I think what you say is true in principle, basically on all counts, but Fortran's niche that its advantages serve best has been continually eaten away at by the Python/C++ combination.
The "I don't know pointers" crowd steers toward Python, and the "I care about CPU cycles" crowd steers toward C++, and that relationship is symbiotic.
Julia promised to be a general-purpose language, both as fast (or faster) than Fortran/C++ and as easy (or easier) than Fortran/Python. But it doesn't seem to have panned out as they'd perhaps have hoped.
Julia has something similar but to a lesser degree. Its main problem has been the developer experience - the latencies (slowly getting better), lack of a great editor/LSP experience (the VS Code plugin is decent, but not yet great), lack of accessible how-to resources (people are starting to write more of these), and things like that.
I've just noticed it's now available on the system I work with, which puts it in the frame for a possible (probably far out still)future move for a massive C/Fortran codebase I maintain.
My general default if I'm going to update something is C++, but from what I see of Julia it's at least worth a look.
R or Python are still much easier to use and give you the same access to high-performance numerical accelerators via BLAS/LAPACK backends. And if you need a low-level language (e.g when developing an optimised routine that solves a specific problem), I would use a high-performance widely supported systems programming language like C++ or Rust.
Fortran seems to be around mostly for legacy reasons. And I am not sure that legacy considerations alone make a good foundation.
CuBLAS on the other hand makes a lot of sense to use from python if you have the right hardware.
That's not to say you should use C yourself, memory management is a lot nicer in Fortran, for multidimensional arrays. You can stack allocate arrays inside functions and modern fortran has move semantics. Arrays are contiguous even if they have multiple index. It's generally a nice language for math, has good C API integration (both as caller and callee) and compiles down to small libraries without runtimes.
For scientific computation I just need multi-dimensional arrays of floats and fast loops. Fortran has both of these things natively. Python has neither.
From personal experience, I don't believe this works in practice. Invariably, some level of logic is implemented in said scripting language, and it becomes a huge bottleneck. Counterintuitively, when you have a central thread dolling out work to many subroutines, the performance of that thread becomes more critical as opposed to less.
Not necessarily and if it does, then the solution is to add that logic into the low level libary. So yes, you need at least one guy who can do this.
Just to be clear, I'm not saying it's impossible to strike the balance where it makes sense. I'm just saying I've yet to see it work, and I would, therefore, not assume such a balance is given by default, or even easy to achieve.
In my experience, that means that 80-90% of the developer effort goes into getting the FFI bindings to not be terrible. (In fairness to things like python, most of my FFI experience is with Java, which is notoriously bad at such things)
And with wasm (or even webGPU) one can do now the same with javascript and the web. Some logic in scripting is fine, but the heavy calculations should be lower level if one is aiming for performance.
From personal experience, I don't believe this works in practice.
From personal experience, this works in practice.It works well for web or other server-side tasks where your database is doing the "heavy lifting" computationally.
I believe you, though, when you say that you've seen failures of this paradigm.
It's pretty common to see issues where an inexperienced programmer is doing a bunch of data manipulation in 200 lines of Python/Ruby/PHP/whatever that could have been accomplished more easily, more performantly, and with more atomicity in 10 lines of SQL. I wouldn't say that means it's a busted paradigm. I don't consider bad implementations of a particular paradigm to equal refutations of that paradigm.
I do appreciate that there are probably arenas (scientific computing?) where maybe this approach doesn't work at all.
That gets you about 70% of the way there, but the remaining 30% is tricky. Unfortunately, the library-call stage doesn't easily (with generality) let you fuse operations. For example, consider the example of a finite-volume code, where the flux is some nonlinear function of the interface value, taken to be the average of left and right cells:
flux = nonlinear_flux_op(f[:-1] + f[1:]) # Compute interface fluxes
f[1:-1] += dt/dx*(flux[:-1] - flux[1:]) # Update cell volumes based on flux differences
# Do something special for the boundaries
Each of the substeps here is fast. Sub-indexing these 1D arrays is trivial, and their local operations are highly vectorized. The nonlinear flux operator operates element-wise, so it's easy to compile it into a version that properly (CPU) vectorizes (and/or it might already be provided, like np.exp or *2). This code is also very readable.However, real performance would require fusing operations. There's no need to compute a full temporary array for the interface values, but that's exactly what would happen in naive NumPy code. Likewise, there's no need to compute all of the fluxes before taking their differences.
A hand-optimized code would perform the full computation in a single scan of the array, keeping all of the data in CPU cache (blocking by a cache line or so in order to use vector registers effectively). Even if given the code naively written, an optimizing compiler would try loop fusion and get most of the way to the hand-optimized result.
