This should be and opportunity to catalogue just exactly who the oligarchs are and what are their assets and how are they affected.
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/02/11/politics/executive-order-...
So any hit to a Russian Oligarch can eventually lead to a personal hit to Putin.
However, with all the resources of an entire nation under his singular pudgy fist, im sure he has plenty of shell-assets all across the west.
Also, ne thing we are not talking about is how the Russian mafia is profitting.
There is a huge Russo-Israeli mafia (speocifically in NYC (Kutchner fam)) and they apparently own a ton of real estate in NYC. This is who co-opted 1980s Dnald Trump...
If you arent familiar with this part of history, its been well hidden - but the Russo-Israeli Mafia in NYC is powerful. Follow the money and all that...
The human cost of all of this is going to result in a shitstorm of suffering on the part of young russian women as human trafficking is going to spike in the next ~18 months.
But if we still fear the atomic war, he can still threatens Europe with that.
There’s no defence against submarine based warheads; enough will get through.
It’s the reason that NATO isn’t going establish a no fly zone over Ukraine. They know it too.
The guy is 70 years old. An old, lonely, bitter man. His wife left him in 2013 and his kids are far away from him. All his Wealth is blocked, he will never be able to enjoy his life outside of his little empire. He has nothing to loose.
He could choose the bunker, but maybe he decides to bring the whole world with him. And if he decided already, nothing that we do, will make him happy. We are just deciding to die without even a fight.
The song that describes Putin right now:
"I am alone, this bitter man that I've become Hold my breath, laid to rest Drown in my tears, there's nothing left of me I am alone, the angry man upon his throne I can't pretend, the great descent Take my hand until the end You see me on the horizon I am the air you breathe I sold my soul to the seven seas Condemned and lost, pulled off course I will never leave, I'm always yours"
Any given day - Bitter Man
I can’t see what he has to gain from this war. There’s no upside for him.
All I can think is that he’s got something like Parkinson's, knows he’s on the way out and just wants throw his weight around one last time.
Honestly though your guess is as good as mine.
Cornering a dictator with a nuke is the stupidest foreign policy I can think of.
So, you can try to claim that Russia doesn't have oligarchs, but if they exist you can't say that they don't run the country.
EDIT: For example, if the country is run by the military as you say, then the top leaders of the military would make up the oligarchy and each of them would be an oligarch.
I'm unsure how any dictator could run a country in the absence of some form of supporting oligarchy.
Wonder who are the oligarchs of USA by that definition?
An American billionaire is a successful businessman. A Russian billionaire is an oligarch.
* Make life unpleasant enough for the oligarchs that they replace Putin with someone less intent on ruining the nice thing they had going.
* Handicap Russia's ability to wage war. This includes eliminating their ability to buy supplies and destroying their morale.
It's the second goal that is, in my mind, the motivation for the economy-destroying sanctions.