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Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by kneebonian on Sunday December 25, 2022 @03:19PM (#34130825)
So I'd recommend checking out Peter Zeihan but he argues globalization isn't a natural economic result but rather globalization came about as the US agreed to allow other countries to participate in the first world market on the condition that they don't ally with the Soviets. Thus arguing globalization was only ever a security not economic policy and now that the security problem it is trying to solve is no longer there globalization is failing.
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by ews on Sunday December 25, 2022 @04:23PM (#34131458)
I came here to say the same and I really like your description of the core idea of his last book. After reading it (and with some caveats and small disagreements such as the cost of dealing with Climate Change) it is clear how the US has been the gluing force of globalization for around 70 years as securing mechanism against the Soviets.
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by HDThoreaun on Sunday December 25, 2022 @06:22PM (#34132599)
Zeihan is a quack who is blinded by nationalism. Capital will always chase cheap labor since shipping is cheap.
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by jaybna on Monday December 26, 2022 @07:31AM (#34137150)
Zeihan is as critical of the United States as anyone. He’s just more critical of China and Russia. While capital may always chase cheap labor, his point is that it may not be able to in a fractured economic and security environment. It’s gonna be a hell of a decade.