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Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by emodendroket on Saturday September 30, 2023 @06:38PM (#37720599)
The same thing appears in the Bible so forgive my skepticism that Muslims will be unique among followers of Abrahamic religions in not facing the same pressures of the modern world everyone else does.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by teaearlgraycold on Saturday September 30, 2023 @06:52PM (#37720722)
I think it’s likely that within a few decades they go through a similar cultural change to what Christians went through.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by johnnymorgan on Saturday September 30, 2023 @07:09PM (#37720854)
And you would be correct, if people drilled down into the data you'd see the birth rate drops off massively by 2nd/3rd gen when they hit the modern world.

It's the Amish and Mennonites that seem to retain people well by having it be optional.

America is more likely to be Amish than anything else if we got solely by the trend.

I'd say there is a lot more too it than that

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by teaearlgraycold on Saturday September 30, 2023 @07:13PM (#37720878)
Good old linear extrapolation
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by emodendroket on Saturday September 30, 2023 @10:00PM (#37721843)
Yeah, if you're willing to make a cloister and isolate your children it might work. Not that many groups looking to live that way though.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by satvikpendem on Sunday October 01, 2023 @12:34AM (#37722588)
> It's the Amish and Mennonites that seem to retain people well by having it be optional.

Both groups have many instances of rape happening that much of the wider world is not aware of, as they are cloistered societies, so, combined with the fact that many stay silent due to fear of retaliation, those are not the best examples to use.

https://www.bbc.com/news/stories-48265703

https://www.npr.org/2020/01/19/797804404/investigation-into-...

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by emodendroket on Sunday October 01, 2023 @04:54AM (#37724059)
I think that’s part and parcel of any similar project.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by lm28469 on Saturday September 30, 2023 @07:42PM (#37721055)
The trajectory of Christianity and Islam in France and other western European countries are diametrically opposed though.

For various reasons Muslim population in france grew form basically 0% to ~10% in 50 years, in the same time the number of baptisms was divided by 2

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by sidibe on Saturday September 30, 2023 @08:36PM (#37721371)
The vast majority of children of French Muslims aren't religious.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by emodendroket on Saturday September 30, 2023 @09:56PM (#37721825)
Is one of those "various reasons" that many of them are immigrants? I don't think you're going to see French-born Muslims behave the same way as their parents.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by rayiner on Saturday September 30, 2023 @08:16PM (#37721258)
There’s not anything nearly as strong in the Bible. American Muslims are more affluent and highly educated than the average American, but also have significantly higher fertility rates (2.4 in 2017, versus 2.1 overall). Also, it’s not the “modern world.” The US fertility rate was above 3.0 the same decade we put a man on the moon.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by verbify on Saturday September 30, 2023 @09:50PM (#37721787)
What about:

> Be fruitful and increase in number; fill the earth and subdue it Genesis 1:28

In Orthodox Judaism (from the Mishna/Talmud) this takes the status of a commandment to try to have kids.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by emodendroket on Saturday September 30, 2023 @09:59PM (#37721841)
Sons are indeed a heritage from the Lord, the fruit of the womb a reward.

Like arrows in the hand of a warrior are the sons of one’s youth.

Happy is the man who has his quiver full of them.

Ps. 127:3-5

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by satvikpendem on Sunday October 01, 2023 @12:38AM (#37722613)
> American Muslims are more affluent and highly educated than the average American

Is this not just due to the immigrant effect, ie the only ones who can afford to immigrate (legally, at least) are those who are relatively rich (which correlates with high education levels) in their countries? It takes money to shore up a visa and buy a plane ticket, that most individuals in poorer countries would not be able to afford. American Hindus (including Indians), East Asians etc are also more affluent and highly educated than the average American, for the same reasons.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by catlover76 on Sunday October 01, 2023 @01:15AM (#37722834)
It is not necessarily "rich", but you're on the right track. During the 70s and 80s, US immigration policy basically filtered/let through mostly people who came here for college or higher education. That was the case for India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh at least, I believe. So of course the South Asian population here skews successful and educated.

I am not sure what immigration policy was like for Arabs.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by satvikpendem on Sunday October 01, 2023 @01:20AM (#37722865)
I'm saying that those who can even cross the seas are relatively richer than their peers in their home country. It is not just a function of a country opening immigration, the potential immigrant must first be able to afford to do so in the first place.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by catlover76 on Sunday October 01, 2023 @01:31AM (#37722923)
Maybe, I'm not sure; the trope of people coming here with pretty much nothing and being able to establish a life is a true one that plays out time and time again. My own grandfather came here from India with very little--literally few dollars to his name, had to live with someone he knew for a bit, ate "ketchup sandwiches" regularly, etc. So I think in his case he had the resource of a network, but not much financial resources.

And my dad came to the US for college from Pakistan, also with basically nothing--his family did not have much money.

But yes, I suppose there is literally the trip across the ocean that costs money.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by satvikpendem on Sunday October 01, 2023 @01:38AM (#37722973)
How exactly did they come here? Who paid for their flight or ship voyage? That is the "relatively rich" I'm talking about. My parents (and I) also came here on not much money, but I can realize that having the ability to come to the country in the first place as well as secure a job cannot be understand.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by catlover76 on Sunday October 01, 2023 @01:42AM (#37722993)
Yes, I take your meaning :)
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by selimthegrim on Sunday October 01, 2023 @08:38AM (#37725371)
Well, this is not universal - my great grandfather came from undivided Punjab in the 1920s as a merchant sailor and I think had about seven kids in USA.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by catlover76 on Sunday October 01, 2023 @11:50AM (#37727060)
Oh that's cool man, what's the story there? Was he among the Sikhs who settled in farming communities in California and intermarried with the Chicano population?
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by selimthegrim on Sunday October 01, 2023 @02:40PM (#37729042)
No, he was an Ahmedi in Kapurthala whose ancestors were sweetsellers from Meerut. He went to New York, then Detroit and then Pittsburgh.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by catlover76 on Sunday October 01, 2023 @02:52PM (#37729176)
Ah cool--pretty unique story!

