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A comment on Bored Ape virtual land sale breaks Ethereum. Parent comment

Re:Bored Ape virtual land sale breaks Ethereum by jjulius on Monday May 02, 2022 @06:04PM (#31241586)
>Regardless of all of that, Ethereum will be on proof of stake within a year (wouldn't be surprised if it's 3 or 4 months at this point), at which point the CO2 argument will go away altogether).

Quoting for posterity.

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Re:Bored Ape virtual land sale breaks Ethereum by quickthrower2 on Monday May 02, 2022 @06:27PM (#31241852)
Do you think this is too optimistic?

https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-ethereum-switch-to-...

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Re:Bored Ape virtual land sale breaks Ethereum by xur17 on Tuesday May 03, 2022 @09:42AM (#31248190)
It looks like it changed pretty dramatically since you posted (it's now at a 24% chance of occurring before the end of the year). This site [0] uses actual money, and more closely lines up with what I expect (although still more pessimistic than I am).

[0] https://polymarket.com/market-group/ethereum-merge-pos

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Re:Bored Ape virtual land sale breaks Ethereum by jjulius on Monday May 02, 2022 @06:30PM (#31241891)
I have no position.
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Re:Bored Ape virtual land sale breaks Ethereum by xur17 on Monday May 02, 2022 @06:30PM (#31241896)
I'd be happy to make a bet based upon this statement.
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Re:Bored Ape virtual land sale breaks Ethereum by quickthrower2 on Monday May 02, 2022 @06:41PM (#31242034)
See my sister comment: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31241852 you can bet there, using free paper money and if you win donate (via conversion) to charity which is cool.
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