Christian's post: https://old.reddit.com/r/apolloapp/comments/144f6xm/apollo_w...
Audio clip: https://christianselig.com/apollo-end/reddit-third-call-may-...
Devil's advocate still: the perception of a shakedown isn't necessarily dependent on mishearing something literally as "go quietly". What reason does Reddit have to pay $10M, rather than pay $0? Reddit leadership might even feel like it's a shakedown from their perspective, whether or not that's the intention or perception from some app developers.
Personally, were I involved, I would indeed be mentally tracking everyone's perspectives and honesty, since that matters a lot (e.g., a mutually better deal might be reached when you understand each other; or you might get a contract, but they might not honor it in good faith, or will screw you at renewal time).
But I think Internet pitchforks would do well to keep memetic talking points to the unambiguous (e.g., the proposed API licensing fees, the short time horizon, a party's claims of how that will affect them), and avoid paths that seem more like (ahem) "We did it, Reddit!" loose cannon character assassination.
1) Shut Apollo down: increase ad revenues, decrease server costs (if the claim that Apollo is inefficient is true)
2) Apollo pays $20M: increase api revenues
3) Pay Apollo $10M: decreased revenue, maintain high server costs.
I don't even understand how this kind of deal would make any sense to propose.
Christian is clearly thinking on his feet, so obviously he doesn't have a value proposition for reddit. All he is really doing is letting reddit know he might be open to it, the details could be negotiated later.
Reddit clearly has all the power here (Apollo is fully dependant on reddit), so they would have been able to negotiate it down. Maybe all the way to $1 million?
Anyway, reddit clearly weren't open to it, so it fell flat on it's face.
That means, if you pay 1 million now, it would be less than the cost to upkeep for 30 days and it would we a win win
2) Yes, this is better for reddit but untenable for Apollo.
3) If you buy the app that makes your site SING, that everyone loves, then you keep all those users, and make money from them instead of losing them.
Also, don't forget that everything before an IPO is magnified. This has cost reddit perhaps hundreds of millions now in bad press and lowered valuation.
It's all horse shit and they know it. I don't claim to know the reason, I can only speculate. But, what I do know after reading Christian's posts and listening to the phone call is that reddit, and Spez specifically, are being super shitty.
Reddit: You will now pay us $20 million per year or we’re shutting you down. You have 30 days notice. Apollo: If Apollo is really costing you $20 million per year, you could pay us $10 million to stop, and you’d come out way ahead! I’m half joking.
Reddit: Are you threatening us?!
Apollo: No, I was just jokingly making a point.
Reddit: “Oh, I misunderstood. I immediately apologize.”
Reddit (to mods publicly): This guy is threatening us!
=======
Wait, what?
Who’s threatening who????
If they still thought it was a shakedown, it would be honest for them to later say to their team that they thought it was a shakedown.
I don't know how much to trust Reddit, and the 30-days notice to showstopper API fees looks very bad. But I see a lot of people just repeating Tweet-sized soundbites, which leads to a dysfunctional and more easily manipulated society.