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Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by _djo_ on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @09:50AM (#34595672)
> swashbuckling leadership in support of Ukraine, overcommitting already threadbare armed forces, such that a US general commented today that the UK army is no longer a first class service as a result

That's an inaccurate characterisation of the US general's reported comments, which were about long-term trends in British defence spending, procurement, and equipment types, as well as the lack of a plan to boost spending in light of the war in Ukraine, not about the non-frontline stuff it has sent to Ukraine.

Warnings about the state and future trajectory of the UK armed forces have been coming from the US side for a number of years now.

Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by throwrqX on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @10:04AM (#34595891)
SkyNews reported from their "sources" that it is understood that:

- The armed forces would run out of ammunition "in a few days" if called upon to fight

- The UK lacks the ability to defend its skies against the level of missile and drone strikes that Ukraine is enduring

- It would take five to 10 years for the army to be able to field a war-fighting division of some 25,000 to 30,000 troops backed by tanks, artillery and helicopters

- Some 30% of UK forces on high readiness are reservists who are unable to mobilise within NATO timelines - "so we'd turn up under strength"

- The majority of the army's fleet of armoured vehicles, including tanks, was built between 30 to 60 years ago and full replacements are not due for years

Source: https://news.sky.com/story/us-general-warns-british-army-no-...

Some of those comments are perhaps a bit unfair but it's well known the weakness of European armies.

Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by makomk on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @10:21AM (#34596180)
That article seemed to me like a microcosm of what's wrong with UK journalism since Brexit. Every one of those issues is shared with Europe as a whole (or in the case of "the ability to defend its skies against the level of missile and drone strikes that Ukraine is enduring", basically every country on the planet as I understand it), but the article makes the UK look uniquely bad by using a completely different framing when talking about the UK's military vs other countries like France and Germany. For the UK they talk only about the current problems, whereas for other countries they focus only on the fact that those countries have annouced plans to improve their militaries whilst ignoring the current state of their militaries and the question of whether those plans are realistically going to work or actually happen. Germany's military in particular is in an awful state and they've kept on putting off the supposed funding increase it's meant to be getting.

Like, the UK is arguably the main military power in Europe at this point and a major contributor to Ukraine not being outright annexed by Russia, but you wouldn't get that impression at all from the article.

Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by mistermann on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @10:41AM (#34596476)
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Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by PaulHoule on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @10:51AM (#34596656)
Armchair quarterbacks can always find something wrong with a military.

Many of the force composition decisions for the UK circa 1980, particularly the use of light "aircraft carriers" that the Harrier operated from, were controversial. The war with Argentina went very well for the UK but if they'd had worse luck those decisions would be seen differently.

In the US in the 1980s I remember seeing television documentaries about how the M-1 Abrams tank and the Bradley Fighting Vehicle would not be effective at protecting our forces but then in the 1st Gulf War these turned out to be superb.

Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by rhaway84773 on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @12:54PM (#34598764)
The difference is that EU armies are improving, while the UK army is worsening.

The UK is probably still the strongest military in Europe, but it’s trend is wrong.

Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by tomatotomato37 on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @10:23AM (#34596207)
The UK is an island country with its single actual existential threat getting its own military capability shredded in Ukraine. Unless something wacky happens and France decides to reignite the Hundred Years war the UK really doesn't need much of a military anymore anyway, so why invest in it?
Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by nradov on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @11:06AM (#34596903)
As an island country the UK is still highly dependent on global trade. It makes sense to invest in a strong navy plus some expeditionary land and air forces in order to keep their sea lines of communication open. They need to have their own capabilities as a matter of national survival rather than relying on the US.

It also makes sense for the UK to continue funding a proxy war in Ukraine. This allows them to bleed Russia to death and eliminate that threat for years to come at a minimal cost.

Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by fidgewidge on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @02:39PM (#34600681)
And the UK has done that. It has two aircraft carriers.

It's pretty unclear why it should have an army that's literally ready to go at full strength within days. The US does that but US levels of military spending are hardly normal. Even in WW2 there was time to rearm. Huge military conflicts on your doorstep rarely come out of nowhere, they are seen coming. The most likely next conflict after Ukraine is still Taiwan and the UK's role in that will likely be minimal regardless of the strength of the armed forces.

Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by nivenkos on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @09:53AM (#34595712)
> Warnings about the state and future trajectory of the UK armed forces have been coming from the US side for a number of years now.

And they can all be solved by buying American weapons... funny that.

Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by selectodude on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @10:10AM (#34595992)
The UK has a very healthy domestic defense industry that makes most of its money selling to the Americans. I imagine BAE Systems would appreciate the local business.
Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by pessimizer on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @10:25AM (#34596238)
Selling arms to despots is one of the things that's actually going well in the UK.
Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by varjag on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @10:11AM (#34595998)
You're talking about the UK, the core of a former global empire with no shortage of arms manufacturing expertise.
Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by throwrqX on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @10:10AM (#34595990)
They can also be solved by developing their own industry. Not sure they want to spend the money on it though.
Re:UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF by gadders on Tuesday January 31, 2023 @10:13AM (#34596031)
Man, if he doesn't like the UK army, wait until he looks at the rest of Europe...