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A comment on Lab Leak Most Likely Origin of Covid-19 Pandemic, U.S. Agency Now Says. Parent comment

Re:Lab Leak Most Likely Origin of Covid-19 Pandemic, U.S. Ag... by Bjartr on Sunday February 26, 2023 @04:25PM (#34949636)
Interestingly, the CIA has published a paper on exactly this subject:

Words of Estimative Probability (PDF) https://www.cia.gov/resources/csi/studies-in-intelligence/ar...

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Re:Lab Leak Most Likely Origin of Covid-19 Pandemic, U.S. Ag... by cameldrv on Sunday February 26, 2023 @05:23PM (#34950219)
Moderate and Low are Words of Analytic Confidence [1]. This has more to do with the quality of the sourcing than a numeric probability number.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Analytic_confidence

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