News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by somenameforme on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:08PM (#33701754)
It's amazing how quickly fake news is able to spread through "credible" news sources, all without even the slightest bit of real verification. I don't know if its scary or comforting to consider that if the political establishment wanted WW3, they could have it had it right there. The same intelligence agencies that convinced the world Iraq had WMD could have simply agreed with the story/Zelensky/et al, declare anybody debating it to be a "conspiracy theorist promoting Russian misinformation/propaganda", invoke article 5, and away we go.
Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by defrost on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:36PM (#33701953)
> The same intelligence agencies that convinced the world Iraq had WMD

To be more accurate about something that matters, no intelligence agency in the US, the UK, AU, or other major intell nation claimed that Iraq had WMD's.

That was completely and utterly a senior US political position that demanded non existeant evidence to support a bizarro "known unknowns" claim .. backed by then UK politicians and tacitly agreed with by the then AU Prime Minister.

US Colin Powell did the worst dog and pony show at the UN talking up cartoons as "evidence" and agencies did what they do and made no public comment but . . .

Nobody with a clue and eyes on the ground from the Intell community thought WMDs were a thing, that one was all from the political sphere.

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by kamaal on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @12:01AM (#33702167)
>>That was completely and utterly a senior US political position that demanded non existeant evidence to support a bizarro "known unknowns" claim

Asking people to "Prove a negative" is such a logical stupidity that is hard to understand how often people get into this.

Imagine you ordering something online on Amazon. And not getting it delivered. And then when you complain to Amazon about this, they asking you to provide a proof that it was not delivered and you don't have it.

How does somebody prove they don't have something? How do they get punished for not showing the absence of something they don't have?

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by somenameforme on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @12:05AM (#33702193)
This is a declassified section from the National Intelligence Estimate 2002, which was used as one of the primary justifications for the invasion:

-------------------------- Iraq's Continuing Programs for Weapons of Mass Destruction

       We judge that Iraq has continued its weapons of mass 
     destruction (WMD) programs in defiance of UN resolutions and 
     restrictions. Baghdad has chemical and biological weapons as 
     well as missiles with ranges in excess of UN restrictions; if 
     left unchecked, it probably will have a nuclear weapon during 
     this decade. (See INR alternative view at the end of these 
     Key Judgments.)
       We judge that we are seeing only a portion of Iraq's WMD 
     efforts, owing to Baghdad's vigorous denial and deception 
     efforts. Revelations after the Gulf war starkly demonstrate 
     the extensive efforts undertaken by Iraq to deny information. 
     We lack specific information on many key aspects of Iraq's 
     WJMD programs.
       Since inspections ended in 1998, Iraq has maintained its 
     chemical weapons effort, energized its missile program, and 
     invested more heavily in biological weapons; in the view of 
     most agencies, Baghdad is reconstituting its nuclear weapons 
     program.
https://irp.fas.org/congress/2003_cr/h072103.html --------------------------

Here is reporting from WaPo and NYTimes on what you're saying you saw as Colin's "dog and pony show."

Washington Post - "Irrefutable" : https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/opinions/2003/02/06/i...

NYTimes - "Irrefutable and Undeniable" : https://www.nytimes.com/2003/02/06/opinion/irrefutable-and-u...

In the midst of war, if you dared to call such thing a "dog and pony show" you'd be called a Saddam shill. War propaganda is a hell of drug, and we often only realize what's happening long after its over. And then we rewrite history in some sort of cognitive dissonance, failing to learn from the past.

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by moistly on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @12:14AM (#33702256)
As OP said, no one with a clue believed it. Hence the demonstrations. Big demonstrations.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Protests_against_the_Iraq_Wa...

> According to the French academic Dominique Reynié, between January 3 and April 12, 2003, 36 million people across the globe took part in almost 3,000 protests against the Iraq war.

> In the United States, even though pro-war demonstrators have been quoted as referring to anti-war protests as a "vocal minority", Gallup Polls updated September 14, 2007 state, "Since the summer of 2005, opponents of the war have tended to outnumber supporters. A majority of Americans believe the war was a mistake."

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by somenameforme on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @12:44AM (#33702458)
Whether intentionally or not, you're giving results of polls years after the invasion. Wars look very different after the fact. In the midst of the war you're surrounded by endless lies, misrepresentations, and propaganda. And most people simply follow along. After all, who wants to be called a Saddam shill?

