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A comment on Japan's population may drop by almost one-third by 2070. Parent comment

Re:Japan's population may drop by almost one-third by 2070 by pessimizer on Wednesday April 26, 2023 @09:15AM (#35713158)
> The population never recovers. Extinction is, at some point, inevitable.

This is magical thinking. It like imagining that if someone diets long enough, they'll disappear. Turns out that the vast majority of people reach a comfortable weight, and stop dieting.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Japan's population may drop by almost one-third by 2070 by NoMoreNicksLeft on Wednesday April 26, 2023 @09:39AM (#35713482)
> This is magical thinking.

It's experimentally validated. Calhoun ran it multiple times. Animals don't bounce back. This isn't moose populations crashing because of overfeeding and starvation.

> Turns out that the vast majority of people reach a comfortable weight, and stop dieting.

Which is where the analogy diverges from reality. Cultured populations don't reach a comfortable weight... they become "depressed from the hunger", and decide to go for broke.

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