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Re:You cannot police misinformation in a fair, reproducible,... by zimpenfish on Wednesday February 09, 2022 @05:36AM (#30271142)
> Stuff happens in politics. Things change.

"FBI Director going rogue the week before the election" isn't something you could factor into a prediction because it just hadn't ever happened before. It'd be like trying to factor in "What if an asteroid hits Kansas the week before?"

Re:You cannot police misinformation in a fair, reproducible,... by chmod600 on Friday February 11, 2022 @09:32PM (#30309380)
By itself, that's unlikely. But the point of black swans is not that a particular thing will happen, but that there are zillions of low-probability events and they add up to a high probability.