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Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by muchtest on Monday October 24, 2022 @06:08AM (#33314724)
On Nordstream explosion "Russia denies responsibility for the explosions. But few doubt that the Kremlin did it."

I can stop reading at this line to know that this isn't journalism, it's opinion at best and propaganda at worst. I expect better from HN.

At this point if Moscow gets obliterated in a Nuclear Mushroom cloud, I expect the next mornings headlines to be "And here's how Russia benefits from this"

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by dkjaudyeqooe on Monday October 24, 2022 @06:27AM (#33314859)
You denounce their pronouncement but what have you added to the discussion with your comment?

The explosions benefit Russia because it gives them cover for a permanent stop to supplying Germany with gas, something that was already a given because Germany would never buy gas from Russia again due to their atrocities in the war. In the Russians' mind it gives them the "moral high ground" rather than humiliation and makes out the West to be the villain. This is typical Russian logic.

On the other side there is no rational reason for the West to destroy the pipelines, outside of strained conspiracy theories that the US wanted to stop Germany from buying gas from Russia and buy it from the US, which was already happening. Nevermind that the risk/reward of such an action would be stupid for the US and that it has other, much safer ways to achieve the same result.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by muchtest on Monday October 24, 2022 @06:35AM (#33314921)
I've added that it's a terrible source and we should do better than this on HN.

"In the Russian's mind it gives them the "moral high ground" rather than humiliation and makes out the West to be the villain. This is typical Russian logic." - Nice Xenophobia, you should do better than this.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by dkjaudyeqooe on Monday October 24, 2022 @06:42AM (#33314966)
Where is the xenophobia? It's a fact amply illustrated by their pronouncements made during the war and recent history, and standard KGB fare.

You still haven't providing any counterargument to my points other than a ad-hominem attack.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by hdjjhhvvhga on Monday October 24, 2022 @09:44AM (#33316519)
> Nice Xenophobia

I think it a bit self-contradictory that the Russian media always accuse the West of being Russophobic and at the same time air programs like this one:

https://nitter.net/JuliaDavisNews/status/1584054018145685504

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by tuatoru on Monday October 24, 2022 @06:31AM (#33314889)
It does not benefit Russia. It benefits Putin by removing a motivation for other Moscow elites to depose him. They can't make a deal with Europe to turn the gas back on in exchange for Europe supporting their new regime.

Ordinary Russians need an income.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by hdjjhhvvhga on Monday October 24, 2022 @09:50AM (#33316580)
What is happening is that the thin line between Putin and Russians gets more and more blurred. When the war broke out in 24 February, there were a few protests, but they were quite scarce, and the opinion polls presented in Western media showed that Russians support Putin's war. Now after the mobilization things changed a bit, but it's very clear that many Russians, even well-educated, have soaked in a lot of what is being constantly broadcast in state media: that Ukrainians are subhuman Nazis that have been killing Russians for 8 years so Russia has no choice but save the children.

When you think of it, it's really sad. Because now that Russians have clearly realized that this is not any "special operation" but a real war, their war, and that they are going to die in it, it's already too late - it's even difficult to escape these days if you don't have ample resources.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by thwayca on Monday October 24, 2022 @07:00AM (#33315086)
> In the Russians' mind it gives them the "moral high ground" rather than humiliation and makes out the West to be the villain. This is typical Russian logic.

I am not a Russian, but would highly advise you to carefully choose your words about any nation and their beliefs/logic.

> On the other side there is no rational reason for the West to destroy the pipelines

If you can't find reason, doesn't mean there is no reason. I could also ask same question there was no reason for NATO expansion because war ended, no reason for EU/US not to support diplomatic actions, instead of pushing to the war.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by lr1970 on Monday October 24, 2022 @07:10AM (#33315176)
> The explosions benefit Russia because it gives them cover for a permanent stop to supplying Germany with gas,

Russia is still supplying gas to Europe (and indirectly to Germany) through Ukrainian pipelines that operate normally. Despite all the carnage of war neither side attacked the pipelines. War is war and business is business.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by geysersam on Monday October 24, 2022 @07:38AM (#33315402)
> no rational reason for the West to destroy the pipelines, outside of strained conspiracy theories that the US wanted to stop Germany from buying gas from Russia and buy it from the US

What makes it strained? Even if Germany didn't buy gas, and wasn't planning to buy gas, that could change any time. Now it cannot.

