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A comment on Show HN: Noctie – A chess AI that predicts your rating. Parent comment

Re:Show HN: Noctie – A chess AI that predicts your rating by MereGurudev on Wednesday November 23, 2022 @01:33PM (#33722880)
I think you were just unlucky with the opening! When I'm testing it's about 60/40 1...e5 vs 1...c5. The first opening moves should be quite close to what a 1600 FIDE player plays in online blitz.
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Re:Show HN: Noctie – A chess AI that predicts your rating by myaccount9786 on Wednesday November 23, 2022 @01:41PM (#33722977)
Oh haha N=2 here, so you are probably right. Survivorship bias on my part.

I posted these stats in another thread:

According to https://lichess.org/analysis#1, for blitz and rapid games played on lichess with 1.e4, 1...e5 is 33%, 1...c5 is 25% and 1...e6 is 10%. And 35% is some other nonsense.

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Re:Show HN: Noctie – A chess AI that predicts your rating by myaccount9786 on Wednesday November 23, 2022 @01:43PM (#33723002)
Does it use the frequencies from the lichess database? That would be pretty cool if it did!
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