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Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by mytailorisrich on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:06AM (#34789424)
It's 12 years out and this is a short time for the magnitude of the change.

The UK has enacted a similar ban that should come into effect 5 years earlier, in 2030, so in 7 years and at the moment my best guess is that this is going to be a bloodbath (and second hand petrol cars are going to become even more valuable) if it is not postponed. It requires gigantic investments and adaptation that are not happening, or are happening very, very slowly.

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by galangalalgol on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:34AM (#34789857)
What are the laws like in the eu or uk for ev conversions? In the US it is mostly done on older lighter cars. Enough older that they are regulated differently from other vehicles. EV west for instance focuses on vw/Porsche vehicles that had that tiny magnesium air cooled engine.
Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by djaychela on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:09AM (#34789459)
Are you in the UK? That's not my take on what's happening - I've seen a big uptick in electric cars and charging infra in the last year or so. I've seen plenty of graphs that look like the UK would be mostly done with the transition to EVs for this segment by 2030 even if the ban wasn't coming into force - looks like a traditional sigmoid curve to me.
Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by mytailorisrich on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:15AM (#34789569)
Yes, I am in the UK. The number of charging points is not keeping up with the planned schedule and number of new EVs on the road. The issue of people who cannot charge at home is not being tackled. Perhaps the most important issue: The grid is not being upgraded and electricity production is not keeping up (matter made even worse by the push to also get rid of gas boilers in homes).

EVs are also still unaffordable to most, which is perhaps a blessing considering the above: Buying an EV is the 'easy' part.

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by ClumsyPilot on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:21AM (#34789651)
> The grid is not being upgraded and electricity production is not keeping up.

Why do you believe this is the case?

I cannot see any evidence of this probpem, in fact. Octopus energy for example is very happy about using Evs to help balance the grid and their 'virtual powerplant'

Charging ooint, yes, they are an issue

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by flangola7 on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:25AM (#34789717)
What do you mean by using EVs to balance the grid? How is drawing more power from it balancing it?
Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by dashundchen on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:40AM (#34789951)
Many utilities are interested in using EVs as batteries for the grid. After all, typical EVs sold today have 60-100kWh batteries and are sitting parked the majority of the time. The idea is the utility would offer payment or incentive to use your battery and balance the grid.

The idea has been for a while, and is starting to come to wider testing with the finalization of Vehicle to Grid standards for the CCS charging standard.

Some other charging standards like Chademo already upported this but aren't widely used in Europe or North America.

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by TheLoafOfBread on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:53AM (#34790132)
Of course, that most logical thing which owners of an expensive BEV will do, is joining a program where they can cycle out their expensive battery and come to discharged car at the morning.
Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by dashundchen on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @10:05AM (#34790297)
I think it would depend on the implementation of the program, but if the incentive is right, people will join. Many utilities already offer voluntary curtailment programs and time-of-use incentives, and customers definitely respond.

Modern batteries with modern battery management systems are more durable than you think. Most things I've read expect a typical EV battery to retain usable capacity past the lifespan of the car itself, not to mention EVs typically have "hidden" capacity buffers against degradation.

I doubt any program would completely discharge a car, likely a program would involve a smart charger that would charge and discharge within a certain agreed upon window.

Look at the current residential demand response programs for an example. Details vary, but a quick search will show you a range of different programs.

Typically, utilities will announce incentive windows for peak periods ahead of time. Opt-in customers have thermostats that will respond to the peak program by reducing heat or cooling to an agreed upon temperature. The customer can override if they would like, but if they do they will lose the incentive.

Customers get a lower bill, utilities can save a lot shaving peak loads and avoid capacity problems.

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by TheLoafOfBread on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @10:26AM (#34790631)
As an BEV owner, there is no way in hell I would let incompetent utility company purposefully damage my battery, because they were too greedy to build their own storage.
Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by dashundchen on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @10:41AM (#34790892)
Fair enough, these types of programs are opt-in for a reason. I definitely would consider it if the price is right.

For me, a personal vehicle is a depreciating asset that sits unused 98% of the time. I'd be better off with carshare if it existed in my city.

If the program also allowed me to use the battery as a home backup, I'd opt-in.

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by ClumsyPilot on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @10:39AM (#34790858)
I was skeptical as well, but enough people have signed up that it works. Our personal opinion doesnt matter.
Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by TheLoafOfBread on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @10:54AM (#34791135)
People who don't understand that they are exchanging their battery life for few cents. Eventually word will spread out and those programs are going to become mandatory.
Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by ClumsyPilot on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @11:09AM (#34791416)
The original statement was - BEVs will overload the grid, this discussion shows oposite is the case - they are used to stabilise the grid.