Wiki has a series of poll results on public opinion of Iraq during after the war. [1] In May 2003, 79% of Americans thought the war was justified, regardless of whether or not WMD existed. And by the time the war had kicked off 90% of Americans believed it "at least somewhat likely" that WMD would be found.

[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_opinion_in_the_United_S...

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by defrost on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @01:49AM (#33702860)
Well, that's Central North Americans for you - still reeling after the 9-11 attacks and looking hard for revenge, however unjustified, and thus easily manipulated by politicians and the press.

In the UK and AU, the two principal partners of the "coalition of the willing", few in the public felt the situation justified and the bulk of those with exposure to global policy, military intell, travel abroad etc. definitely felt it was a bogus war.

Tony Blair was all too aware the supporting intelligence was thin and inadequate at the time - which came out in followup Royal Commissions(?) (they had a big UK inquiry into the matter), and John Howard (AU) was happy to play along despite a lack of backing from ASIO et al on the intel as it was a treaty obligation for AU and not pushing back gave leverage for other US-AU deals.

Altogether it was much less a coalition of the willing than it was a tagging along of the bribed.

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by duxup on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:19PM (#33701829)
Personally I think of incorrect news without someone trying to lie or distort the news as just a mistake.

As far as I know that was the case here, and bound to happen a great deal.

I think of fake news as something else.

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by kodyo on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:20PM (#33701837)
Shitty reporting that supports your intelligence agency's agenda is pretty straight-forward fake news.
Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by kube-system on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:33PM (#33701936)
Have you read anything that the DoD says about this conflict? They very clearly do not want to get involved in this war first-hand. Nor would it make any sense for them to do so, the most selfish action here is to simply send weapons and let Ukraine do all the dirty work.
Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by somenameforme on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @12:36AM (#33702409)
That is literally their only choice. Ukrainians and Russians are dying by the tens of thousands. American soldiers would be better trained and better equipped than both sides, but they would also be dying in large numbers. We lost nearly 5000 thousand soldiers in Iraq, with complete and unchallenged air superiority, to disorganized religious radicals running around with 1950s era rifles and low-grade improvised explosives. We're all just vulnerable sacks of flesh and bone in the end.

And Americans would tolerate this for approximately 0 seconds. Consider how we feel about the hundreds of thousands of Iraqis that died or were killed during our invasion of Iraq (high end figures putting it in the millions), contrasted against the 5000 Americans who died. It's an entirely different sort of care when speaking of people you have no connection to as opposed to your neighbor or even your own son dying. When its other people, the real cost isn't truly felt.

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by kodyo on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @11:20AM (#33707441)
I agree. It is absolutely in the interest of the American government to have Ukrainians and Russians die, preferably through the use of American weapons. The fact that America and NATO have been supporting the war rather than pursuing peace seals the argument.

Any news story that keeps the good versus evil narrative going is desirable.

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by kube-system on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @12:14PM (#33708144)
> It is absolutely in the interest of the American government to have Ukrainians and Russians die

It is in the US's interest for Russia to deplete their military capability, and for Ukraine to not become part of Russia.

> The fact that America and NATO have been supporting the war rather than pursuing peace seals the argument.

How does NATO "pursue peace" in a conflict they aren't a party to? What exactly do you think they should do? One side of this war has the unilateral power to end it, and it ain't NATO, the US, or Ukraine.

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by somenameforme on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @01:17PM (#33708927)
If the US stops sending endless weapons and money to Ukraine, the war ends. If Ukraine agrees to concede the predominately ethnic Russian areas that Russia has occupied, the war ends. If Russia surrenders said territories to Ukraine, the war ends.

But nobody wants to concede anything. So the war will continue, undoubtedly with plentiful more opportunities to find ourselves in WW3.

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by duxup on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @04:00PM (#33711445)
Why should the Ukrainians want to concede?
Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by somenameforme on Wednesday November 23, 2022 @01:10AM (#33715812)
Nobody has any reason to. Ukraine has made their biggest gains since the beginning of the war. Russia controls vast regions of land under no real threat, while Ukraine is facing a crippling energy crisis going into winter. And the US is weakening a geopolitical adversary and has been granted a defacto right to give the military industrial complex a blank check - something the political establishment has been longing for, for decades.

So I don't think anybody is anywhere near ready to concede. It's certainly going much worse for Russia than they expected, but being where we're at today is also far from what the US had in mind 9 months ago when this all started. It seems the most likely outcome for this war is a long, bloody, and expensive affair. The real issue is the specter of WW3 in the backdrop. There's an argument to be made that Zelensky sees that as a win condition (as per the topic of this thread), but fortunately it seems that neither the US nor Russia do. And they are the ones that get to decide if/when that happens.

