I didn't even check the source of those numbers; it was just the first thing that came up in a very quick search. It doesn't really matter: even with 500 million or 100 million you've got the same "a small percentage of a very large group can cause a lot of havoc"-effect. You see the same if you drive to work: you can easily encounter over a 100 of other drivers, and only a very small percentage of them can give the perception that "people are such bad drivers" when in fact it's just the 1% of the 100 people you encountered on that trip.

I find it both depressing and comforting; it's comforting to know most people aren't that bad, and it's depressing that such a small group of assholes can fuck it all up.

You might be off by another factor of 100 because most of those "active users" just consume stuff and maybe add a comment.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1%25_rule

It doesn’t even matter — going back to the car example, say you drive near 1-2 thousand cars on an hour drive, if you have 2-3 scary experiences, that makes you think “drivers here suck!” So a sample size of like .1% makes you think a problem applies to 50% of drivers.

If I watch TikTok for an hour a day for a week, and I watch 4 videos/minute on average, I’ll watch over 1500 videos a week. If only one or two of those are VERY traumatizing (e.g. showing death), I’d think TikTok has a big moderation problem. That’s an ultra-low number of users making it seem like there is a huge issue

Disclaimer: I don’t have TikTok

TikTok having an estimated 1bn users is quite low when you compare it to the likes of Google's YouTube at twice that (2.5bn). If anything I expected TikTok to have passed the 2bn mark already considering its reach, most notably surpassed by Meta's subsidiaries and YouTube.

Of course now we have to have the conversation of "what is a user". ADU, AMU, people with app installed, etc.

If is banned in India and not used in China, so that limits reach.

> OF COURSE they are inflated

Bytedance is pre-IPO. However, you are accusing Google, Facebook, snapchat, Twitter of securities fraud. What is the latest from Musk, on Twitter's alleged securities fraud?

I'm not accusing anyone of anything other than padding their numbers. How you interpret that is up to you.

Do you really believe TikTok as exactly 1 Billion users, or 999,990,000+ users? Anyone that says that is 1 Billion is padding the numbers. Nobody is going to call that 999 million.

If the number is anything close to being rounded, the number is padded. Unless they are showing you an exact number from the time the count was read, it is being padded.