Re:Nord Stream blast 'blew away 50 metres of pipe'
by guerrilla on Tuesday October 18, 2022 @10:57AM
(#33248236)
> If anything happened in the world, US must be behind it, military industrial complex blah blah blah.
Purely statistically speaking (without considering any details), that's definitely what one should bet on [1] before other information is recieved. If someone didn't know any of the specific facts, it's obvious that their intuition is honed correctly if that's their default. That doesn't mean it was the US, but without further knowledge (which most people don't have because who has the time for that), it's a very good default setting considering actual world history.
Purely statistically speaking (without considering any details), that's definitely what one should bet on [1] before other information is recieved. If someone didn't know any of the specific facts, it's obvious that their intuition is honed correctly if that's their default. That doesn't mean it was the US, but without further knowledge (which most people don't have because who has the time for that), it's a very good default setting considering actual world history.
1. https://github.com/binka/essays/blob/master/us_atrocities.md