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A comment on Why it’s hard to buy deodorant in Manhattan.

Re:Why it’s hard to buy deodorant in Manhattan by meanmrmustard92 on Thursday November 24, 2022 @08:15PM (#33738035)
Some speculated that prosecutors had gone soft on looting after the Black Lives Matter protests in 2020. But it is hard to see any such trend in the data: generally states with more shoplifting prosecute more shoplifters

The claim is about the time-series comparison, and the rebuttal is about the cross section comparison. Is the journalist in question stupid, gaslighting, or both?

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Re:Why it’s hard to buy deodorant in Manhattan by lupire on Thursday November 24, 2022 @08:49PM (#33738266)
The rebuttal was explaining the trend that does exist.
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Re:Why it’s hard to buy deodorant in Manhattan by Our_Benefactors on Thursday November 24, 2022 @09:03PM (#33738364)
Are you stupid, gaslighting, or both?

The written statement doesn’t even address that BLM riots would be correlated with an increase in shoplifting. Being a state with more or less shoplifting is irrelevant - it’s a relative comparison of amount of shoplifting in one place, both before Floyd and after.

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Re:Why it’s hard to buy deodorant in Manhattan by pitaj on Thursday November 24, 2022 @10:37PM (#33738916)
Where do they explain that the trend doesn't exist? They make no statement that applies over time.
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Re:Why it’s hard to buy deodorant in Manhattan by hellfish on Thursday November 24, 2022 @10:21PM (#33738837)
You just don't get the message ig? Maybe if you just stop thinking and accept that 2+2=5 it will make sense :)
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Re:Why it’s hard to buy deodorant in Manhattan by joenot443 on Friday November 25, 2022 @08:42AM (#33742273)
It's funny they say it's "hard to see any such trend in the data" of arrests in a post-Ferguson America when the data is so apparent and its meaning so contested that it has its own Wikipedia article.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ferguson_effect

It would be totally illogical to pretend that such massive sweeping change in public perception of policing would have no effect on the activity of the police themselves.

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