Code such as this is relatively FLOPS-light compared to the amount of memory accessed, so effective use of cache can lead to an order of magnitude speed-up.
With a fair amount of work you can still achieve this result in Python, but to do so you need to use one of the optimizing Python compilation tools like numba. Unfortunately, this is not easy for the not-a-programmer domain scientist, since working with numba means understanding the intersection of Python and numba's imposed compilation rules.
---
(Verse 1) Gather 'round, fellow coders, lend an ear, A tale of performance, crystal clear, It's about `numpy.linalg.einsum`, you see, A bridge to speed that sets your code free.
(Chorus) Numpy linalg einsum, unlocking the door, To performance realms we've hungered for, With C and Fortran, it dances in tune, Efficiency's treasure, like the brightest of moons.
(Verse 2) Python loops and arrays, they have their grace, But when it comes to speed, they're in a different space, Einsum brings us closer, to libraries so bold, C and Fortran's might, where performance unfolds.
(Chorus) Numpy linalg einsum, a liaison so grand, Linking Python's elegance with performance's land, From indices to memory, it bridges the span, Oh, the power it wields in a programmer's hand.
(Bridge) Clever indexing and Pythonic style, Are wonderful tools that make us smile, But beneath them, a world of raw speed resides, Numpy linalg einsum, where performance abides.
(Verse 3) Linear algebra's puzzles, intricate and vast, With einsum's prowess, we reach new heights so fast, Python's beauty combined with Fortran's swift glide, Numpy linalg einsum, where two worlds coincide.
(Chorus) Numpy linalg einsum, the key to the gate, Where performance and elegance conjugate, Let's embrace the speed that we've dreamed of so long, With C and Fortran, together we're strong.
(Outro) So heed this ode to efficiency's call, Numpy linalg einsum, the ace of them all, In the realm of coding, where performance takes flight, We cherish the union that powers our might.
That's nice as long as it works, but in my experience gets ugly when it doesn't. While we can currently witness this being a successful model, the impedance mismatch between both worlds is often a pain.
I bet on a language like Rust as the winning strategy in the long run - high level like Python but still close to the metal and all in one language, one compiler, one ecosystem.
In C, pointers can alias by default. The last time I checked, that made these sorts of optimizations harder. However, I'm not sure how measurable the performance impact is these days.
Well, no. This is python's strategy. Doesn't make it the winning strategy. Python implicitly forces multiple languages upon you. A scripting one, and a performance one. Meanwhile languages such as Julia, Rust, etc. allow you to do the work in a single (fast/compiled) language. Much lower cognitive load, especially if you have multiple cores/machines to run on.
Another point I've been making for 30+ years in HPC, is that data motion is hard. Not simply between machines, but between process spaces. Take large slightly complex data structures in a fast compiled language, and move them back and forth to a scripting front end. This is hard as each language has their own specific memory layout for the structures, and impedance matching between them means you have to make trade-offs. These trade-offs often result in surprising issues as you scale up data structure size. Which is one of the reasons that only the simplest of structures (vectors/arrays) are implemented in a cross language scenario.
Moreover, these cross language boundaries implicitly prevent deeper optimization. Which leads to development of rather different scenarios for code development, including orthogonal not-quite-python based things (Triton, numba, etc.).
Fortran is a great language, and as one of the comments pointed out, its really not that hard to learn/use. The rumors of its demise are greatly exaggerated. And I note with some amusement, that they've been going on since I've been in graduate school some 30-35 years ago. Yet people keep using it.
Given the capabilities of modern machines and the fact that non-homogenous hardware (GPUs, different processors like in Apple Silicon) is back, the "winning" strategy is to have high-level scripting languages where you can ignore most of the details, which call into hyper-optimized, high performance libraries. For instance, when you're using Scipy, you call into Fortran and C almost interchangeably.
Since most likely you aren't writing full programs in the low-level language, it doesn't need to be a general-purpose language offering the same affordances, say, C++ is supposed to provide.
For numerical/scientific code, Fortran is much, much easier to use, especially for people whose background isn't computer science. Being able to write your code in terms of matrices and arrays rather than "pointer to const restrict" is a godsend when you're programming what is often very difficult mathematical code. When compared to modern C or C++ you won't get any advantage in terms of performance, but you don't lose much either, and in return you get to use a language that's much more suited to the task.
The historical Achilles' heel of Fortran is that it's kind of awkward as a general-purpose language, but that's negated by the "compiled core, interpreted shell" approach that's dominant these days.