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Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by blamazon on Sunday December 11, 2022 @11:36AM (#33944653)
On negative externalities - if we don't change our course, practically every facet of our daily lives will continue to be dependent on petrochemical solids for long after we switch completely to electric vehicles and renewable energy.

Plastic in my eyes is basically petro byproducts 'blitzscaled' to all layers of the economy, all the way down to the literal bloodstreams of all living organisms.

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by into_infinity on Sunday December 11, 2022 @11:58AM (#33944900)
This laundry basket is an example of externalities being quite reasonable, though. It lasted 20+ years and that's not an outlier for items like this. I'd wager that making it out of anything else would have a worse environmental impact. Metal is far more energy-intensive. Fabric is far less durable.

Throwaway plastics are far more of a problem, although the scale of the problem is often overstated for ideological reasons. For example, we're not at risk of running out of landfill space; and while plastics in the ocean are worth fixing, but there's little evidence that they're destroying ecosystems or harming health.

Plastics are essentially a distraction. The vast majority of emissions that actually harm the environment come from other industries, but these problems are less tractable, so we get preoccupied washing yogurt cups and banning plastic straws instead.

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by blamazon on Sunday December 11, 2022 @12:21PM (#33945147)
Fair point on the posted laundry basket being a win. But it is undeniable that it's so inexpensive because of all the plastic that was disposed. We also didn't see all the identical laundry baskets that went straight into landfill. I do understand real life landfills aren't like Wall-E, but in that film they certainly didn't run out of landfill space and it wasn't a utopia.

On the second point, I don't find it too convincing that I don't have to worry about plastics in my blood, my children's blood, their children's blood, because we don't understand it very well yet. And on the ocean plastic, that's just the tip of the iceberg that we can see and talk about easily. The real thing that's killing ecosystems en masse is not at the output end of the system, but on the input end. Global reliance on petrochemicals, industrial pesticides derived thereby, etc. I'm a scuba diver and I've watched reefs die with my own eyes.

I just can't shake the feeling we are on course to strip the planet of billions of years of biodiversity and in 1000 years whoever is left will regard the decisions of our time w.r.t. resource extraction as catastrophically stupid. But I do acknowledge how this is idealogical and emotionally based as you point out, and I can agree to disagree. My friends tell me: we won't be alive in 1000 years, so who cares? That doesn't sit well with me, but I get it.

Edit: noticed your edit and agree a lot with that point!

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by Swizec on Sunday December 11, 2022 @02:00PM (#33946235)
> to strip the planet of billions of years of biodiversity and in 1000 years whoever is left will regard the decisions of our time w.r.t. resource extraction as catastrophically stupid

About 300 years ago Europe was mostly stripped bare of forests. It helped us get to the point where we can say “Wow that was stupid”.

Now we use forests less (thanks to coal and later oil) and Europe is regrowing most of them. Yes ecosystems were impacted and biodiversity changed … now it’s slowly coming back. On the scale of millions of years this event is largely invisible.

> As a result, during the period 1750-1850 forests in Central Europe had been decimated, causing a serious lack of timber. Some contemporary reports even spoke partly of desert-like landscapes at that time. During the late 19th and 20th centuries a huge amount of artificial reforestation was implemented.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_forest_in_Cen...

> The area of forest in the EU increased by almost 10 % in 1990–2020; with the largest relative increase in Ireland (by 69 %) and largest absolute increase in Spain (by 4.7 million ha). Estimated 63 % of the net annual increment of timber in EU forests was logged in 2019

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php...

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by bacon_waffle on Sunday December 11, 2022 @05:37PM (#33948343)
> but there's little evidence that they're destroying ecosystems

Plastic waste in the ocean is a major issue for seabirds [1]

> or harming health

"The combined data, although fragmentary, indicate that exposure to micro- and nanoplastics can induce oxidative stress, potentially resulting in cellular damage and an increased vulnerability to develop neuronal disorders." [2]

I do agree that single-use plastics are a much bigger issue than less-durable plastic stuff like that laundry basket, and that greenhouse gas emissions are a bigger issue than waste disposal. That does not mean that plastic waste is not a big problem.

[1] https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-5714369/Film...

[2] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32513186/

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by TeMPOraL on Monday December 12, 2022 @04:22AM (#33952653)
> > but there's little evidence that they're (...) harming health

> "The combined data, although fragmentary, indicate that exposure to micro- and nanoplastics can induce oxidative stress, potentially resulting in cellular damage and an increased vulnerability to develop neuronal disorders."

