Exactly this. And the article seems to assume the whole world will remain in stasis forever more. ChatGPT won't get cheaper, or faster; AutoGPT won't be iterated on, extended, or improved; GPT-4 will be the last GPT ever released.

Or maybe, just maybe, all variables will continue trending in a positive direction in the time it would take to build a production product. And then I wonder what point, exactly, this article is trying to make.

Your hypotheticals would be nice.

I think people are just failing to see the progress as exponential and to extrapolate that way. I see a lot of 'pooh pooh' claims that make this assumption that because the current state is flawed or doesn't measure up that somehow justifies the belief that they can rest easy and have nothing to worry about. I contrast that with my own experience of I go to bed and wake up the next day and check what new tools, models and papers have been released and usually have one "hot damn!" moment per day.

We’re on the zero downside, only upside technology curve to utopia ?

>We’re on the zero downside, only upside technology curve to utopia ?

Not how technology works in my experience. My mental model of technology is that it acts as a multiplier on life's peaks and valleys, so the highs get higher and the lows get lower. To my mind that means AGI will bring the ultimate of highs along with the ultimate of lows. Doesn't sound like utopia to me. Sounds like a good time, until it's not.

there are couple of efforts on making autogpt project into more professional service: - https://www.cognosys.ai/ - https://agentgpt.reworkd.ai/

tho dont see anyone building paywall yet

It's "crucial" because the model that generated most of the text in this article likes saying that word. https://twitter.com/topynate/status/1641468708928249857

One quickly gets that x-ray vision when interacting enough with chatgpt

It's a new weird human spider sense! I'm getting it more in recruiter emails these days for sure

I have never, ever seen a hype wave like this. Cryptocurrency doesn't even come close.

We have people saying that unfinished toy projects on GitHub are going to revolutionize entire industries on the basis of one contrived demo. We have other people calling for air strikes on data centers and nuclear war to stop... text generators.

What's wrong with people?

Speaking of $16,000 Bitcoins... I think this might be the wave that pushes you over $100k each. I have a github repo that says so, with math.

I invoke Poe's law with this one.

Didn't know but yeah, was pointing out how many of my friends had "predicted" the sudden climb of Bitcoin because of "inverted curves" or some other magic.

Lots of people who can't be bothered to learn programming are excited about doing things without having to learn programming.

ChatGPT can also stop the war in ukraine

https://arktos.com/2023/04/12/chatgpts-diplomatic-gambit-mir...

>What's wrong with people?

Boredom?

We've been calling for nuclear war for years, you just noticed it recently.

On the LLMs? Is that a first strike against SkyNet?

It’s something regular people can see and touch and it does things, it’s probably first time most people have played with new technology.

But yea, I’m seriously concerned about the hype and the stupid things people immediately try to do with it. About others safety and intentions.

“I’ll just hook it up to my credit card and put it on the Internet…”

now we don't need research if AGI exists, how it escape.

There's some YT videos making really wild claims about how everything is about to be revolutionized from some examples people have tried, or just ideas of using LLMs for everything. The cynical part me things it's half fundraising.

That's hyperbole. When a sports stadium gets named after an AI product then we'll have hit the levels of crypto hype.

Roko's Basilisk Stadium!

Yes, we should build it immediately!

>I have never, ever seen a hype wave like this. Cryptocurrency doesn't even come close.

The internet was a hype wave too. Remember the dotcom bubble? And then also remember how eventually the internet actually did revolutionize communication, business and entertainment?

Yes, there's hype. There's also a tangible sense that we're at this 'internet circa 1995' moment. I feel like the hype is warranted.

I wasn't arguing that there's nothing there, just that this hype wave has hit incredibly quickly and hard.

There's far more here than cryptocurrency.

People are already losing their careers to AI systems. As in being fired and literally told it was because of the AI being cheaper.

This is not the nothingburger of crypto

Sounds like GPT-speak to me...