I'm hoping it's more like 5 years to Starship launches being 'routine'. Maybe I'm an irredeemable optimist but that would at least be more similar to the curve of Falcon launches being 'routine' (I concede that to some of us, orbital launches will never be considered routine – no matter how frequent).

I'd even lay 50%-ish odds that they'll do back to back payload launches in 30 days or less by the end of next year. That'll of course depend on things going very well over the next few months so they manage to get a Starship to orbit and back on the ground at the launch site this year.