Re:RISC-V is succeeding
by gumby on Tuesday March 01, 2022 @11:14AM
(#30515968)
> Frankly, unless ARM does radically change their business model, I do not expect them to survive.
I kind of agree, but it’s not straightforward. ARM’s growth wasn’t so much a hockey stick as a more continuous curve with a small exponent. Yes, they only started in 1990, but that was itself a reboot/restart after acorn’s 12 years of effort. And they were scrambling hard for every deal for at least another 15 years.
The environment in which RISC-V emerged is different, of course, but many of the dynamics are still the same. Car companies were still using 16 and even 8 bit devices into the 21st century.
Secondly, ARM has a large arsenal of patents that go along with the license, and they continue to add to the load.
I bear ARM no ill will but I also want RISC-V to supplant them. I just don’t think it’s automatic.
I kind of agree, but it’s not straightforward. ARM’s growth wasn’t so much a hockey stick as a more continuous curve with a small exponent. Yes, they only started in 1990, but that was itself a reboot/restart after acorn’s 12 years of effort. And they were scrambling hard for every deal for at least another 15 years.
The environment in which RISC-V emerged is different, of course, but many of the dynamics are still the same. Car companies were still using 16 and even 8 bit devices into the 21st century.
Secondly, ARM has a large arsenal of patents that go along with the license, and they continue to add to the load.
I bear ARM no ill will but I also want RISC-V to supplant them. I just don’t think it’s automatic.