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Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @01:44AM (#35769437)
The parent comment alludes to the controversial fact that nearly all these thefts are committed by unsupervised black teenage boys from low-income communities. This pattern can be found in Milwaukee, Atlanta, Columbus, Washington D.C., Chicago, and many other cities. The trend is driven largely by kids chasing clout on TikTok and other social media:

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/01/us/car-theft-teens-pandem... (https://archive.ph/XCzB4)

I don't know why so many refuse to discuss this. These kids are racking up charges that will ruin the rest of their lives. They are stealing from others in already-poor communities and occasionally killing or maiming bystanders. It's taboo to address this because of the color of their skin. Therefore we will let them continue to ruin their own lives, their communities, and the lives of innocents they victimize.

If these were white kids we'd publicly shame them, crack down on the worst offenders, and figure out a program to help the rest back on track. They're black so we don't, and this is somehow less racist. I do not understand it.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by Arainach on Monday May 01, 2023 @02:11AM (#35769560)
>If these were white kids we'd publicly shame them, crack down on the worst offenders, and figure out a program to help the rest back on track. They're black so we don't, and this is somehow less racist. I do not understand it.

Would we? This is merely grand theft auto, not rape or murder, so why would we treat them worse than Brock Turner or Kyle Rittenhouse? If they were white, why not give them a book deal?

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by defen on Monday May 01, 2023 @03:14AM (#35769918)
Kyle Rittenhouse didn't commit any crimes. Brock Turner received public vitriol commensurate with his crimes; I think a better comparison would be with the hockey player who pushed an empty wheelchair down some stairs. It's indefensible but at the end of the day not the kind of thing that warrants an Internet Week of Hate. Certainly less bad than hundreds of acts of grand theft auto.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by Broken_Hippo on Monday May 01, 2023 @03:25AM (#35769979)
It's indefensible but at the end of the day not the kind of thing that warrants an Internet Week of Hate.

I'm sorry, but what? Brock Turner was convicted of sexual assault.

He served 3 months, and likely gave someone else a lifetime of hurt because he couldn't control his sexual urges to the point he was willing to have sex with an unconscious person.

He served 3 months. after being rich enough to post bail and hire decent lawyers.

But somehow, he doesn't deserve hate and this is less bad than grand theft auto?

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @03:31AM (#35770016)
>He served 3 months. after being rich enough to post bail and hire decent lawyers.

This became national news and the judge involved was recalled:

https://harvardlawreview.org/print/vol-132/california-judge-...

We'll all know Brock Turner's name and his crime for the rest of our lives. I believe this is an exception that proves the rule.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by defen on Monday May 01, 2023 @02:21PM (#35776947)
I said that Brock Turner got the amount of hate he deserved; I was talking about the guy who pushed an empty wheelchair down the stairs.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by Arainach on Monday May 01, 2023 @10:39AM (#35773387)
Kyle Rittenhouse was not convicted by a Jury, something very different.

The Civil Rights Act of 1957 was toothless primarily because of its Jury trial clause, which guaranteed that no one violating civil rights would ever be convicted by a jury of their white peers.

It's not "self defense" when you arm yourself and drive yourself intentionally into an are trying to create and/or find trouble.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:12PM (#35779922)
>It's not "self defense" when you arm yourself and drive yourself intentionally into an are trying to create and/or find trouble.

This is a defamatory lie in contravention of all evidence, such as the multiple camera angles which captured the attacks on Kyle and subsequent self-defense shooting, as well his own statements and actions prior to the event and those of eyewitnesses. All of this was exhaustively examined at trial. Your ignorance of the facts is no excuse for defamation.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @03:19AM (#35769938)
What are you trying to show here? Both white kids in your example were charged and publicly shamed. As we ultimately learned, only one of them deserved it.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by Glawen on Monday May 01, 2023 @02:11AM (#35769559)
> It's taboo to address this because of the color of their skin.

Indeed, I wish one day we backtrack on this stupidity. Name and shame regardless of colour and stop this imposed self censorship.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by naikrovek on Monday May 01, 2023 @02:08AM (#35769547)
you're looking for racism where there is none. I suspect that you're old enough (or influenced by someone old enough) that anything approaching equal treatment between black people and white people feels like oppression of white people.

