I wonder when many in those 'rich' countries will learn that they need to embrace that instead of 'build the wall'.
Anyway, I don't think replacement fertility is the right measure here. Replacement fertility could be crashing, but if the ratio of 'modern'* humanity is increasing as it is, then the problem remains ... there's probably a term for this if anyone knows.
* (by 'modern' [super air-quoted] I mean, those who have the wants and desires and ability to get the goods and services of the 'rich' countries).
There are other species on this planet too, you know. What about them?
But seriously, I always see the planet as on a finite timescale anyways with the lifetime of our sun being the limiting factor (which is interesting because it's the sun that gives us all our energy for the most part ignoring nuclear). Once the sun goes kaput that's it, we better be intergalactic by then. So I wonder can we think of perhaps maximizing the number of civilizational hours spent under the sun on Earth. Is that a good framework to go by. Put another way say the sun goes out in the year 10,000, and we are to judge two scenarios
A) humans go extinct in the year 7,500 B) humans go extinct in the year 9,000
All else being equal what scenario would people prefer and why.
7500 - 9000 is just a wishful thinking ... we won't make it there without functioning ecosystems