Re:Underdispersion in the Covid19 case/death numbers may sug...
by timr on Monday February 14, 2022 @10:36AM
(#30333243)
> I take great issue with the word known up above.
It's a quote from the abstract. I didn't write it.
> Somebody would need to do a deep dive into this data, but I'd say that this study is alarmingly starting with a premise that is not proven and may be completely false.
This paper introduces no new data. It takes an existing data set, and runs a statistical analysis on it.
Re:Underdispersion in the Covid19 case/death numbers may sug...
by whimsicalism on Monday February 14, 2022 @10:40AM
(#30333304)
This is not really discussed (for somewhat obvious reasons), but economic decline is associated with a decline in all-cause mortality, not an increase.
I take great issue with the word *known* up above.
Somebody would need to do a deep dive into this data, but I'd say that this study is alarmingly starting with a premise that is not proven and may be completely false.
If there are excess deaths in poor countries, are they likelier to come from Covid or economic devastation imposed by things like lockdowns, cutting off tourism income, and other economic restrictions? In rich countries, the average person was not close to not being able to acquire a meal at the start of Covid. In poor countries, even in good times being able to put food on the table is a real concern for average people, let alone after 2 years of super limited tourism and various lockdowns and economic restrictions that worsened many peoples' already precarious situations.