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Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by shagmin on Thursday February 24, 2022 @10:57AM (#30456160)
Russia has grown its gold reserves drastically over the last decade, has relatively little debt and is increasingly trading with China without using US dollars at all.

I'd say they've anticipated those serious economic repercussions to some extent. But I also suspect Russians may be more willing to tolerate things such as a weak economy if it helps achieve other goals. I kind of see it like a parallel with Russia shooting a bullet at its own economy, while the Soviet Union in the 20th century shot plenty of bullets at its own people...for various reasons.

Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by kjkjadksj on Thursday February 24, 2022 @12:21PM (#30457484)
I thought the last round of sanctions was so inpactful because they targeted russian oligarch investments rather than the russian state. Hurt the oligarchs and they get angry with putin.
Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by vernon99 on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:03PM (#30461558)
It's proven to have an opposite effect. Cutting their ties with the west just consolidates their loyalty. It's painful for them once that happens, but long term effects are actually not serving the purpose.
Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by cjrp on Thursday February 24, 2022 @11:31AM (#30456665)
Isn't something like 1/3 of their GDP energy exports though? Presumably most of the customers are European.
Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by wbsss4412 on Thursday February 24, 2022 @11:48AM (#30456936)
The flip side of that is that the Europeans are heavily dependent on those exports.
Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by smoe on Thursday February 24, 2022 @01:05PM (#30458053)
Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission said they have spent weeks prior to this getting assurances from other countries to increase their gas deliveries. They named Azerbaijan, Egypt, Nigeria and Norway.

She said, they are now in a state, where they can't be pressured trough gas deliveries from Russia. Whether this is true, I have no idea.

Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by caeril on Thursday February 24, 2022 @02:11PM (#30458874)
Weeks? JFL.

You can't build LNG transfer depots to replace half of your pipeline deliveries in years, let alone weeks.

Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by smoe on Thursday February 24, 2022 @02:30PM (#30459112)
Just passing on what was said, I don't have much knowledge on this topic. As I understood, they were implying importing more gas from other countries on existing infrastructure, not building entirely new one.

Looking at this, Russian LNG imports makes up 20%. Doesn't seem to be completly impossible for the other countries on that list to cover for it at maybe a higher price. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=51358

Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by cjrp on Thursday February 24, 2022 @11:55AM (#30457071)
True, ultimately it comes down to which country is more willing to let their population suffer. I know where my money is.
Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by wbsss4412 on Thursday February 24, 2022 @11:57AM (#30457107)
It’s not even about that.

It looks like Putin is making the correct calculation that the west would suffer more.

Look at the Chinese reaction, it is very unlikely he would be making this move without at least tacit Chinese support. He has an outlet for all of that energy and grain.

Where will Europe recover that supply from?

Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by Fatnino on Thursday February 24, 2022 @12:26PM (#30457554)
From wherever China is buying it now.
Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by wbsss4412 on Thursday February 24, 2022 @12:29PM (#30457589)
You mean like Iran?

Oil is fungible to a significant degree, but oil politics are not.

Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by posix_me_less on Thursday February 24, 2022 @01:00PM (#30457990)
Are you sure? Now Iran suddenly seems more likeable partner for oil trade than Russia. And Europe always wanted the JCPOA deal.
Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by wbsss4412 on Thursday February 24, 2022 @01:10PM (#30458116)
Yes, except now the Iranians also suddenly have significantly more leverage in negotiating a new treaty. Coming to a timely agreement there is not a foregone conclusion.

The key balance here is with the Iranians and the saudis. In all likelihood the nato response hinges on how much support they can count in the Middle East.

Re:Russian forces invade Ukraine after Putin orders attack by cheaprentalyeti on Thursday February 24, 2022 @01:41PM (#30458492)
We're relatively economically powerless here. We've spent the last thirty years deindustrializing on behalf of China, which runs a trade surplus of a trillion dollars a year with the United States and can afford to use to keep Russia afloat in spite of whatever sanctions we think we can push.