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Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by bmitc on Sunday November 13, 2022 @04:57AM (#33581597)
Effective altruism seems to be a sort of cult that’s way for elites (that is, the upper class) to both make themselves feel better and to give them yet another vector of superiority over people.

In Sam Bankman-Fried’s case, he seems to have let it be a justification for the huge risks and likely criminal actions he took.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by googlryas on Sunday November 13, 2022 @05:02AM (#33581620)
SBF literally said he would wager the world for another world with 51% odds.

There's no amount of money that will satisfy someone like that, even if his EA statements were heartfelt. Why would he give a billion dollars to charities, when he could risk it, flip it into $20B, and give it to charity? Why would he give $20B to charity when he could risk it, and flip it into $150B? etc...

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by bmitc on Sunday November 13, 2022 @05:15AM (#33581698)
I do wonder what addictions he has. It seems amphetamines and gambling are at least two. Or it’s possible they’re more sociopathic tendencies.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by versteegen on Sunday November 13, 2022 @05:24AM (#33581737)
> Why would he give a billion dollars to charities, when he could risk it, flip it into $20B, and give it to charity? Why would he give $20B to charity when he could risk it, and flip it into $150B? etc...

But that would be the rational thing to do...

$1B less donated to charity is only roughly 1/20 as bad as $20B donated to charity is good, because there are also other people donating large amounts. In other words it's not at all like betting everything and ending up homeless if you lose the bet. At $20B vs $150B the catastrophe of losing $20B starts to become more significant, but I would absolutely still take that bet.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by tsimionescu on Sunday November 13, 2022 @06:06AM (#33581945)
It's easy to see that this logic leads to a Zeno's paradox where you can never donate anything because it would cut into potential future profits that you could donate in the future. Since it leads to contradiction, it is obviously wrong in some of its assumptions.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by versteegen on Sunday November 13, 2022 @08:30AM (#33582855)
No, because you are talking about compounding returns (which I was not), but improving people's lives today gives far greater long-term benefits than investing the money at reasonable return and donating more in the future, for well-known reasons.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by tsimionescu on Sunday November 13, 2022 @12:43PM (#33585303)
In your post above, you justified not giving 1B to charity because it could be bet until it raised to 150B. But there is no reason why, by the same logic, you couldn't justify playing that 150B to raise it to any number rather than giving it away to charity today.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by versteegen on Monday November 14, 2022 @07:20AM (#33592985)
The point I was trying to make in my post* was that at some point you should stop gambling, because losing the bet would be catastrophic to humanity, but that point is maybe around $10-100B. (Depending on odds, obviously). It's because you pick the low hanging fruit of good causes, so every doubling of the amount gives marginally fewer gains. Eg. just look at how Bill & Melinda Gates have complained about how hard it is to give away billions per year.

*Aside: obviously it was tone-deaf for me to reply to that quoted sentence out of the context in this case of the money being stolen

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by dr_dshiv on Sunday November 13, 2022 @06:24AM (#33582037)
That, I think, is the basis of the advice from Aaronson. There should be some natural rational limit to the tendency because of exactly the types of events that just happened.

Good luck finding that limit though, especially when the market seems undefeatable.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by 2-718-281-828 on Sunday November 13, 2022 @02:00PM (#33586199)
important point. best predictor for future behaviour is past behaviour. also the reason why somebody gets euch never suddenly becomes genuinely altruistic.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by vasco on Sunday November 13, 2022 @05:13AM (#33581683)
I'm not sure if it's that far to be a cult because I was never in it, and the will to share is commendable.

To me it sounds like a way to justify making more money at all costs under the guise of a moral high ground. It'd feel more honest to do it without the cosplay around it and the "I donate better than you" holier than thou-ness.

I think it's more of a reactionary outburst from people who became wealthy enough to wonder about the purpose of their life and want to detach themselves from the late stage capitalist brand they get as cushy first world living while still reaping all the benefits.

I'm afraid if there were many good hearted people in that movement this single event will also discredit the rest. But maybe it was all a cult, who knows.

In this guy's case it sounds like a handy way to minimize whatever sentence he gets over this because he can argue "he did it out of pure intentions to help the world", which basically counts as insurance / marketing expenses for the scam.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by michaelt on Sunday November 13, 2022 @06:36AM (#33582105)
> Effective altruism seems to be a sort of cult that’s way for elites (that is, the upper class) to both make themselves feel better and to give them yet another vector of superiority over people.

Setting aside the case of this crypto conman, is being holier-than-though the valid criticism it feels like - or is that just my instinct to protect my ego, when the guy sitting next to me and earning the same salary donates 100x more much to charity than I do?

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by MrMan on Sunday November 13, 2022 @08:32AM (#33582871)
most of the good done in the world thee days is paradoxically perhaps achieved through commerce, not charity per se. and even charities are mostly effective in the sense that they get money flowing into the economy, where people can trade value for value and attend to their material needs, etc etc. most charity is not as effective as simply achieving some equity in income distribution, or barring that just overall higher levels of income and lower costs for the inputs that go into the economy.

dont get fooled by people who think they can put good-ness into a box labelled "giving", I dont believe its that simple.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by michaelt on Sunday November 13, 2022 @08:52AM (#33583049)
Doesn't that imply an EA enthusiast earning to give at a wall street hedge fund is doubly good, because they're engaged in charity while engaging in commerce and making money flow around the economy?
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by MrMan on Sunday November 13, 2022 @10:15AM (#33583749)
I think charitable giving has mostly secondary or tertiary benefits and those are mostly "trickle down" or just velocity of money effects. it gets some hoarded wealth into circulation which was a big issue the last 20 years with lower rates and quantitative easing etc, creating so much hoarded cash (look at corporate cash balances and hedge fund / VC / PE assets the last 10 years as a clue)

like the covid vaccines weren't possible because charity, but because science, the two are in no way equivalent. and there is evidence (not proof) from the last 150 years that capitalism enables science at a much higher multiple than charitable giving.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by williamcotton on Sunday November 13, 2022 @07:20AM (#33582394)
Do you feel morally superior to Effective Altruists?
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by bmitc on Sunday November 13, 2022 @12:34PM (#33585210)
No.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried and the geometry of conscience by kalimanzaro on Sunday November 13, 2022 @08:16AM (#33582746)
There's another crypto figurehead who is prominently in the EA tribe: Vitalik Buterin.

I would characterise both as elite but not upper class (as in, regularly going to old money dinner/rave parties).

I don't know which of the two is more "Effectively Altruistic".. lol.

Nevertheless, I find the anti-parallels with Buterin .. charming. Vitalik is clearly less anti-intellectual, less ambitious (more Ravenclaw than Slytherin), and thus less offensive to the gods.