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Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by wolverine876 on Saturday September 30, 2023 @09:44PM (#37721758)
> Immigration from other cultures brings its own set of problems of course and may lead to major social and economic issues in these countries. Newly arriving immigrants frequently lack the education to be easily absorbed into a highly skilled workforce. It may take at least one generation or more to overcome this at great economic cost.

As far as I know, that's false:

The economic cost I'm pretty sure of: Research has shown (but I won't pretend I can cite it) that immigrants are net contributors. One (admittedly completely conjectured) explanation: Anyone motivated and healthy enough to travel to another country, where there's another language, with nothing but their shirt, is going to be very productive. Few people I know would do that.

A good friend's ancestor escaped a prison camp (political prisoner), traveled across a continent, and found their way here. They did very well - they didn't find the obstacles people face in a free, wealthy country to be especially challenging!

Finally, even highly skilled workforces are mostly not high-skilled. Most jobs are otherwise.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by wsc981 on Saturday September 30, 2023 @09:55PM (#37721812)
> The economic cost I'm pretty sure of: Research has shown (but I won't pretend I can cite it) that immigrants are net contributors.

That very much depends on immigration policies and the way a welfare state is setup.

I am sure that countries with strict policies that mainly allow people to immigrate that a country can be sure these people can contribute to the economy, in such cases sure.

But some countries have very lax policies and (in the name of humanitarian aid) allow many people in from poor areas of the world. At the same time some of these countries might have a large welfare state, with benefits like free or cheap healthcare, schooling, state pensions, medical benefits either free or heavily subsidized, unemployment benefits, etcetera.

For those countries immigration is a huge cost. Many immigrants moving to such countries will never (be able to) work. But they will use a large amount of resources from the welfare state. And perhaps such countries hope children of these kinds of immigrants will be a net benefit, but only time will tell.

Because one additional hurdle is that for many of such countries it’s not expected (and there is little push) for immigrants to integrate into society.

For these countries unrestricted mass immigration will mean the dismantling of the welfare state. As there are too many users of welfare services and not enough people paying taxes to finance the welfare state.

Many Northern European countries fall onto this group.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by wolverine876 on Saturday September 30, 2023 @09:58PM (#37721836)
Do you have evidence? At least I read a study (that I'm not citing, admittedly).
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by jgb1984 on Saturday September 30, 2023 @10:45PM (#37722061)
"The total cost of immigration for the period 1995-2019 for the Netherlands was 400 billion euros."

Quote from the conclusion of one of the studies mentioned here: https://miwi-institut.de/archives/2028#:~:text=The%20researc....

I can only speak for my own region in western Europe (Benelux / Germany / France), for us mass immigration especially from non-EU countries has a very high financial and social cost. So high that both in Belgium and the Netherlands there is a large majority to be found in favor of drastically reducing immigration, recent polls show. However in almost all west European countries you've got governments doing the exact opposite of the people's will. In my own country, Belgium, we've got a very generous social security system and as such we attract a lot of immigration that is not interested in working (and/or simply very low skilled, often illiterate).

Among non-EU origins we're at 44.5 % inactivity, not studying nor working, (!!!!!) which is the worst score in all of Europe. Belgium itself is of course partially to blame because our social security system is too flexible, too generous and does not push to work.

Mass immigration from strongly divergent cultures is damaging western society, causing higher poverty, more crime, and rampant feelings of alienation, tearing at the fabric of social values and cohesion. Look at Germany, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, Sweden... Go for a stroll in Brussels or Frankfurt, have a look at the numerous ghettos there. Mass immigration is a lose-lose thing, both for the host country and for the newcomers who often sign up for a life in abject poverty.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by whatshisface on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:01PM (#37722133)
The single biggest irony in US politics (the surface level politics, I don't mean actual politics) is that the catholic cultures the so-called mexicans are coming from have more in common with the conservatives trying to keep them out than the liberals who want to let them in...
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by anon291 on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:38PM (#37722316)
I mean... Most conservatives like the Hispanics... But don't like illegal immigration. Heck ... A lot of Hispanics don't like illegal immigration. Conservatives tend to like order not hate Mexicans. You're making a complete caricature of the gop.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by whatshisface on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:48PM (#37722353)
I am not happy about this state of affairs, but the "I like laws" reason is totally absent from any of the rhetoric I am hearing from either the elected officials (who mainly make allusions to "border patrol" without making any coherent statement of their values that some could object to) or the spectrum of media outlets (who appear to be stirring fears of cultural incompatibility and the cartels). That opinion is kind of like the libertarian position from a few years ago, "the government has no business regulating marriage at all," in that it's a clever alternative to what I can only with any objectivity call the winning answer, that is found nowhere in mainstream politics.

