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Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by hughrr on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @10:43AM (#30179139)
I think full self driving is the same distance away as cold fusion.
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by geocrasher on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @10:51AM (#30179222)
And when we get it, it's more like Cold Fusion. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ColdFusion_Markup_Language
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by hughrr on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:01AM (#30179360)
Please don’t insult CFML by comparing it to something that puts the user at risk and crashes every five minutes ;)
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by gerikson on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @10:50AM (#30179215)
But is it closer than Linux on the desktop?
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by mrtranscendence on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:07AM (#30179439)
Well, Linux on the desktop is always this year. So it's closer than fusion, which is always ten years from now, and maybe closer than fully autonomous Teslas, which is always a year or two from now. At least the Steam Deck won't make rolling stops.
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by hughrr on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:04AM (#30179406)
The irony of this is there is probably more Unix on your wrist than Linux on the desktop.
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by mrtranscendence on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:12AM (#30179523)
As someone who's heavily bought into the Apple ecosystem, I'm surrounded by Unix all the time, technically. On my wrist, in my pocket, on my lap. And I'm surrounded by Linux, too, at least at work. But Linux on the desktop? How delightfully absurd!

Nah, I really want my next PC build to run Linux. But that'll have to wait a while ... just paid $4k for a vacation. My girlfriend wasn't sympathetic that $4k would pay for an awesome rig instead.

Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by hughrr on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:18AM (#30179618)
I tried Linux on a fairly hefty Ryzen rig recently and it was the usual shit show. HiDPI doesn’t even work properly with wayland yet. My next $4k rig is going to be an iMac.

Typing this on my iPad in a hotel. That’s the life.

Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by mrtranscendence on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:30AM (#30179792)
I'm sympathetic, and I don't think I'd ever run Linux as my primary compute. But as a secondary machine that gives me a chance to tinker where failure doesn't really matter, it seems viable.
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by hughrr on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:32AM (#30179831)
I just rent mine from Linode. Less capital risk then.
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by mook on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:33AM (#30179839)
Linux on the desktop is already here in the form of WSLg, and will be even more popular once Android support rolls out (though that's probably more useful on tablets anyway).
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by lariati on Thursday February 03, 2022 @09:51AM (#30193125)
Already here. I am writing this on KDE Plasma.

The amount of other people reading this on a linux desktop is 100% irrelevant to me.

Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by wefarrell on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:16AM (#30179585)
Cold fusion is a hoax. Did you mean regular fusion?

Both Cruise and Waymo are legally operating cars without drivers that are available to the public today.

Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by natch on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:27AM (#30179744)
Whoosh (first part). I think that was their point.

In one sense the cars are not available to the public.

They are available as services of course, so you’re right in that sense.

But we do not know what is going on in the background (such as a team of “safety drivers” monitoring every inch of the drive with the ability to do who knows what at any time).

As far as I can tell, Cruise has an appearance of autonomy to reap the benefits of the PR around that. With the safety drivers (by another name perhaps, to hide their role) not physically present in the car, but connected over a network and operating behind the curtain. All of hacker news has fallen for this hook, line, and sinker.

Waymo is another story. With a restricted sandbox, it’s essentially a shuttle, not a car.

Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by wefarrell on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:57AM (#30180221)
The saying is that fusion (not cold fusion) is always 10 years away. It’s not a hoax but it always seems slightly out of grasp. We are far closer to self driving cars than we are towards regular fusion as we’ve had working prototypes for decades. There hasn’t yet been a break even fusion reactor prototype.

Cruise launched publicly in San Francisco yesterday.

I believe both they and Waymo are using remote safety drivers but at a ratio of one for every 20 cars on the road and they expect that ratio to continually decrease over time.

Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by FridayoLeary on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @10:55AM (#30179275)
Both have been just around the corner since the 1970's. But just because they are obvious technologies it doesn't make them more feasible.
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by rootusrootus on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @10:59AM (#30179328)
> Both have been just around the corner since the 1970's.

Fusion, yes. Cold fusion, no.

Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by tiborsaas on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:20AM (#30179653)
Which law of nature self driving AI contradicts?
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by paxys on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:25AM (#30179721)
We know enough about the physical laws of nature that we can write them down and figure out where the limits of tech/automation are.

We know nothing about how the human brain works. True artificial intelligence/AGI (which is needed for level 5 self driving) is a pipe dream.

Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by tiborsaas on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:53AM (#30180136)
I'm sorry, but it's you who know nothing. Insulting entire fields is neither nice nor constructive.

Sooner or later AGI will be available, it's just a matter of time. It does not have to work like a human brain

Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by paxys on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @12:01PM (#30180283)
If you ask around you will see that my thoughts are shared by most people actually working in the field. It's the enthusiasts/fans who think we are on the brink of the world they see in sci-fi movies.
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by tiborsaas on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @12:29PM (#30180760)
Here's a list of nothing where nobody figured out anything:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outline_of_neuroscience

I didn't ask around, but I did watch quite a few science lectures/talks by reputable scientists about how the brain and our mind works.

I also did not make any claims other than suggesting that self driving AI will eventually be possible since there is no natural law that prevents it.

Being skeptical is okay, but you might need to back up your claims.

Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by hughrr on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:27AM (#30179742)
Probably the one that attempting to process an unconstrained system in a constrained model, regardless of the method, always results in unhandled edge cases. Apply tons of metal and fragile entities made of meat to the problem and someone’s going to get hurt.
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by tiborsaas on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:58AM (#30180237)
This is true for human brains too. Not surprisingly you are more likely to cause an accident if you are driving in a new environment, like in a heavy snowfall on an icy road, if California is your only driving experience so far.

In finance they say past performance does not indicate future success, same should apply to AI in both directions. Just because its applications were too narrow in the past predicts nothing about the future.

Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by dylan604 on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:49AM (#30180077)
The law of human nature
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by YXNjaGVyZWdlbgo on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @10:51AM (#30179226)
AI is like graphene it can do anything in the lab.

EDIT: thx

Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by CultMember009 on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:39AM (#30179927)
I think you meant graphene.
Re:Self-driving Tesla does 'the craziest things you can imag... by drcongo on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @11:54AM (#30180159)
Graphene?