Re:The rise and fall of Cathie Wood, controversial Wall Stre...
by hodgesrm on Sunday May 29, 2022 @10:29PM
(#31554951)
Wasn't the lack of inflation driven by countervailing deflation from moving supply chains into lower cost regions like Eastern Europe and China? It's been a good 30 year run but that chicken is now coming home to roost.
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Re:The rise and fall of Cathie Wood, controversial Wall Stre...
by nagestri on Monday May 30, 2022 @08:39AM
(#31558334)
I would say more precisely it was a major variable in our ability to have huge economic growth, huge money printing all while having low inflation and a very low volatility in the amount of inflation. Of course, anything in this domain is going to have many dimensions but exporting our inflation was a major variable.
It is tough being mid 40s and realizing my entire adult life was a golden age that is gone forever.
Re:The rise and fall of Cathie Wood, controversial Wall Stre...
by hardwaresofton on Sunday May 29, 2022 @10:36PM
(#31554987)
That sounds like reasonable analysis, but I do want to point out I was thinking much shorter term -- like literally in the last 3 years and this situation specifically.
I do agree You're right that we are probably seeing the effects of globalization policy though, but I can't say I've thought much about that long of a time frame.
Re:The rise and fall of Cathie Wood, controversial Wall Stre...
by hodgesrm on Monday May 30, 2022 @10:57PM
(#31565696)
Understood. There's a certainly a difference between short term effects such as interest rates driving currency exchange rates vs. secular trends that depress currencies permanently. It seems as if some of the latter are becoming visible in a very short timeframe. The US has not experienced this kind of rapid shift since WW II.
Re:The rise and fall of Cathie Wood, controversial Wall Stre...
by pharmakom on Monday May 30, 2022 @06:18AM
(#31557371)
Yes. Also technological improvements have kept costs down (and hence prices) in some sectors, such as consumer electronics.
Mass onshoring will likely drive higher prices.
Cathie Wood thinks that more technological improvements are coming to counter-act this, and might even cause deflation. Most commentators are unconvinced.
Re:The rise and fall of Cathie Wood, controversial Wall Stre...
by refurb on Monday May 30, 2022 @07:33AM
(#31557904)
The lack of inflation was literally the lack of use of the "extra money". When the fed started buying assets and giving "new money", a lot of banks held onto that money instead of using it. The fed paid interest on holdings at the federal reserve bank.
It took a while for banks to extend themselves based on capital like they did prior to 2008. Once they did, the full extend of the "new money" drove inflation.