Yeah, I am aware how absurd it is that "if we want more immigration we should increase the number of work visas awarded to less skilled laborers plus many other things like that, not turn a blind eye to a second class citizenry" is a fringe way of looking at the problem, but that's the cake that's been served us.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by catlover76 on Sunday October 01, 2023 @12:21AM (#37722507)
They've been doing a pretty good job of making caricatures of themselves since 2016. My memory stretches back far enough to videos of Trump rallies where people screamed "keep out those dirty beaners!!" etc at mention of "the wall". I remember "taco trucks on every corner". I remember the notion that Mexico is "sending" people.

I remember the Muslim Ban, the hate against Syrian refugees, the popularity of Trump among people who believe in the "great replacement" theory. I remember family separation, and supposedly God-fearing "conservatives" proudly saying that the suffering of those children were the parents fault for trying to flee ravaged societies and give their kids a better life.

Wanting to crack down harder on illegal immigration is a valid political position and a reasonable goal. But that wasn't all what that shit was about. I don't know if you've truly fooled yourself, but you're not fooling me. I'm never forgetting, and I'm never forgiving.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by watwut on Sunday October 01, 2023 @02:27AM (#37723281)
Nah, they don't like legal immigration either. It is not like their "I object only illegal" was in any way believable.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by runsWphotons on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:10PM (#37722175)
They really don't though. Conservatives have a lot more in common with liberals than either do with central americans.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by whatshisface on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:28PM (#37722266)
Maybe if you measure it by what hit radio songs they remember from childhood, but the things most people would consider more fundamental paint a different picture. If you take this source I haven't vetted[0] (I'm getting this from common knowledge, not surveys, to be honest) the evidence seems pretty clear that immigration from south of the border is actually supporting our most longstanding conservative cultural institution, far from "diluting" or "eroding" it.

If any reader is curious, the irony only developed around the time a certain presidential campaign normalized anti-immigrant rhetoric; until then the "old conservatives" were fully aware of the importance of immigration to business owners and the lack of any real cultural incompatibility and never took any steps to reduce it. They sided very much on the elimination of the welfare state which was the solution they saw for the supposed cost issue (highly questionable to begin with, in a country with as little in the way of social programs as the US after the 1980s drew to a close. In a system designed for people that thought social security should depend on the number of hours you have worked, it is hard to imagine what costs they'd be objecting to.)

The way the shift in alignment was carried out always struck me as a sobering example of the shortness of memories, or the impermanence of the public's convictions.

[0] https://www.prb.org/resources/immigration-gives-catholicism-...

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by runsWphotons on Sunday October 01, 2023 @01:54AM (#37723065)
I'm sorry but the idea that I have less in common with someone I grew up with for 20 years than I do with someone from Honduras whose language I dont speak and whose culture I know nothing about, just because my preschool friend and I have different political opinions and the honduran attends (a totally different) church a bit more. This is just ridiculous to me. Do you really think this? The only thing that bound you together with other Americans was pop songs? The idea Trump's campaign "normalised anti-immigrant rhetoric" is absurd. The American public (i.e. a majority therof) has not supported an increase in immigration when polled for 60 years (despite it increasing continuously). That is consistent. The public has never asked for this. There wasn't some sudden realignment demonstrating "the impermanence of the public's convictions". There was a mass movement of people who finally reacted to decades and decades of being of being ignored by their government. Continuing to try and blame everything on Trump instead of face the reality of what happened is either totally naive or just bad faith. What was Trump the result of? https://news.gallup.com/poll/1660/immigration.aspx#:~:text=L....
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by ffgjgf1 on Sunday October 01, 2023 @02:17AM (#37723233)
Catholic voters are generally evenly split between the parties. Opposition to abortion is probably the primary thing drawing them to the Republicans, they don’t necessarily share that many values with the evangelicals/loonies (not that they don’t have their own set of problems).
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by whatshisface on Sunday October 01, 2023 @05:16PM (#37730898)
That's just a restatement of the belief behind the irony, not really an argument that Catholic church is more like a furry convention than evangelical church... an idea that far from reality could never be believed by one person, only everyone. It is really depressing to hear people on all sides of the aisle reaffirm that they think the strategic alliances built up over the last five years are more real than people's values. What do people even think Guatemalans believe in? It is a pointless question to ask because as cynical as I am I do not think anybody would go so far as to paint in their ignorance with detailed imaginings... they prefer to re-affirm their beliefs without touching on their justifications either way.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by wolverine876 on Sunday October 01, 2023 @12:27AM (#37722541)
> "The total cost of immigration for the period 1995-2019 for the Netherlands was 400 billion euros."

> Quote from the conclusion of one of the studies mentioned here: https://miwi-institut.de/archives/2028#:~:text=The%20researc....

