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Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by bee_rider on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @06:24PM (#32830946)
Is there supposed to be an implication of "if it doesn't happen by 2020 I don't think it will ever happen" in the Vinge prediction?
Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by goatlover on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @07:47PM (#32831574)
No, it's he would be surprised if it happened later.
Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by bee_rider on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @08:26PM (#32831831)
The phrase "I'll be surprised if this happens later" is ambiguous, I'm wondering if that was intentional.