The gas shortage in Europe has only just begun. We will suffer from it over the next several years, Germany more than most.

Saying there was never any chance of a change of policy in Germany is not serious.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by tuatoru on Monday October 24, 2022 @06:39AM (#33314943)
> ... it's opinion at best and propaganda at worst. I expect better

Life is going to be one long series of disappointments for you. Well done for engaging your critical thinking faculties, but expecting unbiased facts is, well, naïve.

Keep being sceptical. Especially of the things you want to believe.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by joachim4 on Monday October 24, 2022 @06:28AM (#33314870)
On the Nordstream explosion, Russia continued to push gas into the pipeline after the explosion. Why, if it is broken, lose that gas to kill a whole ecosystem close the Danish / Swedish exclusive zones?

Also which other country does have an interest in cutting internet cables between Europe and the US?

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by sho on Monday October 24, 2022 @06:33AM (#33314907)
> I can stop reading at this line to know that this isn't journalism, it's opinion at best

It's the "opinion" of pretty much everyone in the geopolitical community. Hardly propaganda.

And equating The Economist with Russia Today is just ludicrous and a sad demonstration of the effectiveness of the "Firehose of falsehood" propaganda technique employed by, well, guess who. (hint - same guys who blew up the pipeline)

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by geysersam on Monday October 24, 2022 @07:31AM (#33315350)
It's opinion because there is not a sliver of proof who blew up the nordstream pipes. Only speculation based on the motives of different parties.

It's that simple.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by hackandthink on Monday October 24, 2022 @07:38AM (#33315401)
I agree: "It's the "opinion" of pretty much everyone in the geopolitical community."

I disagree: "Hardly propaganda."

A loneley voice in the geopolitical community (August Hanning):

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33066745

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by yucky on Monday October 24, 2022 @01:58PM (#33320069)
>It's the "opinion" of pretty much everyone in the geopolitical community.

How exactly did Russia sneak so deep into enemy territory to blow it up and sneak back out again? Especially considering how incompetent we hear that they are in literally every single article written?

I've yet to read a single explanation of this, and in fact you would think we're not supposed to look on a map and ask ourselves this question since it doesn't seem to even be asked by "everyone in the geopolitical community".

Doesn't that seem strange?

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by sofixa on Monday October 24, 2022 @02:21PM (#33320359)
Russia literally has submarines built for this type of purpose (e.g. the Belgorod). And yes, their armed forces are a clown fest of incompetence, but they still have the occasional hit/stroke of luck. They do genuinely produce some good equipment (e.g. BMP-3) that is easy to maintain, where they fail mostly is around the human factor.
Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by yucky on Monday October 24, 2022 @02:47PM (#33320703)
Sounds like US/NATO are incompetent then if they let Russia sneak in that deep and blow up a crucial pipeline in the middle of a war, all without a trace.

Fortunately the US benefits the most from this so that was very considerate of Russia, I guess. To sabotage themselves for our benefit. Bold move.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by dzhiurgis on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @07:45AM (#33329222)
FWIW Belgorod has draft of 10 meters, pipeline as at 50 meter depth. There isn't much much water to hide for such subs in baltic.
Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by sho on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @01:32AM (#33326617)
You forget that Russia controls the ingress end of the pipelines. They could, and IMO almost certainly did, simply send maintenance "pigs" [1] laden with explosives and a timer down 3 of the 4 lines. No submarines necessary, they didn't even have to leave the office.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pigging

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by yucky on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @07:42AM (#33329201)
The Swedish investigation determined there were explosions in the area, not from within the pipeline, so that would eliminate that. Also there is the pesky problem of how the US benefits from it while it hurts the Russians, so common sense would consider the motive.
Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by sho on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @09:49AM (#33330409)
Sure there were explosions, of course there were. The investigation has not released any information about the location - internal or external - please feel free to correct me. I was only demonstrating how easy it would have been for them, since others were going on about submarines and what not.

