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A comment on Not a single car was sold in Shanghai last month. Parent comment

Re:Not a single car was sold in Shanghai last month by belter on Monday May 16, 2022 @12:25PM (#31399739)
"China hiding real Covid deaths by masking cause of death: Report"

"Amid a massive surge in COVID-19 cases in China, Beijing is trying to hide the real death toll by masking the cause of death. Citing Financial Times, Taiwan News reported that if someone dies after contracting COVID-19 but had, for example, cancer, heart disease, or diabetes at the time, Chinese hospitals would not classify the death as resulting from COVID-19, but as a chronic illness instead. The faulty methodology was confirmed by Jin Dong-yan, a virologist at Hong Kong University."

"The numbers are not accurate, but Shanghai hospitals are not necessarily doing this on purpose. From the start, China had this method of recording deaths," he added."

https://www.business-standard.com/article/current-affairs/ch...

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Not a single car was sold in Shanghai last month by DiogenesKynikos on Monday May 16, 2022 @02:09PM (#31401240)
First, taiwannews.com is not even remotely reliable for anything related to mainland China. This is the same outlet that claimed the Three Gorges Dam was about to break last year. Taiwannews.com loves disaster stories about China, and isn't afraid to invent them.

Second, all these stories about China supposedly concealing deaths in the Shanghai outbreak came out just a few weeks after cases began to rise. Back then, there were only a handful of reported deaths. A few weeks later, there have been over 500 deaths (roughly in line with what one would expect, given the number of infections), and these claims of concealing deaths look pretty silly. Deaths always lag cases, and there can also be reporting delays.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Not a single car was sold in Shanghai last month by belter on Monday May 16, 2022 @02:14PM (#31401302)
"The pandemic’s true death toll"

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-...

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Re:Not a single car was sold in Shanghai last month by DiogenesKynikos on Monday May 16, 2022 @02:39PM (#31401607)
I discussed The Economist's model a few comments up in this chain. It's a case of garbage-in, garbage-out.

When a black box ML model spits out a highly surprising answer that contradicts everything that is known, your response should be, "Why should I believe this model?"

[ Parent | on HN ]