I promise you the kids are being chased and when caught are being charged.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by AuryGlenz on Monday May 01, 2023 @02:19AM (#35769600)
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @03:04AM (#35769860)
>anything approaching equal treatment between black people and white people feels like oppression of white people.

Please let this ill-founded meme die. Compare White House and media reactions to the shooting of Ralph Yarl versus the murder of Connor Mullins, or the shooting of Kinsley White and her parents. Coverage of heinous violent crime between these two demographics is wildly disproportionate to real-world rates of occurrence. Justice system treatment is closer to equitable but still has gaps.

>I promise you the kids are being chased and when caught are being charged.

The retiring D.C. Chief of Police, who is black, disagrees:

https://wtop.com/dc/2022/01/dc-police-chief-calls-for-accoun...

Chicago mayor Lori Lightfoot, a black woman and staunch Democrat, disagrees as well:

https://www.chicagotribune.com/politics/ct-chicago-shootout-...

If anything, crime rates for black men versus white men underpredict current rates of incarceration:

https://www.city-journal.org/article/is-the-criminal-justice...

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by naikrovek on Monday May 01, 2023 @04:16AM (#35770271)
> The retiring D.C. Chief of Police, who is black, disagrees:

That's not what this says.

> Chicago mayor Lori Lightfoot, a black woman and staunch Democrat, disagrees as well:

That's not what this says, either.

Old white people are scared out of their fucking minds at the thought of becoming a minority, or being treated like a minority.

Why? Do we treat minorities poorly?

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @04:19AM (#35770288)
>Why? Do we treat minorities poorly?

No, they come here from all over the world to find happiness and prosperity.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by chwa982 on Monday May 01, 2023 @05:16AM (#35770596)
Has hacker news always been reddit jr? Im new, idk
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by ForHackernews on Monday May 01, 2023 @05:52AM (#35770777)
Yes, it has. But you have to write a long frame story with lots of long words about functional programming and VC equity around your redditing.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by dang on Monday May 01, 2023 @02:27PM (#35777032)
You may or may not have intentionally started a flamewar in this thread, but you've certainly broken the site guidelines by perpetuating it badly. Please stop and please don't.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Edit: when a new account shows up with a dossier of links under one arm and a briefcase of arguments under the other, on a classic flamewar topic, that's not a good-faith use of the site. Pre-existing agendas are not what HN is for. They're repetitive, tedious, and usually inflammatory—certainly that's the case in this thread. This destroys the curious conversation that the site is supposed to be for, so please stop doing this.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by finikytou on Monday May 01, 2023 @04:40AM (#35770385)
he is right. im young, non white, and I can totally see the difference in treatment. it is totally racist like most of the liberal policies that consider non-white people like children to "protect" or "shield" from the structural racism that actually their own cast perpetrate by judging people by their color and calling that "positive discrimination policies" this is still discrimination based on race hence racism. you can call it positive racism if this makes you feel better. and we see that in many cities. SF, PORTLAND (that just 180 2 years of rising crime and defunding). hell it is even racist for the communities of people that live normal life (the number 1 victim of violent crime by those same criminals, crimes that white people or democrats are shielded in their fenced gated properties) and are judged by the liberals under the same spectrum than criminals just because they share a skin color.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by throwawayadvsec on Monday May 01, 2023 @03:55AM (#35770140)
who the hell cares about the colors of their skins besides 80 IQ nazis?

people have been stealing cars since cars existed, why do you have to bring ethnicity into it?

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @04:16AM (#35770270)
Because in the US it can be a barrier to recognizing and addressing patterns of criminal activity. It's nothing new; this Time Magazine article from 1958 addresses the "conspiracy of concealment" around racially disparate crime rates:

https://content.time.com/time/subscriber/article/0,33009,810...

The false perception created by this concealment leads to national psychosis like we saw in 2020, or assertions that majority-black communities are overpoliced when the opposite is true, resulting in more excess deaths and increased suffering in these communities.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by throwawayadvsec on Monday May 01, 2023 @05:04AM (#35770524)
Mentioning a 1958 article to justify your racism really doesn't help.