I.e. just like GP said, there's little evidence. Not a complete nothingburger, but also nothing that enables you to truthfully say "microplastics are harming health" in a nontrivial sense, demanding priority attention.

Note the language used in the abstract you quoted: "can induce oxidative stress, potentially resulting in cellular damage and an increased vulnerability to develop neuronal disorders" (emphasis mine). The very next sentence continues: "Additionally, exposure to micro- and nanoplastics can result in inhibition of acetylcholinesterase activity and altered neurotransmitter levels, which both may contribute to the reported behavioral changes." (emphasis again mine).

"Can", "potentially resulting", "increased vulnerability", "may contribute" - this language is very deliberate: "Can" means, it also could not, or could sometimes not; the potential in "potentially resulting" may not realize; "increased vulnerability" is true even if the increase is completely insignificant; "may contribute" doesn't say which way, or how much. Scientific papers use such constructs to hint at potentiality without committing to it. A big shmaybe.

(Politicians and marketers and activists (and small children) use this kind of language too, relying on the audience to miss the hedge, so they can convince people to believe in lies, without technically lying to them.)

Conversely, when someone has something concrete to say, they don't hedge like this - instead, they say "does", "results in", "causes X under conditions Y", "increases vulnerability by Z", "contributes to U", etc.

So, in short, no: the bit of abstract you quoted isn't refuting GP's point, but actually confirming it. Microplastics are a pure distraction.

----

In case you have doubts, I recommend reading the full text of the article[0]. All those hedges are made more concrete in the article body - some in the analysis of prior work, others in the conclusion. Interesting quotes:

"Moreover, the potential health risks resulting from micro- and nanoplastics exposure, uptake and translocation is poorly investigated and is an important matter of ongoing debate [14, 18, 34,35,36]." (From "Background")

"The extent to which these effects are also applicable to micro- and nanoplastics is however largely unknown." (From "Main text")

"In striking contrast to the relative wealth of available rodent in vivo studies with metal(oxide) nanoparticles, there are only two studies that investigated the neurotoxicity of micro- and nanoplastics in rodents. This is particularly striking given the observed neurotoxic effects of exposure to micro- and nanoplastics in fish and (marine) invertebrates." (From "Neurotoxic effects of micro- and nanoplastics in rodents")

"Information regarding levels of small plastic particles in the environment, (drinking) water and food chain are still scarce and often only limited quality criteria are reported. More and improved data on the occurrence of small plastics particles in the different environmental matrices is needed to reliably estimate human exposure and aid hazard and risk assessment, and current efforts aim at harmonizing monitoring methods and quality criteria [106,107,108]." (From "Reflections on and potential implications of neurotoxicity induced by micro- and nanoplastics")

"The concentrations of micro- and nanoplastics used in experimental studies are often (much) higher than those currently found in the (aquatic) environment. (...) Unfortunately, the dose is often expressed as weight/volume, without info on particle density. Consequently, information regarding particle numbers is often unknown. Although exact details on human intake of micro- and nanoplastics are often also unknown, these are likely to be much lower. (...) Notably, while some information is available on (human) intake, the information regarding uptake and translocation in animals or human is even more scarce. Few of the studies published so far made serious efforts to quantify particle uptake and translocation, so it is often unclear whether or not the particles actually made it to the tissues/systemic circulation, whether or not particles can subsequently be excreted/eliminated, and how uptake and distribution relate to the observed (neurotoxic) effect." (Ibid)

"Notably, most experimental exposures used so far are not very realistic for human exposure. Most studies used short exposure durations, with high exposure levels, while humans are chronically exposed to low levels. Additional shortcomings of the available studies include the use of (virgin) particle types and shapes that are not environmentally relevant. Moreover, a systematic comparison of different particle types, shapes, sizes and concentrations is lacking and to date most research focused on aquatic species." (From "Conclusions")

And there's many, many more statements like this - I recommend reading the full article; I omitted quotes with numbers and details that would require quoting half a page here. The article raises a good point that there is a reason to worry - micro- and nano-plastics have structural similarities to chemically inert metal particles, which are known to be hazardous to health. But while it's rather apparent micro- and nanoplastics are harmful to some degree, whether or not and how big of an issue that is is very much unclear at this point.

The way this is a distraction is because it competes for attention and care with CO₂ emissions and climate change, which is known to be an imminent extinction-level threat. Additionally, some of the proposed mitigations for plastic pollution problems run counter to what's needed to deal with climate change at the moment.

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[0] - https://particleandfibretoxicology.biomedcentral.com/article...

