The resulting price boom isn’t a mere 5-10% increase, but hundreds of percent over the course of only 5-10 years.
I’ve seen condo prices double three times in five years in places.
You forgot cheap debt. There's also a ton of speculation. Jack up those interest rates and see where we're at.
Making it too expensive to buy a home does 'help' with prices, but it's more like treating the symptom than the cause. The result is there still isn't enough affordable housing in places where it is needed.
Consider the long term consequences of this debt economy. We’re just kicking the can down the road. It won’t magically get better. The sooner we (society) learn that massively over borrowing has consequences, the better.
I agree though that building more housing (or maybe radically changing the way housing works) should also happen. Maybe once everyone wakes up from this real estate debt fantasy there’ll be the political will to actually do something about it.
Average house price in Canada has ballooned. It’s like a crypto scheme, only instead of a bunch of shady YouTubers selling it, we have an entire industry of snake oil pushers. I don’t think your average Jane really gets how ridiculous it is… yet.
My point is that if you reduce the red tape (and deadweight loss) there are actually people who want to sell, but wont sell if they are losing a ton of money on the sale. Reduce the loss and more supply appears.
In the US this is a huge issue. If you switch cities twice and sell each time, your entire downpayment has disappeared in fees/taxes. You literally have nothing left to buy your next home with. So people stick around in houses they dont want in cities without ideal jobs because they have no choice.
It is not that there are people that aren’t selling, it’s that there aren’t enough houses for the number of people in the country. House prices have risen enough to cover all of the fees, except that there is nowhere in the country you can move to where this isn’t happening.
(And if they are choosing to rent after they sell, that just shifts unaffordable home prices to unaffordable rents, as rental demand increases without a corresponding increase in supply.)
I've sold 3 houses myself, and bought 3 without a broker.
They are doing work, so the real question is whether you feel they are overcharging or not for whatever it is that they do.
Also, I think you meant to say "you lose practically every buyer WITH a buyer agent". This has not been my experience.
I disagree. Depending on the jurisdiction (in the US), part of the issue is the 10% net loss you end up with. 5-6% on the agent fee(s), another 1% on "mansion tax", in NYS/NYC there is a 1% and 1% transfer tax and 1/2% mortgage tax. Different jurisdictions are less (or more). Throw in more for the lawyer and you're down 10% on the sale. The sales agent fee seem fair for tough markets but even 1% sales agent fees seem preposterous given the market. If the house flips in 1 day, how is that worth 5 or 6%? These days people are negotiating that down to 4% but even that is preposterous given the market.
The problem with the extra 5 or 6% agent fees is: that people dont want to buy/sell as much, because you're effectively losing 20-30% of your 20% down equity on the sale (you'll lose more on the buy with the the 1-2% Title Insurance.) Effectively, you're losing half your 20% down equity.
Of course then...even if sellers want to sell, they dont because they need to bypass the frictional hurdles. Because if you sell and host half your 20% down equity, how the heck do you buy the next home?