"Abetting the concealment campaign is the feeling shared by many whites that it is unfair, inflammatory and even un-American to talk about Negro crime." This is the first sentence of the article, dude, seriously.

It's really sad to see more and more far right racists on HN, this place used to be filled with smart people.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @05:17AM (#35770600)
"Negro" was the word in common use by people of all races at the time. Wikipedia:

>Negro was accepted as normal, both as exonym and endonym, until the late 1960s, after the later Civil Rights Movement. One example is Martin Luther King Jr. self-identification as Negro in his famous "I Have a Dream" speech of 1963.

Do you have any comment on the content of the article?

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by alvah on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:17AM (#35770908)
you're not helping, both by casually calling people Nazis, thus cheapening the slur, and by pretending race isn't a factor.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by mjevans on Monday May 01, 2023 @04:22AM (#35770302)
You are wrong to focus on the color of someone's skin.

Classism is the issue. Opportunity is the issue. Greed of the wealthy reaping rents in a quest to squeeze out every last bit of blood money possible is the issue.

Even the choice to forego a proper security system for the cars is an example of greed, of cutting every corner possible and still charging a premium. Who pays? On both ends of this equation it is the poor.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @04:33AM (#35770338)
It's not strictly speaking the color of anyone's skin, but the taboos around discussing criminals of a certain shade that bugs me.

>Classism is the issue.

Crime does correlate somewhat with income, but racial differences in rates of violent crime are poorly explained by income level. Page 93, Table 6:

https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/epr/9...

See "Analysis of the Combined Data" and the conclusion section:

https://randomcriticalanalysis.com/2015/11/16/racial-differe...

The author claims a large amount of the difference is explained by family structure. I'm inclined to agree, and I wish our leaders touched on this more often.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by simoom22 on Monday May 01, 2023 @05:07AM (#35770532)
Um, have you been to America before, or read any of it's history? Of course we don't openly discuss the racialized class of cheap reserve peon labor that is maintained for everyone else's benefit, that would be super uncomfortable.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by ethanbond on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:36AM (#35771002)
It’s worth pointing out that insofar as the failed subculture is failed, its failure was deliberate. Same thing happened with Native Americans. The playbooks for destroying cultures are centuries old and they’re intended to reap exactly the sort of dysfunction you still see generations down the road.

Doesn’t mean we shouldn’t be addressing the issue head on and talking about it openly, but it’s definitely more complex than the genetic argument that tends to emerge.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by nebula8804 on Monday May 01, 2023 @11:41AM (#35774406)
Know of any good books documenting these deliberate actions you talk about or are you speaking more generally?
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by ethanbond on Monday May 01, 2023 @12:08PM (#35774852)
I’m sure there are plenty, but a few of the strategies that I’m pointing to:

1. Forbid people from speaking their own languages or practicing their own cultures/religions (slavery)

2. Relocate children to schools of the subjugating culture or prevent them from being educated (happened during slavery)

3. Make drugs and intoxicants widely available (CIA bringing drugs into black neighborhoods)

4. Enslave people

5. Post-slavery, give them fewer rights and a caste-stratified society (Dread Scott)

6. When/where these cultures build wealth, destroy it (Tulsa massacre)

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @05:57PM (#35779765)
This history is important and relevant in the abstract, but what does it tell us about solutions for today's problems? I don't see what Dred Scott tells us about stopping rampant car thefts in Milwaukee. We are where we're at, now how do we improve?
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by ethanbond on Monday May 01, 2023 @07:02PM (#35780502)
Not sure! But one important component of a solution is probably to avoid the thinking that generated or at least perpetuated many of the problems in the first place (i.e. intrinsic racial inferiority). Probably also not by acting like everything is all good or that there’s no agency within these communities.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by vidarh on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:46AM (#35771078)
Class and income are not direct parallel. An upper class person falling on hard times still has a generation or three of family and connections and other support structures to reduce the impact. This notion of treating class as about primarily income rather than relationship to control over your own life obscures more than it enlightens. Income affects that control, but so does e.g. societal structures. Family structure is itself a class issue.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:04PM (#35779839)
>Family structure is itself a class issue.