Thanks for providing some actual research ... It's not exactly a politically neutral report (but admittedly I'm not providing anything better):

The authors of the study from the University of Amsterdam rightly refer to the American economist and Nobel Prize winner Milton Friedman, who explained that the choice at stake is between continuing to accept migrants and maintaining the welfare state.

However, the politically correct politicians and the media look the other way. They refuse to draw conclusions from the unequivocal results of objective scientific research on the negative effects of immigration. The native taxpayer who bears the cost of immigration is paying a heavy price – literally and figuratively – a price that is rising every day.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by runsWphotons on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:09PM (#37722166)
In most northern European countries the only economically productive immigrants are from other european or american populations. It depends where the immigration comes from.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by anon291 on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:36PM (#37722307)
Honestly, America is an outlier in how well we integrate people. From my perspective at least I was shocked at how wide the gulf was between native and immigrant in the Nordic countries. Some other countries in the anglosphere also do pretty well including the UK.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by runsWphotons on Sunday October 01, 2023 @02:06AM (#37723160)
Do you think America actually integrates people well? I don't think I agree, outside of a certain strata of more prestigious institutions and firms. I.e. Google may integrate people pretty well to google. But broadly speaking I think we just have a lot of space and the groups move around each other, while being vastly different. It is something tourists comment on, that they stumble into different neighborhoods and feel they are in a totally different place. There are whole sections of my hometown which basically operate in a different language and where everyone has moved out. It doesn't seem like integration to me. I think people just move around each other in America and can afford to do so more.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by runsWphotons on Sunday October 01, 2023 @02:10AM (#37723181)
I do think it is worse in parts of scandanavia and parts of paris for example. But i think neighborhoods in America are fairly segregated and people would choose that even more if possible.(In that sense maybe the government does do somewhat better job by preventing that, idk).
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by anon291 on Monday October 02, 2023 @12:21AM (#37733971)
Yes. I mean my parents were immigrants from another country and both their sons married Americans (not even white Americans, but Americans nevertheless) and move to the real 'innards' of America. Also, I have nothing in common with people from my parent's country. Even the food we like from the 'home country' is completely different. I much prefer American-styled ethnic food from my parent's country than anything you'd get there.

Unlike most European countries or even Canada though, immigrant Americans consider themselves ... Americans. I mean... my parents are honestly pretty hard core trump supporters and contrary to popular belief, they've been very welcomed at all these supposedly 'racist' events.

> It is something tourists comment on, that they stumble into different neighborhoods and feel they are in a totally different place. There are whole sections of my hometown which basically operate in a different language and where everyone has moved out. It doesn't seem like integration to me. I think people just move around each other in America and can afford to do so more.

Sure, in the big cities where there are lots of immigrants it can certainly be like that. In the more provincial parts of the country you can go -- as I did -- to Oktoberfest celebrated in an old German town, except all the people who live there are now hispanic, philipino, or mixed whatever and are all happily doing the Polka and drinking beer while saluting the American flag.

Also, typically in those 'ethnic' neighborhoods you speak of... people are very patriotic. For example, my brother married into a big hispanic family and some of the older generation definitely speaks Spanish mainly and a lot of the town they live in is primarily Spanish, but they're incredibly patriotic and love America.

> It is something tourists comment on, that they stumble into different neighborhoods and feel they are in a totally different place.

I totally get why tourists might find it weird, but as a native born American, I stumble into many ethnic enclaves in the US and feel pretty at home. Most people aren't used to that.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by onetimeusename on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:19PM (#37722217)
Yes, in Sweden.

Immigrants have a substantially higher unemployment rate https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9819060/

Swedish PM says integration has failed https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/swedish-pm-says-integra...

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by wsc981 on Sunday October 01, 2023 @01:18AM (#37722850)
> Do you have evidence? At least I read a study (that I'm not citing, admittedly).

Sure, but it’s cited in a Dutch newspaper article. You can copy and paste in Google Translate: https://archive.ph/HvG8u

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by ffgjgf1 on Sunday October 01, 2023 @02:11AM (#37723191)
Sweden. Compare its situation to Denmark and Norway.

Allowing unrestricted immigration from very culturally different countries with hardly any income/educational requirements seem to have had significant economic, social and political cost.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by nonethewiser on Saturday September 30, 2023 @09:54PM (#37721806)
Obviously immigration does have negatives. Look at the violence in Sweden. Housing prices in Canada. And why is the mayor of New York City, a self-proclaimed sanctuary city, saying they cant handle more immigrants?

Seems ridiculous to say its “false” that there are complications then offer some vague reference to research that indicates its not a problem in a particular way.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by wolverine876 on Saturday September 30, 2023 @10:01PM (#37721847)
Acute, short-term issues don't prove anything. You can have too much money too.