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by _kbh_ on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @07:21PM (#33713434)
> But nobody wants to concede anything. So the war will continue, undoubtedly with plentiful more opportunities to find ourselves in WW3.

Giving in to the nuclear and other blackmail that Russia uses will never get lasting peace.

All it will do is get Russia to invade again in the future. You only need to see, Moldova, Georgia, Crimea, and Donbas to see this.

The only real peace for this war is a peace where Russia retreats entirely from Ukraine, militarily defeated and it becomes clear to Russia that any future invasion will be met with an even stronger force.

Otherwise the little green men will keep appearing and the Russians will keep invading countries.

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by duxup on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:23PM (#33701867)
I don’t see anyone getting anything out of that story…

Who would push that story and then just let the news come out that it was actually Ukrainian?

I also haven’t seen anything to indicate it was anything but just bad reporting.

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by ajross on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:23PM (#33701865)
What agenda? The state department and white house straight up denied this story when it ran!
Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by kodyo on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:29PM (#33701915)
CBS news said Russia was responsible no matter who fired the rocket, but yeah, there's no media or political agenda detected here!

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ukraine-news-russia-poland-miss...

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by andrewflnr on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:46PM (#33702037)
I'm pretty sure that's just so they don't feel like they have to go all Article 5 on Ukraine. That would be really awkward, going to war against a country you were donating arms to yesterday, right? So sure, there's an agenda, but it seems like a morally defensible one, and not one supported by lies (at least not where it intersects with US interests).
Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by kube-system on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:54PM (#33702106)
If Russia was not firing missiles at Ukrainian cities, Ukraine would not be firing their defense systems.
Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by roywiggins on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:19PM (#33701830)
Okay, but consider the fact that they didn't as evidence that NATO doesn't actually want to escalate this war. It's going pretty well for NATO, at relatively low cost (to NATO at least).
Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by HDThoreaun on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:26PM (#33701896)
The story was retracted the next day. Sure some madman could launch a bike whenever they want, I don’t think this ap story has anything to do with that.
Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by ajross on Monday November 21, 2022 @11:22PM (#33701854)
> The same intelligence agencies that convinced the world Iraq had WMD could have simply agreed with the story/Zelensky/et al, declare anybody debating it to be a "conspiracy theorist promoting Russian misinformation/propaganda", invoke article 5, and away we go.

But... they didn't. The people with the power put on their big boy pants and said "No, I don't think this is right", refused to engage with the outrage machine, and shared what intelligence they could to refute the story. And the new media retracted the piece within 24 hours and has not fired the author after an investigation.

Isn't that evidence that the system is working? Shouldn't you be celebrating it as a victory instead of complaining about things that didn't happen?

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by somenameforme on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @01:00AM (#33702554)
In wartime the cost for reporting false information can be catastrophic. And wartime is also when everybody has a very strong motivation to lie, and even some moral rationalizations for such. This news article put the US in a situation where the US had to say "our media is lying, our military ally is lying, our anonymous senior intelligence source is lying, and our enemy is telling the truth" or start WW3.

The one and only reason they did so is because the cost of this lie would have been too high. If the cost had simply been "Russia will be even more demonized" do you think, even for a second, that they would have "corrected the record"? And beyond this, also consider that the news sources running these stories had to realize the potentially massive implications of this. Yet they seemingly themselves did effectively 0 fact checking before running with it.

No, the system is most assuredly not working. The only system that is working is the desire to avoid Mutually Assured Destruction.

Re:AP fires reporter behind retracted ‘Russian missiles’ story by ajross on Tuesday November 22, 2022 @11:26AM (#33707511)
I'm always confused by arguments like that. The only way it works is if you assume bad faith (c.f. your six uses of the word "lie") on the part of everyone involved.

Isn't the much (!) simpler answer that the journalist had what he thought was a juicy scoop, the editors wanted to run it for clicks and eyeballs, and the system of checking and verification broke down. But that's just a mistake, and it happens everywhere in journalism. And it was corrected rapidly, by everyone involved.

You want this to be somehow morally different because of the "ZOMG WW3" situation, I guess? But I don't see how that works logically. People are going to make mistakes even in wartime, the question is if we trust folks in power to handle those mistakes correctly.

And, to repeat: people in power absolutely handled this responsibly. That's a good thing, not a bad thing, and I think we're much better off by rewarding that responsible use of power vs. screaming hyperbole.