Southeast Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa, both very poor parts of the world on average, have a higher ratio of married couples with children to single parents than do the United States and Canada:

https://news.gallup.com/poll/286433/women-worldwide-single-m...

David Drummond, former head of legal at Google and recipient of $47M in total comp in 2019, had a child with a woman who he abandoned and abruptly cut off:

https://www.businessinsider.com/david-drummond-earned-47-mil...

I can provide more anecdotes and data if you like, but my strong sense is that family formation isn't as nearly as tied to class as you think. If anything, low-income people save more money by co-habitating.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by vidarh on Tuesday May 02, 2023 @01:48AM (#35783817)
I didn't say "family formation" is tied to class. I said that family structure is a class issue.

I also specifically argued against the notion of seeing class as determined by income.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by echelon on Monday May 01, 2023 @05:43AM (#35770732)
Appalachia is poor as dirt, yet has half the crime rate. And that's just one comparison - there are lots of others in the world.

Crime is a meme (in the Dawkins sense). You see your peers memeing and you start to repeat the same meme yourself. The more you're surrounded by the meme, the more it becomes part of you and how you operate. It's how our brains operate as pattern recognizers and pattern repeaters.

The spread of school shootings is a meme - it didn't happen in the pre-internet era, yet the uptick in news about it has led to a proliferation. It's become a part of the public consciousness, including amongst those that feel disaffected and likely to fall into destructive patterns of thought. It's easy to find online communities that reinforce these feelings and dispositions.

"Incel behavior". Meme.

Anti-trans politics. From out of nowhere, it's suddenly everywhere. Also a meme.

Through this lens, gang behavior amongst disaffected youth is no different than shitposting on Twitter in how it latches on to people and spreads.

If you transplanted the seeds of Atlanta crime into Pickens County, Georgia, I've no doubt the same behavior would take root there. It's independent of skin color or genes. It's a brain modality.

Behavior spreads as a meme. If there are pockets that support or reinforce a particular behavior, then the fire can't and won't die out.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by avtar on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:34AM (#35770984)
> The spread of school shootings is a meme - it didn't happen in the pre-internet era

That might not be the case:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_school_shootings_in_...

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by simoom22 on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:06AM (#35770851)
There's definitely more at play than just bad thoughts. Actions result from emotions and expectations that are conditioned by complex patterns of social behavior reinforced by material pressures and legal institutions providing complex feedback to behaviors and all of that is also part of the explanation why memes spread farther and faster in some places, like American schools, than in other places.
[dead]
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by chownie on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:19AM (#35770925)
To put the complaints in perspective, discrimination against trans people affects all trans people but you've chosen to focus on women who are affected by support for trans people, a smaller number just by virtue of statistics.

Following this logic is how states say "we're supporting women" by passing laws which specifically target the grand total of four trans sports players in their state. It's fucking bonkers logic, in ten years we'll be ashamed that we ever did this.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by echelon on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:02AM (#35770830)
> males

Don't do that.

In the limit, when we have brain-computer uploads, people will be all races, genders, furries, dragons, whatever. People of the future will happily change their personas frequently, and they'll look upon history as being full of genetic Luddites.

If people had a pill that made them not-ugly, they'd take it. Or to get a bigger penis, or to be taller, or to be less fat, or have a higher VO2 max. You wouldn't even question it. So why go out of your way to make a point about gender?

There's no reason why any of us should be satisfied with what we were born into. Especially if it doesn't feel right. Boxing people into genetic confines is stifling.

Live and let live.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by shanebellone on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:35AM (#35770996)
"Classism is the issue. Opportunity is the issue."

The U.S. should owe its citizens access to opportunity. With access, everyone can pursue economic opportunity.

"Greed of the wealthy reaping rents"

This is rarely the case. IIRC, most landlords own 1-2 units. Only a minority can be described with your words.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by Retric on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:55AM (#35771137)
If 1 person owns 1,000 units and 5 people own 1-2 units then most people own 1-2 units.