Immigration has served NYC in particular extremely well, over centuries. Probably not a good example!

> Seems ridiculous to say its “false” that there are complications then offer some vague reference

The claim wasn't 'complications', but economic cost. And I already admitted I don't have the research in front of me.

Obviously, my claim wasn't everything is perfect all the time - a claim that applies to nothing in the world.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by makeitdouble on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:07PM (#37722161)
You'd have to prove the violence is single handledly due to immigration. And not just come up with correlation between place with high immigration and violence rate.

To jest, Monaco is 2/3 immigrants, I haven't heard many people complaining about violence.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by Jensson on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:19PM (#37722214)
> To jest, Monaco is 2/3 immigrants, I haven't heard many people complaining about violence.

I'd bet most of those are European immigrants, so immigrated from stable countries with good education standards. When we talk about immigrants causing problems we are talking about immigrants from low developed countries where many lacks education, like what happened in the refugee crisis.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by makeitdouble on Sunday October 01, 2023 @01:06AM (#37722767)
So, the topic is not actually immigration but social disruption from low education society members.

I make the difference, as that's the same issue when you reunite a country that has long been under two different regimes. Or when you abolish slavery. Or when there's a rise in homelessness.

The other part of it is, putting the focus on refugees obscures the context of why these people are fleeing their country, and what we have to do with it. It's like discussing about the water leaking from the ceiling, without the context of where it comes from. Perhaps the upper floor getting flooded by leaking pipes merits a bit more thought, I don't know.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by runsWphotons on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:17PM (#37722208)
The rates in Sweden have been proven to be due to immigration---it is easy to look up and has been researched for years and years. Something like 70% of violent crime and over half of all crime come from people with migrant backgrounds. You shouldn't be allowed to just dismiss this or pretend no one has the data in a serious discussion.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by makeitdouble on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:27PM (#37722256)
You're saying something that looks close enough on the surface but is fundamentally different.

Crimes perpetuated by people of migrant background doesn't equate to immigration being the cause of these crimes. If we accept that rhetoric, violent crimes are overwhelmingly done by men, so being a men is the cause of violence, right ?

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by langitbiru on Sunday October 01, 2023 @01:22AM (#37722877)
Men, especially young men, do commit violence more than women. Perhaps "being a men is the cause of violence" is not correct, but "being a man makes you much more likely to commit violence".
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by runsWphotons on Sunday October 01, 2023 @01:32AM (#37722931)
What is your point?
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by abenga on Sunday October 01, 2023 @03:12AM (#37723505)
I think there is a difference between structured immigration programs to let skilled workers in, and giving people asylum. The outcome of letting in refugees who have the trauma of suffering (and maybe participating in) violence all their lives, living in countries that have had educational systems break down, etc will differ from letting in a few skilled workers.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by runsWphotons on Sunday October 01, 2023 @03:29AM (#37723592)
Sure.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by pauldenton on Monday October 02, 2023 @04:25AM (#37735352)
Yeah but what happens when it's only conservative governments that limit immigration to skilled workers, and when the left wing government comes into power they expand it to refugees, and economic migrants? Australia and Canada can have the right system, but it doesn't matter if it is being short circuited for short term political gain and ideological reasons
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by nonethewiser on Tuesday October 03, 2023 @01:39PM (#37755094)
> You'd have to prove the violence is single handledly due to immigration

Are you serious? These bombings are all done by immigrants. That's the proof.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by catlover76 on Sunday October 01, 2023 @01:06AM (#37722773)
> And why is the mayor of New York City, a self-proclaimed sanctuary city, saying they cant handle more immigrants?

Being a sanctuary city simply means (fundamentally) not assisting the Federal government in enforcing immigration law (which, in the US, is a matter of Federal responsibility and power).

The current issue NYC is facing is that the city is paying for housing and services for these migrants (who, by my understanding, are asylum seekers)--which of course they don't do for normal immigrants who decide to make a life in New York.

I'm not sure if you've ever been to New York City, but it's a heavily immigrant city that simply wouldn't function without them--at all levels, from taxi drivers up to investment banks and, of course, tech.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by scythe on Saturday September 30, 2023 @10:13PM (#37721910)
>One (admittedly completely conjectured) explanation: Anyone motivated and healthy enough to travel to another country, where there's another language, with nothing but their shirt, is going to be very productive.

Supposing that this is true, what happens in poor countries when they selectively lose their healthiest and most productive people to emigration?

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by Khartoum on Saturday September 30, 2023 @11:21PM (#37722227)
The "Economics Explained" YouTube channel has a video called "Skills Wars Are The New Trade Wars", which touches on your question.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by wolverine876 on Sunday October 01, 2023 @12:21AM (#37722509)
Brain drain is a well-known issue. Possibly productive labor drain is also?