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Re:What a $1M Retirement Looks Like in America by LastNevadan on Tuesday December 27, 2022 @02:03PM (#34152380)
Certainly, there are countries in a worse place than the United States. Japan or Italy are the first to be likely to blow up in a big way. Greece is a good candidate for blowing up first, but it is small enough to be backstopped by the ECB. Italy is too big to be backstopped. The USA may fall, but it probably won't be the first major economy to do so.

Historically, governments have been prone to currency crises when their debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds 100%. The USA is just slightly above that now, and interest rates have remained low here (and in other countries) because central banks are monetizing the debt. But that can't be sustained forever.

Re:What a $1M Retirement Looks Like in America by digitaltrees on Tuesday December 27, 2022 @02:24PM (#34152633)
Only if you assume that the US economy will stop growing, and with it the tax base. The US government’s ability to pay debt isn’t just its ability to print money. It’s also the ability to collect tax revenues and given how stable economic growth in the US has been for hundreds of years, it’s reasonable to assume that it can easily pay debts well over 100% of gdp.
Re:What a $1M Retirement Looks Like in America by zeroonetwothree on Tuesday December 27, 2022 @02:13PM (#34152513)
Many countries have been above 100% for a while now without any apparent issues
Re:What a $1M Retirement Looks Like in America by LastNevadan on Tuesday December 27, 2022 @02:21PM (#34152599)
It's not a hard-and-fast rule.

The problem is this: once you have a high level of debt, you become sensitive to interest rate changes. Your debt rises, so you have to increase interest rates to lure investors to buy the bonds. The high interest rate forces to you run a bigger deficit, do you have to borrow even more money. Then investors demand an even high risk premium. That's the cycle.

Once that process takes hold, the only way out is some combination of lower living standards, higher taxes, higher inflation and currency devaluation.

You're right that it hasn't happened yet in the modern era. But it will. Remember where you heard it first.

Re:What a $1M Retirement Looks Like in America by ProjectArcturis on Tuesday December 27, 2022 @02:52PM (#34152959)
>Remember where you heard it first.

I first heard it in a book written in 1986. It showed debt growing exponentially and forecast hyperinflation and economic collapse. People have been crying about that particular wolf for quite a long time.

Re:What a $1M Retirement Looks Like in America by Ekaros on Tuesday December 27, 2022 @02:19PM (#34152582)
Central banks are only recently been making things harder. Previous 10 or so years were quite easy on government debt. Even in some cases being negative.
Re:What a $1M Retirement Looks Like in America by landemva on Tuesday December 27, 2022 @06:42PM (#34155486)
Central bank zero interest rates decimated pension and annuity earnings.