News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by pcurve on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @09:59AM (#33330545)
Very insightful. It corrected a lot of incorrect information I had on this issues.

1. Labor cost is an issue but at 530 per month as of 2020 Chinese mfr labor is still relatively cheap and only twice as expensive as India.

2. Sales in China peaked in 2015-6 in terms of percentage of revenue for Apple

3. Despite the move, analysts predict 80% of Apple products will still be made in China by 2025.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by rapsey on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:09AM (#33330656)
> 1. Labor cost is an issue but at 530 per month as of 2020 Chinese mfr labor is still relatively cheap and only twice as expensive as India.

Only by US standards. You can pay that much for a factory worker in eastern/south Europe. The US is a huge outlier regarding salaries compared to practically anywhere else.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by Bayart on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:23AM (#33330850)
> You can pay that much for a factory worker in eastern/south Europe

You'd be well bellow the gross average everywhere in the EU, even the poorest countries. Outside of the EU you might have a shot in Albania or Moldova, but you'd lack all the infrastructure and stability you'd need for large scale manufacturing.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by gambiting on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:37AM (#33331031)
Average is a really bad way of measuring what people get paid though. The average pay in Poland is currently 6700PLN/month , and that's a crazy amount of money for that country. Like, teachers are paid 2000-3000PLN, just to show you the disparity between the average and "real" pay of real people. A factory worker will make much closer to 2000PLN a month than 6700PLN.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by Darge on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:58AM (#33331399)
> Like, teachers are paid 2000-3000PLN

Can you please provide some sources for that claim?

For example [1] says that the lowest, starting salary is already over 3000. And the salaries for teachers grow with work experience.

[1] https://notesfrompoland.com/2022/10/12/polish-teachers-among...

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by gambiting on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @11:03AM (#33331490)
>>Can you please provide some sources for that claim?

Family who are teachers - but I guess the bottom of the scale has increased now, that's my mistake.

Also observe how the top of the scale is 64578PLN/year, and according to the article, teachers reach that level in about 20 years on average. So even after working in the profession for 20 years, you don't reach the average wage for your country when working as a teacher.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by Darge on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @11:16AM (#33331724)
The "average salary in Poland" you are mentioning is a very specific measurement based on companies that have 10 or more employees. This measures only a subset of workers: in particular, it does not measure the salaries of school teachers. The true average salary in Poland is lower than that.

I suspect that you do reach the average salary as an experienced teacher.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by michpoch on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @11:01AM (#33331464)
Your data is a bit dated - the minimum wage in Poland is 3010 PLN and it'll be 3490 PLN starting 1st Jan 2023.

The unemployment rate is very low, so to be able to hire factory employees you'd realistically need to offer at least 5000 PLN (~1000 USD) in gross salary.

You'd have a much better chance to open such factory in Spain or Portugal, the salaries are similar, but you'll have an easier time hiring + green energy from sun.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by Tade0 on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @11:10AM (#33331621)
Minimum wage in 2022 is 3010PLN, so they can't make 2k unless you're talking about pay after taxes, but that 6.7k figure is before taxes, so it's not an apples to apples comparison.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by rapsey on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:26AM (#33330873)
A factory worker is living on minimum wage. Nowhere near average.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by nmarinov on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:35AM (#33331006)
They don't seem to be minimum wage workers in China[1] and India[2]. And are in fact much closer to median than minimum.

Europe's minimum wages are much higher in comparison[3].

[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimum_wage_in_China

[2]https://www.india-briefing.com/news/guide-minimum-wage-india...

[3]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_European_countries_by_...

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by rapsey on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:51AM (#33331241)
I don't understand your point. Google says Chinese manufacturing jobs pay $11k per year in 2020. This is a salary level of a south/east European factory worker.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by nmarinov on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @11:09AM (#33331599)
My point is that in general manufacturing jobs aren't minimum wage. And those levels are below minimum wage in most European countries.

I just checked job postings in Bulgaria(the poorest EU country) and $11k is just a bit above entry level salary for unskilled uneducated manufacturing workers. It's higher with taxes, experience, etc. and there's a lot of better options at that level.

And the truth is even if you can find cheap employees in Albania, Bulgaria, Belarus, Macedonia, infrastructure is not there and investment wouldn't make much sense because there's not a lot of people here that are okay with such low wages.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by michpoch on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @11:05AM (#33331535)
That's the salary. Now, you have employers costs, which will be much higher in socialistic countries in EU.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by marcus_holmes on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @11:31AM (#33331957)
not so much - US employees need very expensive employer-provided health insurance. In the EU that's covered by taxes instead. I couldn't find a direct comparison (hard because it varies by state & country), but it seems to be a wash:

https://topsourceworldwide.com/international-salaries/

note that China is 40% of salary as a payroll tax, which tops the list.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by pwinnski on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @01:07PM (#33333340)
Quite the (wrong) assumptions, in service to a preconceived narrative.

