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Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by azinman2 on Thursday February 24, 2022 @02:34PM (#30459173)
Except Putin has been negotiating with all the other western leaders to avoid this for the past couple weeks, and each one basically failed. Doesn’t that seem different?
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by jacquesm on Thursday February 24, 2022 @04:01PM (#30460213)
Those weren't negotiations, they were misdirection.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by azinman2 on Thursday February 24, 2022 @04:04PM (#30460257)
This isn't my point. My point is the GP said this has been forecasted for many years now so people stopped paying attention. However, these talks with other nations ARE new and were highly stressed as important to avoid war. That hasn't been the case for years now.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by jacquesm on Thursday February 24, 2022 @04:30PM (#30460572)
It was forecast for many years, the question many have is why it took as long as it did, I'm still not sure about that. I think it was maybe because Putin was counting on Trump winning re-election that he thought he had plenty of time.

As for the talks:

They were instrumental in getting away with the attacks, Putin played that for all it was worth, taking a leaf right out of Hitlers playbook.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by boredumb on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:10PM (#30460981)
"I think it was maybe because Putin was counting on Trump winning re-election"

This is the sort of rhetoric that is why no one believes the media, too much fear of sounding unhinged and delusional.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by jacquesm on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:13PM (#30461027)
I don't see what is unhinged about it: it was a pretty closely contested election and it could have easily happened. Which would give Putin a chance to do this without any fear of interference. Brexit certainly helped him as well.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by tomp on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:28PM (#30461208)
So you're still pushing the crazy conspiracy theory that Trump was Putin's puppet?

The more likely explanation is, IMO, that Trump was just unhinged enough to actually do something, unlike the mellow Biden, who'll obviously just sit and wait (or, well, sleep).

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by outworlder on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:49PM (#30461988)
Nothing crazy about it.

Trump praised Putin at every turn (even did that again today and called the invasion "smart"). Went against NATO. Had closed door meetings and got rid of the transcripts. Asked that the US ambassador to Ukraine be fired. Wanted dirt on Biden in exchange for releasing the (congress-approved) military aid to Ukraine. And so on. An entire book could be written on this based only on public information.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by __blockcipher__ on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:58PM (#30462055)
https://youtu.be/Vpwkdmwui3k?t=133

If Trump is Putin's puppet why did he publicly criticize Germany for being overly reliant on Russian pipelines for their energy needs?

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by waffle_maniac on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:37PM (#30461303)
What? Trump had an anti-war platform. That’s why his response to Iran was so weak (and why he allowed them to return fire to save face).

Also, he let Erdogan do whatever he wanted. And the Saudis. He didn’t care!

And even if you don’t believe that, Trump is currently okay with the invasion.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by tomp on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:43PM (#30461374)
Trump has an anti-war, contain the bully platform.

He introduced new sanctions for Iran and killed one of their highest ranking officers. Precision strikes instead of wasteful wars.

Turkey and SA are US allies, Trump just continued that long-standing policy, as does Biden.

> And even if you don’t believe that, Trump is currently okay with the invasion.

Quote? Trump said Putin's "pretty smart", which, judging by their progress towards Kyiv, and the lack of response by the West, well, you can't say it's not smart (at least in the short term... long term, remains to be seen).

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by tomrod on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:45PM (#30461943)
For you and parent commentator: the topic of the thread is Ukraine's invasion by Russian imperial forces.

Let us not devolve into the Rorschach test that is Trump's administration and our personal interpretations. It serves no purpose but to feed relative trolls.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by waffle_maniac on Friday February 25, 2022 @10:20AM (#30468169)
> For you and parent commentator: the topic of the thread is Ukraine's invasion by Russian imperial forces.

This is a sub thread discussing some nuance of how we got to this point.

> Let us not devolve into the Rorschach test that is Trump's administration and our personal interpretations.

I don't appreciate the gratuitous insult that we can't objectively discuss the actions of a past president.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by tomrod on Friday February 25, 2022 @10:45AM (#30468477)
> I don't appreciate the gratuitous insult that we can't objectively discuss the actions of a past president.

Regardless of any point made on the subject, what one side considers objective, the other side considers biased and tainted. Your rejoinder on the existential insult (though a consequence of human nature) is noted -- and your wish shared that we could exist with any real semblance of objectivity. We primates aren't objective creatures when it comes to arguments that at least one side has turned its axioms into articles of faith.

For the record, I expect we agree substantively on an analysis of Trump's presidency, both in terms of motivations, outcomes, and impacts.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by Broken_Hippo on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:55PM (#30461492)
A disingenuous negotiation isn't actually a negotiation. Pretending it is to prove someone else wrong seems strange.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by fsloth on Thursday February 24, 2022 @03:34PM (#30459914)
No. Putin pretended to negotiate while the attack plan moved on.

All of those negotiations were a strategy for confusion, not solution.

Putin never intended anything else than an attack.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by squarefoot on Thursday February 24, 2022 @04:07PM (#30460297)
Also it appears the metadata of the video of his speech just before the attack indicates it was actually shot 3 days earlier, which illustrates even further that any resemblance of negotiations were just smoke and mirrors.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by pasabagi on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:10PM (#30461616)
Or... you pre-record both 'attack' and 'no-attack' speeches ahead of time, because you know the actual moment will be very stressful and you won't have time.

'Negotiations as misdirection' makes literally no sense. Who would he be misdirecting? Nobody is coming to Ukraine's aid.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by fsloth on Friday February 25, 2022 @04:22PM (#30472524)
If he said for example a day earlier "I will attack" NATO countries could have moved a few troops to protect their embassies pre-emptively, which would have likely been a very shrewd de-escalation, as attacking NATO troops directly would have risked an unintended escalation.

After he has attacked, he has the initiative, and can threaten ww3 if any NATO troops enter the combat zone, and a few troops are not much use anyway.

Timing.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by tomrod on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:46PM (#30461953)
He clearly misdirected Ukrainians.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by woodruffw on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:53PM (#30462016)
> 'Negotiations as misdirection' makes literally no sense. Who would he be misdirecting? Nobody is coming to Ukraine's aid.

The US waited until the actual invasion began to impose serious sanctions. Misdirecting for a few days could easily have bought Putin enough time to make arrangements for both his personal and national finances. That's idle speculation on my part, but it doesn't seem terribly unlikely.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by baq on Thursday February 24, 2022 @03:48PM (#30460083)
exactly right. fx levels, bond sales, gold stockpiling, this was planned for years in advance, in anticipation of financial sanctions. he has a very, very assymetric risk/reward in this war.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by pc86 on Thursday February 24, 2022 @03:00PM (#30459483)
If Putin actually wanted to avoid invading a sovereign nation in violation of international law, all he had to do was... not invade a sovereign nation.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by temp8964 on Thursday February 24, 2022 @03:50PM (#30460107)
He was forced to invade Ukraine because he didn’t get what he wanted. /s
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by dragonwriter on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:17PM (#30461677)
And what he wanted was NATO backing off so that he was more free to invade neighbors, not just Ukraine.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by waffle_maniac on Thursday February 24, 2022 @02:48PM (#30459331)
How is demanding the end of NATO via an outside party having veto control over membership "negotiating"?

It's very obvious that his demands are impossible. Putin is really a master at playing people. It's kind of shocking people are _still_ falling for it.