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Re:Estonian Cargo ship sinks off Odessa after explosion, cre... by waffleiron on Thursday March 03, 2022 @12:50PM (#30544186)
I am not sure how much I would trust the Ukraine military on matters that make Russia look bad. However it's last port call was Chornomorsk/Odessa at 20 Feb, and it doesn't seem like the best time to leave. So I assume they left for a reason. Odessa seems to be still under Ukrainian control, but there have been reports that it would be Russia's next target, so it's possible it was trying to avoid the invasion.

I also would be careful with AIS data right now, it's easy to spoof and has been done so very recently in the black sea (https://www.maritime-executive.com/article/hackers-deface-ai...)

Re:Estonian Cargo ship sinks off Odessa after explosion, cre... by okl on Thursday March 03, 2022 @12:56PM (#30544295)
In the same vein it's possible that the Russians decided that they don't want that ship to possibly resupply the Ukrainians and therefore decided to shoot it. We won't know for sure until the dust settles.
Re:Estonian Cargo ship sinks off Odessa after explosion, cre... by waffleiron on Thursday March 03, 2022 @01:01PM (#30544358)
The ship (supposedly) entered a Ukrainian port on the 20th of February. So any resupplying would have been done already. It's possible that they expected Ukraine to use it to smuggle something out of the country, but I find it hard to imagine what that could be.
Re:Estonian Cargo ship sinks off Odessa after explosion, cre... by whimsicalism on Thursday March 03, 2022 @02:05PM (#30545261)
Occam's razor they struck a mine