What you term "socialistic" countries handle government services via taxes more than levies on employers.

It looks like the employer cost in China is 40.92%[0], while the highest percentage in Europe is 32.4% in Italy, and Switzerland imposes only 9.5%.

0. https://topsourceworldwide.com/international-salaries/

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by rocgf on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:23AM (#33330842)
> The US is a huge outlier regarding salaries compared to practically anywhere else.

That is obviously not true, unless you exclude a lot of countries from "anywhere else".

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by rapsey on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:24AM (#33330853)
Ok name the countries.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by pdabbadabba on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:34AM (#33330991)
It might be an exaggeration to say that the U.S. is a huge outlier. I suppose that's subjective. But it certainly looks like an outlier in this summary of average wages of OECD countries: https://data.oecd.org/earnwage/average-wages.htm Average wages in the U.S. are, in fact, the highest among all OECD countries--and much higher than all but a few very small countries (Luxembourg, Switzerland, and Iceland).

I wonder, though, how well this holds up if you look at the lower quintiles of the income distribution in each country--i.e., if you compare poorer workers instead of average workers. I would not be surprised if the bottom quintile earners in the U.S. make less than their counterparts in the EU, and perhaps elsewhere.

Edit: OECD also provides average earnings by activity and if you look at average earnings in "industry," the U.S. is, indeed, far from the top, with many countries in Eastern Europe ranking quite highly. Of course, that could just as easily be an effect of the types of industry located in each country, more than anything. You may still need to pay an American far more to build an iPhone than a Slovenian, which is a question I don't think this data meaningfully addresses.

https://data.oecd.org/earnwage/employee-compensation-by-acti...

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by alistairSH on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:32AM (#33330963)
Belgium. Denmark. Sweden. Germany. All relatively competitive with US on an hourly basis.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by slaw on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:55AM (#33331342)
Local grocery in Seattle is hiring, $26/hour. From what I read on hackernews is like entry software engineer job in Sweden.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by alistairSH on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:59AM (#33331414)
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by slaw on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @11:30AM (#33331944)
One is labor cost the other is wage. Two different although related metrics.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by sgjohnson on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @01:30PM (#33333627)
Cost of living between Seattle and Stockholm is also probably comparable…

But to be fair, US software engineer salaries are super high compared to everywhere except Switzerland.

However there’s still no way in hell a grocery store anywhere in Europe is going to pay someone $26/h.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by jamesdgb on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:29AM (#33330918)
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by sgjohnson on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:39AM (#33331046)
This is completely factually wrong.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by Nimitz14 on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:40AM (#33331062)
Why don't you take a look at your link. Americans earn much more.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by rocgf on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:48AM (#33331200)
There are too many to name, it's basically the entire developed world, which is basically NA, Western Europe, Australia, Japan, South Korea.

Not saying the US is not more expensive, but it's not a "huge outlier" by any means.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by jamesdgb on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:30AM (#33330942)
From an European perspective labour in the US is cheaper
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by narag on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:57AM (#33331391)
You can pay that much for a factory worker in eastern/south Europe.

I don't know about eastern Europe. In Spain, we are in the south, you can't pay 530 per month. Legal minimum salary is around double that number, then you need to add SS (30 to 40% of that) and just FYI, there's no way people will work in a factory for minimum wage anyway, so think of 2k for entry positions.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by shagie on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @11:05AM (#33331541)
The issue isn't entirely "how much you pay someone" but also a significant bit of "the supply chain for all of the parts are entirely within the city."

That supply chain part was traditionally a strong draw for electronics manufacturing to be done in China as you can get parts from down the street rather than the next city or state or country over.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by stickfigure on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:46AM (#33331161)
> Labor cost is an issue but at 530 per month as of 2020 Chinese mfr labor is still relatively cheap and only twice as expensive as India.

The interesting question the article didn't answer is "how much labor goes into making an iphone?" The economics are very different if labor is 10% of the cost vs 70% of the cost.

Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by etempleton on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @11:51AM (#33332241)
I think at one point Steve Jobs had responded to a question on the topic of manufacturing location that the issue with moving manufacturing out of China, and specifically bringing more manufacturing back to the United States, had little to do with the cost of labor and more to do with the logistics networks. Building something as complex as an iPhone at scale and cost is basically impossible to do in the United States or really anywhere else right now.
Re:The end of Apple’s affair with China by UltraViolence on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @12:32PM (#33332853)
The kicker is that Apple has made itself too dependent on Chinese suppliers. It has outsourced much of the development of components and has lost in-house know-how on how to recreate those parts if a fall-out were to occur.

This is all according to Apple's "Don't leave money on the table" mantra where they want increasing profits year after year. In the end, it'll hurt them...bad.