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by bacon_waffle on Monday December 12, 2022 @02:00PM (#33958665)
> The article raises a good point that there is a reason to worry - micro- and nano-plastics have structural similarities to chemically inert metal particles, which are known to be hazardous to health.

As nice as it would be to be able to focus all our efforts on just the one Big Problem, I just don't think that's a viable approach for the reality we live in. We need to simultaneously address plastic waste, which is a real problem, and all the other stuff too.

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by Denvercoder9 on Sunday December 11, 2022 @04:13PM (#33947589)
> will continue to be dependent on petrochemical solids for long after we switch completely to electric vehicles and renewable energy

Does anyone have insight in what the negative effects here are, if any? It feels like this should be problematic, but I just can't put my finger on what problems this is creating. Like e.g. extracting oil to create single-use plastics that get put in a landfill after usage: it sounds bad, but what's actually the problem (assuming the whole process is done without burning any of the oil - which afaik is possible)?

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by blamazon on Monday December 12, 2022 @04:12PM (#33960346)
To me it's at the root just an ethical capital allocation problem. We can split hairs about specifics but it's hard to argue Petro is interested in the common good, it's obviously interested in making money from oil extraction, common good be damned. I'd much rather incentivize a very different, more ethical form of industrial practice. More efficient, more local, less tragic commons. More locally recycled paper bags and food that comes in banana leaves. Less single use plastics that are generally impossible to recycle locally. More bike lanes and more transit, two things oil companies are traditionally villainous about lobbying against. Fewer oil spills, less tanker mileage. Less land allocated to vast chemical plants. More carbon tax. Etc.

As long as we're hooked on the conveniences of plastic and gas stoves, it will be difficult to achieve a Star Trek type future.

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by SV_BubbleTime on Sunday December 11, 2022 @11:42AM (#33944720)
I’ve had the fortune of working in industries that most people don’t see the back end of…

Like it or not; we will use every drop of oil there is, one way or another. I wouldn’t bet against oil companies even if all cars were electric by means of a genie.

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by maxerickson on Sunday December 11, 2022 @03:19PM (#33947032)
Synthesized replacements (starting from plant stocks or whatever) will probably be cheaper at some point. Like some point in the next several decades, not in the far flung future.
Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by fbdab103 on Sunday December 11, 2022 @05:08PM (#33948098)
That feels like it might be possible, but we would have to stop subsidizing corn in favor of plants with markedly better yields (eg switchgrass). That will require significant political capital.
Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by maxerickson on Sunday December 11, 2022 @07:40PM (#33949403)
It would just require a market for switchgrass.
Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by Gare on Sunday December 11, 2022 @11:57AM (#33944888)
It seems only 4% of the World oil/gas production is used for plastics.

https://www.bpf.co.uk/press/Oil_Consumption.aspx

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by blamazon on Sunday December 11, 2022 @12:36PM (#33945304)
Good lord, all the plastic in the world being four percent of oil and gas production is terrifying. Implying the rest basically ends up combusted into the atmosphere? The fact that increasing the percentage of oil and gas used for plastic looks like a good option by comparison turns my stomach.
Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by SV_BubbleTime on Sunday December 11, 2022 @01:42PM (#33946024)
The wonder composites that make electric cars possible are all oil. Carbon fiber is hilariously not-green to produce. Make a tube out of oil and burn it over and over. Now make a car out of it with zero chance to recycle and talk about how green it is.

Two things to your post though. Yes, making things out of oil is probably better than burning it. But don’t mistake how much oil is used in the side-processes.

We will burn the oil one way or another. Until there is a better source of energy with better safety and density than hydrocarbons, we’ll use it all. If not in cars, in power plants, if not there in military, if not there in 3rd world, etc.

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by omg_ponies on Sunday December 11, 2022 @04:50PM (#33947931)
> The wonder composites that make electric cars possible are all oil.

I'm sure composites make electric cars better, but I don't think electric cars are impossible without composites.

Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by Tao3300 on Sunday December 11, 2022 @06:05PM (#33948606)
Not sure how much winds up in cosmetics, cleaners, lubricants and stuff.
Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by wizofaus on Sunday December 11, 2022 @04:54PM (#33947977)
The same was likely said of whale blubber 150 years ago.
Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by Tao3300 on Sunday December 11, 2022 @05:50PM (#33948459)
And we almost used all of it then.
Re:Meditations on an inexpensive laundry basket by wizofaus on Monday December 12, 2022 @12:47PM (#33957680)
But still managed to avoid hunting any species to worldwide extinction - so perhaps there's some hope.