Much like farm size the meaningful number is the reverse. What percentage of units are owned by someone with 1-2 units vs 100’s.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by andrepd on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:58AM (#35771155)
"Rent" is an economic term, meaning roughly "income derived from mere ownership of an asset" such as land, but also including things like other monopolies.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by shanebellone on Monday May 01, 2023 @07:21AM (#35771305)
I disagree with this framing.

Farming is merely "income derived from ownership of an asset". Web servers, auto rentals, text books, and skii/beach resorts are too.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by andrepd on Monday May 01, 2023 @08:18AM (#35771762)
No it isn't. It is labour. In fact it actually an example of something where the distinction between labour and rent is crystal-clear.

If you're a landlord and you outsource the working of the land to a peasant tenant farmer (as was the norm in many places for thousands of years), your cut is 100% rent, as it is only derived from your (violence-enforced) exclusive ownership rights to the land.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by shanebellone on Monday May 01, 2023 @08:32AM (#35771908)
"No it isn't. It is labour."

Is it? Farming is (historically) an optimized form of gathering that's transformed alongside crop consolidation and other efficiency gains.

Without land, farming cannot occur. Without laborers or equipment, farming can occur, but in a less efficient form.

Also, all monetizable "things" represent assets because they hold/produce value.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by andrepd on Monday May 01, 2023 @10:40AM (#35773400)
Without land, farming cannot occur.

Duh. But that's not what you're saying, you're saying "without privatised land, farming cannot occur", which is a trivially false assertion.

>Also, all monetizable "things" represent assets because they hold/produce value.

Yes, that is indeed the definition of asset: an ownable and tradable "thing". I fail to see the point.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by shanebellone on Monday May 01, 2023 @11:07AM (#35773838)
"But that's not what you're saying, you're saying "without privatised land, farming cannot occur", which is a trivially false assertion."

The world's land is privatized. What ought to be has no relevance.

Farming is asset-driven for that reason.

I'm not debating what could be; only what is.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by pjc50 on Monday May 01, 2023 @04:53AM (#35770465)
> If these were white kids we'd publicly shame them, crack down on the worst offenders, and figure out a program to help the rest back on track.

The problem is that black kids get publicly shamed and cracked down on when they haven't done anything, making that ineffective, and nobody bothers with the third part of actual programs to help them.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @05:11AM (#35770561)
>The problem is that black kids get publicly shamed and cracked down on when they haven't done anything

That may have been the case when you were younger. The situation has reversed.

>and nobody bothers with the third part of actual programs to help them.

The US federal government spends over $1 trillion dollars per year on welfare including Medicaid, SNAP, Pell Grants, Housing Assistance, Head Start, job training programs, childcare assistance, and more. Many states and localities supplement these programs with subsidized affordable housing, additional medical coverage, senior centers, community centers, libraries, university scholarships and more. Wisconsin in particular has many public and private social programs to uplift poor children of various ethnic minorities. The Kia Boys do not care.

Children of other backgrounds whose parents came to the US impoverished grow up to be doctors and lawyers. I see the difference mainly as a question of cultural norms and family structure.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by throwiepshkins on Monday May 01, 2023 @07:41AM (#35771444)
you are gonna need to cite that.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by mplewis on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:00AM (#35770823)
Hey man. What’s your problem?
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @07:05AM (#35771197)
I really hate it when people steal cars and when obvious things become politically unspeakable.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by kotaKat on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:17AM (#35770914)
The easier solution would be for TikTok et al to have proper moderation controls and have nipped this in the bud when the first video dropped, but ByteDance just wants to instill chaos in the American public so they don't care one iota.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by gordian-mind on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:22AM (#35770937)
It's hilariously misguided to blame TikTok for this, you realize that don't you?
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by ethanbond on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:38AM (#35771017)
It’s hilariously misguided to look for singular causes and singular fixes for any issue that persists beyond the first few attempts to solve it. They’re almost always overdetermined and multicausal, and yes, media (not TikTok alone) does play some role in the system.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by gordian-mind on Monday May 01, 2023 @10:10AM (#35772990)
> It’s hilariously misguided to look for singular causes and singular fixes for any issue that persists beyond the first few attempts to solve it.