> those programs are going to become mandatory

I would say the jury is still out if it makes financial sence. Batteries lose capacity to aging even if you don't use them.

This is extremely speculative and if the government has appetite to make anything mandatory about cars, they would start by enforcing the speed limit electronically

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by mytailorisrich on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @11:32AM (#34791798)
> The original statement was - BEVs will overload the grid, this discussion shows oposite is the case - they are used to stabilise the grid.

Not at all.

The EVs' batteries are used as storage, which can help with intermittent electricity production but it implies two things assuming it can work at all:

1. enough electricity is produced overall,

2. the grid has the capacity to move all that electricity around.

These are the two issues I initially mentioned and using EVs' batteries as temporary storage solves neither.

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by bryanlarsen on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @12:23PM (#34792688)
It's a lot more than a few cents. This guy made $550 for delivering 297 kWh of electricity over a one year period.

https://electrek.co/2023/02/09/tesla-powerwall-owners-made-5...

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by TheLoafOfBread on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @01:25PM (#34793684)
So do it for 32 more years to have money for a new battery. As I said, few cents.
Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by mytailorisrich on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @12:48PM (#34793045)
The way I interpret that link to Octopus' website is simply that they over an off peak tariff to charge your EV at the best times for them, probably whenever there is excess electricity available. It does not say anything about using the EVs as storage. The "virtual powerplant" seems to be just a PR gimmick, which Octopus is very good at.

In amy case, that does not solve the issue of overall production or grid capacity.

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by vlovich123 on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @08:30PM (#34798879)
> In amy case, that does not solve the issue of overall production or grid capacity.

Actually that could have done well (although I wouldn’t hold my breath + all sorts of logistics of reality can prevent the utility). If you have 100 MWh of car batteries charging during off peak, that’s extra capacity you can leverage during peak hours.

I do agree that in practice that won’t work out for all sorts of reasons (the comms and standards for that aren’t defined afaik + what happens if enough cars disconnect that suddenly you don’t have enough capacity and brownouts begin to shed load)

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by DrBazza on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:51AM (#34790100)
> The grid is not being upgraded and electricity production is not keeping up

Agreed. We need, charitably, a 25% increase in electricity generation, and we're not getting that. We're getting "(shouts) more wind turbines!!!" and "(whispers) we've just turned off a 250MW gas power station".

EVs are going to be biggest single "new user" of electricity in decades and are going to be a huge drag on the network.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Grid_(Great_Britain)#...

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by DrBazza on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:46AM (#34790035)
Even a naive calculation based on the total number of vehicles registered with the DVLA (including classic cars, buses, lorries, etc.) and the draw on the national grid, means we'd have to double the current generating capacity in the UK to charge all those vehicles at the same time. Admittedly, that's never going to be the case, but the number of car owners grows year on year.

Best case, we need to add an additional 10-30% electrical capacity in the UK by 2030. And that's exclusively for EVs. Never mind that as the economy grows it requires even more electricity for other industries.

And we're still squabbling (unscientifically) over nuclear (it's safe and it's green), and wind turbines (we really, really, need better storage).

Of course, charging stations, everywhere. My town of 100,000 has 20 public chargers that I know of, with I'd guess an average charging time of 30 minutes. Versus 10 petrol garages, with approx. 10 pumps, and a filling time of under 5 minutes. Arguably, we'd need 600 chargers to provide the same 'capacity' as 100 petrol pumps, if not more. Yes, people can charge from home. Some can't.

And the range problem. I personally drive 300+ miles in one journey a few times a month (relatives at the top of the country). I will not spend an additional hour at EV stations when my fossil fuel car can get me there on half a tank without stopping. Until the range problem is solved (600 miles on one charge, guaranteed), I'll be the last person to buy an EV.

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by AdamN on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:25AM (#34789716)
Even if what you say is true, wouldn't that still be an ok outcome? We're in a climate crisis and need to starkly reduce the number of carbon sources on the planet so if EV cars didn't get broad adoption and used petrol cars double in value (but no more of them are produced), that still seems like a good outcome. Obviously some players will lose but that's not necessarily a bad thing.
Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by ekianjo on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:33AM (#34789833)
> We're in a climate crisis

ANd it's not the micro-effects of one country's policy that will do anything.

Re:EU lawmakers approve effective 2035 ban on new fossil fue... by benevol on Tuesday February 14, 2023 @09:16AM (#34789577)
There are several new energy sources about to "come online". It's just that mainstream does suppress the information about those.