Re:The quiz Daniel Kahneman wants you to fail
by wizzard on Friday January 06, 2012 @10:24AM
(#3433603)
Personally I wouldn't call it "Bayesian" so much as just "a conditional probability." The question doesn't ask what the probability is that a randomly selected participant is an engineer, it asks what the probability is that a participant is an engineer given that he has "typical" engineer-like traits.
But then yes, ideally you could use Bayes' Rule to find that probability.
But then yes, ideally you could use Bayes' Rule to find that probability.