Sorry but that's wrong. If you try to fix an issue by doing useless things, such as attacking TikTok, and then conclude that the problem is not solved because it is "overdetermined and multicausal", you just confused yourself into impotence.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by ethanbond on Monday May 01, 2023 @02:17PM (#35776894)
You should of course start with your highest-conviction fixes and I don’t think TikTok lands there. But no, most persistent behaviors, not even problems specifically, are multicausal and overdetermined. Behaviors that are not this way are fragile and rarely persist long enough to even be labeled as “a behavior”.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by gordian-mind on Tuesday May 02, 2023 @04:49PM (#35793997)
> You should of course start with your highest-conviction fixes and I don’t think TikTok lands there.

I would rather start with things that provably work...

> But no, most persistent behaviors, not even problems specifically, are multicausal and overdetermined. Behaviors that are not this way are fragile and rarely persist long enough to even be labeled as “a behavior”.

Salvador seemingly proved that its very high murder rate had a single major cause: gang activity [1]. Some "social" problems have simple solutions. Some don't.

[1] https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/el-salvador-murders-p...

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by ethanbond on Tuesday May 02, 2023 @06:33PM (#35795110)
Now that's an excellent proposal: look into the future to pre-determine what will work and then pick the things that'll work.

El Salvador proved what was already known. You can rapidly eliminate crime by just imprisoning anyone suspected of crime. Now tell me... why doesn't every country on the planet do this? Why does the United States have such strong restrictions against this, by design (e.g. "Blackstone's Ratio" to let 10 guilty men go free rather than imprisoning a single innocent one)?

Could it be that this behavior tends to scoop up innocent people, delegitimize the state, and yield more violence and more chaos?

This is exactly the type of simplistic thinking I'm cautioning against. Maybe it'll work out for El Salvador, but in general throughout history this has not yielded good outcomes, which is why most of the prosperous countries on the planet do not behave this way despite its obvious near-term advantages.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by gordian-mind on Tuesday May 02, 2023 @10:43PM (#35797130)
If you can't make reliable predictions then try looking into the past.

> You can rapidly eliminate crime by just imprisoning anyone suspected of crime.

Overgeneralization from the get-go is how you end up confusing a situation and do nothing.

> why doesn't every country on the planet do this?

A first reason would be that they don't have gangs, so it would be useless to target them. Then, if they have large gangs and they can identify members of such gangs, then yes -- why don't they do this?

> Could it be that this behavior tends to scoop up innocent people, delegitimize the state, and yield more violence and more chaos?

This is changing the conversation. Those are not causes, but potential consequences. You said that problems are always multicausal and can't be solved by simple solutions, but isn't it more like you have strong moral standards that prevent you from considering such solutions? So this is not about a correct analysis of causes and such, this is about how to solve problems within your own framing.

To answer: if you outlaw being in a gang, then anyone identified as part of one is not innocent. Arguably a state is more delegitimized when it fails to prevent its peaceful members from being murdered or ran over by carjackers. Third is simply: no, I don't think so at all. Third, is a "theory of inverse": having more order, creates more disorder. It's never applied anytime in my life -- when I clean my place, it doesn't get dirtier, and it doesn't seem to me that this theory has worked on a societal level either.

> but in general throughout history this has not yielded good outcomes, which is why most of the prosperous countries on the planet do not behave this way despite its obvious near-term advantages.

Speaking of framing, the "most prosperous countries on the planet", by which I assume you mean the U.S. and various Euro countries, executed a large percentage of their population for centuries until the (late) second part of the 20th. If you look at the UK for example [1], the Bloody code (in the 19th) included 220 reasons for capital punishment (including many dismeanors).

It would be simplistic to conclude that extremely harsh legal systems lead to prosperity, but it seems that not only are there obvious short-term advantages, there might even be long-term advantages.

Finally, I will say that, amusingly, El Salvador doesn't have the death penalty, so instead of executing a few gang-members every year, and having the police control them on the road every day, they're just locking up a large number of them with huge short-term success.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_punishment_in_the_Unit...

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by ethanbond on Wednesday May 03, 2023 @06:50AM (#35800663)
The harshness of the punishments and strictness of enforcement are not the relevant dimensions: the legitimacy of them is.