Russia had already shut off the gas, "hurting" themselves by your own logic. They have a long, proven history of irrational behaviour and false flag operations. And if the USA had done it, against all reason and logic, why didn't they finish the job?

Anyway, I did say almost certainly Russia. Who knows, could have been some faction in Germany or another EU power seeking to really force Germany's hand. But it seems far more likely to be the obvious actor with the means, motive and mindset who started the bloody war in the first place.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by yucky on Tuesday October 25, 2022 @10:12AM (#33330695)
It is trivial to determine blast direction (inward vs outward), which is how Sweden was able to determine so quickly that the blast was from nearby, not from within (which eliminates your theory completely).

Also, everybody in Europe hates Russia so if the investigation had pointed to them that would have been shouted from the rooftops immediately. Instead, the details of the report has been hidden from public view and Russia was told they couldn't see it.

So really nothing would indicate Russia is behind it and everything indicates they're not.

   Russia had already shut off the gas, "hurting" themselves by your own logic.
They shut it off which left them leverage (i.e. "play nice, we turn it back on"). Blowing it up removes that option and removes all of their leverage.
Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by lamontcg on Monday October 24, 2022 @03:59PM (#33321771)
> It's the "opinion" of pretty much everyone in the geopolitical community. Hardly propaganda.

"Everyone" thought that Saddam Hussein had an active WMD program.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by Ligma123 on Monday October 24, 2022 @06:12AM (#33314755)
Did you really expect anything else from "the Economist"?
Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by chimen on Monday October 24, 2022 @06:17AM (#33314789)
Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by dkjaudyeqooe on Monday October 24, 2022 @06:28AM (#33314862)
And that implies blowing it up?
Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by pydry on Monday October 24, 2022 @06:10AM (#33314740)
Yeah, this is the mirror image of RT.
Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by incomingpain on Monday October 24, 2022 @07:50AM (#33315508)
When countries are at war, you don't get to see the opposing point of view. Being said by the opinion writer, is they don't deny the Kremlin did it. Which is on the face of it utterly false. They likely aren't lying and probably believe it to be true. It's really a sign of how bad journalism as become.

If the kremlin wants to shut down the pipeline, they simply shutdown. The sender and receivers are the last folks who will sabotage or damage.

So who did? It's going to be a well funded country with something to win.

Norway just got their pipe online literally 1 day after.

Canada/USA want to export their energy. Well not canada, they lack the capability.

Middle east? Maybe? Unlikely.

Climate groups? Very unlikely.

China or India? Absolutely. They are getting a huge discount on russian energy now.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by yehosef on Monday October 24, 2022 @09:05AM (#33316126)
It's reasonable to assume that some govt did it, the number of options is small. The two likely suspects are the US or Russia.

Russia in active aggressor in this conflict and has the most to gain by killing the pipeline since the gas they now still sell is more expensive and they have other places to ship the gas (if anyone know a reference to Russian gas exports, I'd like to see).

For America to do it is harder to believe (even though there is a video of Biden alluding that they will "shut it down"). Even though they might have what to gain from LNG exports - the destruction of the European economy is not something that will help the US in the mid/long-term.

Re:Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is ... by kcplate on Monday October 24, 2022 @09:23PM (#33324994)
> For America to do it is harder to believe (even though there is a video of Biden alluding that they will "shut it down")

It would be one of the few actions the US could take in 2022 that would have pretty much bi-partisan political support. That to me lends a level of credibility to the possibility along with Biden’s inability to handle off the cuff questions, even though I suspect that the likely culprit is not the US.

However there is zero doubt in my mind that there are a group of folks within the Biden administration who cringe every time he runs off script. It’s said that President Obama once said “Never underestimate Joe Biden’s ability to fuck something up”.