer. You'd still need them to iterate on ideas, come up with different versions for different backgrounds, generate different file types depending on the medium and format, etc. Extremely skeptical of your claims.
Think about the scenario of a home, in case the homeowner is going on a vacation:
i) The homeowner talks to an A.I. assistant, and orders the agent, to open the windows every day automatically, and feed the dog. The A.I. agent may hallucinate, and do none of the tasks.
ii) The homeowner with the help of the A.I. assistant, will write a small program, to open the windows in the exact time he wishes, and with the right interval of hours, and feed the dog exactly that many times. That program will run correctly and deterministically till the end of the universe.
Complicated programming is not getting automated any time soon, maybe never. Simple programming tasks are going to be automated by humans, who lack formal C.S. training and use the statistical engines to complete some not so obvious tasks to them.