El Salvador is very likely committing extrajudicial killings and imprisoning people without anything resembling fair trials. Again, this will have the intended effect in the short term and will very likely not in the long term.

For example, why does MS-13 et al exist anyway? Well, as consequence of the Salvadoran Civil War which was kicked off in part due to extrajudicial killings that the government at that time was using to maintain control over a brittle society!

You’re just seeing a repeat of the same cycle that produced the violent gangs in the first place. The problem will re-emerge and I’m sure we’ll have another proposal to do “the simple thing” and just go imprison and execute a bunch of people extrajudicially. Maybe it’ll work that time.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by gordian-mind on Wednesday May 03, 2023 @10:53AM (#35803124)
I don't understand this insistence on extrajudicial executions; doesn't the U.S. have them too? Those are not part of the Salvadorean legal system, are they? It brings nothing to the discussion, and seems an attempt at pointing fingers at best. If you want to discuss vigilantism, you realize that's another thing?

In any case, I can't agree with anything you said. Obviously reducing murders by half will have very deep trickling positive effects on a society. And the Salvadoran Civil War was simply not due, even in part, to cracking down on gang crime.

I reiterate that, even though you may not like it, or may want to use softer methods, or may resent one for making this observation, repressive methods provably work at stopping violent crime. Unless you're a slippery slope afficionado, what this should tell you is not that you should declare martial law on Earth, but that violent crime is a provably solvable problem. Arguably, alongside with morals, it would be nice to also have the imagination and motivation to achieve such result.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by ethanbond on Wednesday May 03, 2023 @12:24PM (#35804288)
Conflating state-sponsored extrajudicial killings (El Salvador) with homicide (the US) seems like bad faith argumentation.

I guess we'll see how stable El Salvador seems in a few years. I would bet that it will either be an authoritarian state rife with human rights abuses as a matter of daily operation or it will be once again overrun with crime bordering on civil war.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by concordDance on Monday May 01, 2023 @06:34AM (#35770989)
This is a rather heat generating post (as opposed to light).

I think the things that cause this are:

* References to some supposed collective discourse ("so many refuse to discuss this.").

* Statements about what "we" do (who is "we"? Americans? Anglos? English speakers? The world?).

* Heavily political topic central to the USA Culture War.

* Use of (USA) identity group divisions ("white", "black").

I think this is a really unproductive line of discourse and a particularly bad way of approaching that line, focusing on consensus building and a call to action (in this case, a change of discourse). I think this post is unsuitable for hackernews.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @07:01AM (#35771172)
* It's a collective discourse whose contours are well known to Americans

* It refers to "Americans"

* The link itself is a USA topic (Kia and Hyundai theft wave) with embedded videos touching on politics and identity groups

* These identity groups are highly relevant in context (see above)

I've presented facts and figures many users found interesting. These data are often overlooked in mainstream discourse. If you don't like Americans posting facts and opinions on HN links about America, don't read the comments.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by concordDance on Monday May 01, 2023 @07:20AM (#35771295)
And do you think your post has lead to productive discourse or just culture war thread number 63548?
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by neurobama on Monday May 01, 2023 @05:52PM (#35779711)
I think a lot of people who didn't know the contours of this auto theft crime wave, or perhaps even know such a crime wave was happening, now have a better understanding of what's happening and why.
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by peyton on Monday May 01, 2023 @07:14AM (#35771248)
It’s the comment section on an American car blog article posted to an American news site owned by an American startup accelerator. What do you expect?
Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by chasil on Monday May 01, 2023 @07:42AM (#35771456)
For myself, I choose not to address the question. I stand to gain nothing from it, so it seems pointless to pursue it.

However, what do you think is a productive line of discourse on this problem, that makes light and not heat?

It seems a quandry to me.

Re:Parts for stolen Hyundais and Kias are so scarce the cars... by sumedh on Monday May 01, 2023 @07:09AM (#35771219)
> If these were white kids we'd publicly shame them

Not sure why you want make this a black and white issue.

So instead of stealing cars do you want them to destroy the economy and get bailouts or steal college seats from deserving candidates by just buying college admissions, you want them to do "respectable" crimes?