How much of his religion and culture survived down to your generation of the family tree?

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by selimthegrim on Sunday October 01, 2023 @08:50PM (#37732678)
My parents were married in Rabwah in the eighties if that means anything to you but I think my branch is pretty much the only unassimilated one as far as my dad’s side goes (my mom is a Pakistani immigrant and my dad was the only one in his generation besides an uncle of his to marry “back home”)

I’m really sorry to say this, but sometimes the way that Pakistanis have treated me with my background, I regret learning Urdu and Punjabi sometimes. I have many wonderful Sunni relatives and Pakistani friends but why should I put any kids I might have through abuse like “han pato Qadiani” “yahudion ka chamcha” and “wajibul qatl” (the last of which another American born Pakistani sipping soda water kindly informed me in a bar my parents were the week after the ‘Muslim ban’) Like Bulleh Shah is cool and all but mostly I end up talking about that stuff with Sikhs for some reason.

My father and brother don’t speak the language, only my mom and I. In the 80s, my mom’s favorite author was the late Ishtiaq Ahmad, up until she encountered some of his interesting conspiracy theories about her community. In children’s novels!

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by rayiner on Sunday October 01, 2023 @08:35PM (#37732565)
They may be more affluent than Indians back home, but many start at the bottom of the ladder in America. Asians are actually the highest poverty rate group in NYC. But Asian income mobility from the bottom of the income distribution is about 2.5x the income mobility of white Americans.

Also don’t forget that many East Asians came here as laborers and railroad workers in the 1800s and early 20th century, and as refugees in the 1950s-1980s. Third generation California Chinese, or Vietnamese, are also more affluent than white Americans today, for reasons that have nothing to do with immigration of affluent individuals.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by bryanrasmussen on Sunday October 01, 2023 @03:35AM (#37723628)
lots of things appear in the bible that have just sort of been dropped over centuries, I also think Christians as a group are more splintered than Muslims - but that may be my lack of knowledge on this front - I certainly believe fundamentalist Christians are into this thing but not sure what percentage of each set [Christian, Muslim] has this as a core tenet.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by emodendroket on Sunday October 01, 2023 @04:56AM (#37724071)
There is no Jewish or Christian denomination that rejects Genesis or Psalms.
Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by bryanrasmussen on Sunday October 01, 2023 @07:02AM (#37724744)
1. that seems unlikely given the amount of denominations that call themselves 'Christian', unless your statement is tautological, but OK

2. explicit rejection is not quite the same as not following all things in common practice of the religion.

I know people classed as Christians who do not at any rate follow the whole be fruitful and multiply guidance.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by emodendroket on Sunday October 01, 2023 @12:02PM (#37727234)
1. You’re welcome to name one then. The Marcionites would qualify if that movement weren’t extinguished thousands of years ago. All modern Christian denominations more or less agree on points that were decided that early on in the history of Christianity.

2. Right, most people do not follow this in practice even if such commands appear in their religious scriptures. You might remember that the whole point of the comparison was my contention that we can expect something similar to happen with Muslims.

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by bryanrasmussen on Monday October 02, 2023 @11:45AM (#37739627)
Ok back to point two - I agree that it appears in scripture, I made it sound like individuals don't follow the religion which is true, but also I believe there are denominations of Christianity that don't push it.

It is one thing to hear go do this constantly from the pulpit (hence my reference to fundamentalist Christianity which often does this) and decide as an individual not to go do it, it is another thing to never hear it pushed from the pulpit, read it in the book, and not care.

This goes back to my statement

> I certainly believe fundamentalist Christians are into this thing but not sure what percentage of each set [Christian, Muslim] has this as a core tenet.

by core tenet I do not mean something written in your text and agreed that this is an important part, but something that is hammered on all the time.

What does "is hammered on all the time" mean?

If a priest spends lots of time saying that people should go out and have children and find other Christians to marry to make a Christian nation I would consider that really hammering the issue.

IF they don't then that church doesn't care.

If pretty much none of the leaders of that denomination do so then I would say it is not a core tenet of the denomination.

So the question is if it is a core tenet of Muslim denominations? Which I don't know how many there are of that, I get the feeling they are in some ways much less fractured but perhaps in other ways it might be they are more fractured in belief systems than the large set of peoples normally called "Christian"

If however it is a core tenet then my belief is that core tenets do not change in a single generation, I would think several generations would need to happen before the religious leaders were not saying it all the time and the followers were thus not feeling obligated to follow. Sure in three generations I would expect alignment with other groups, by and large.

This belief of mine is however only a belief as I am not aware of any kind of large scale study in memetics or (perhaps to get away from a loaded term) idea transmission in multi-generational hierarchical organizations which is what a religion would be.

I am also willing to believe I am totally wrong here - for example if one found a religion that went from salvation by works to salvation by faith alone in one generation among a large Christian denomination then I would say - huh, I am definitely wrong and it means large scale hierarchical organizations / religions can be changed in one generation (although I would expect to see charismatic leadership involved now that I am considering the idea)

Re:Don't worry about global population collapse by Exoristos on Sunday October 01, 2023 @08:02PM (#37732306)
You're talking about the religion that gave the West monasticism.