News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by heavyset_go on Sunday January 23, 2022 @08:32PM (#30052618)
> If the government intervenes, it would undermine the free market.

The "free market" without regulation is mythic ideal that's never actually existed. Regulations are necessary to maintain healthy markets, and markets rely on states to enforce the terms that make trade and markets possible.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by Diesel555 on Sunday January 23, 2022 @08:57PM (#30052782)
I wish more people understood that markets include government regulation to ensure they operate in a competitive way. In a competitive market there must be so many buyers and sellers so that each has a negligible impact on the market price [1]. Obviously governments try to prevent monopolies to uphold this assumption. Regulation must also prevent market failures. Such failures occur with externalities. The most famous example being a factory that pollutes the environment thus producing negative health effects on people but incurring no cost for that damage without government intervention. Another example of a failure is information asymmetry (the doctor that recommends a procedure he knows you don't need but you trust him for his information) which is illegal.

My point is, markets do include government regulation. Academic debate is not centered on whether or not markets include government regulation by microeconomics definition. The debate is how much, where, when and how. If "free market" is defined as no government intervention, it is not an accepted practice and even conservative economists would not recommend it. I think there is a reason the term "free market" is not included in my microeconomics textbook. We look for a competitive market (described by the desired result), not a "free market" (described by the methods, not the result).

[1] Mankiw, Principle of Microeconomics 8th edition

[dead]
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by Diesel555 on Sunday January 23, 2022 @11:27PM (#30053747)
You in no way responded to the content in my post.

"free speech" and "free markets" are completely separate topics which may or may not be mutually exclusive, both of which are studied well academically. I make no claims on free speech. I simply provided a basic academic background to markets in microeconomics.

Then you provide random sayings to try to discredit my post which have no logical connection to my content.

There is a lot of ignorance in economics. And while ignorance is okay, I am ignorant in a lot of fields, ignorance without recognizing what you do not know is dangerous. This is a well studied field and America's founders even agreed government should have some say in markets. Here is a well cited source for that, search for "free markets". Of note definitions are important and clearly the authors of the link below include government regulation in a "free market" which the definition I gave and the one you responded to do not.

https://www.heritage.org/political-process/report/the-econom...

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by jlcoff on Monday January 24, 2022 @03:30AM (#30054864)
You can argue as must as you want about the legitimacy of my comment. "Regulations" and "free market" are mutually exclusive.
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by A_non_e-moose on Monday January 24, 2022 @05:01AM (#30055492)
Consider this: a) literally zero government intervention. b) some government intervention, to keep the market competitive, as described above. c) total government control.

What do you, jlcoff, call a)? If I understood you correctly, it's "free market". What would you call b) and c) then?

There is no doubt that a) is strictly incompatible with any government regulation or intervention. Label those two concepts however you want, but I don't think anyone argumented against that.

A lot of people seem to use "Free Market" for b) instead of a) and that is confusing.

I agree with Diesel555's idea of calling b) a "competitive market" as it avoids a labeling confusion between a) and b).

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by jlcoff on Monday January 24, 2022 @02:03PM (#30062289)
b) and c) are either socialism or cronyism, or a variant of fascism (which is in its core a non-USSR controlled / nationalistic socialism).
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by unionpivo on Tuesday January 25, 2022 @11:45AM (#30074041)
Market is regulated by its very definition.

If it was completely unregulated, the person with the biggest gun would just take everything he wants.

It was always abut where to draw the line.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by badRNG on Sunday January 23, 2022 @08:43PM (#30052688)
Free markets have a well established, well understood "tendency towards monopoly." A truly free market is one dominated by cartels [0] (not to be thought of as something unique to the drug industry.) The market forces that spur innovation like competition, absent a government that intervenes, best resolves competition through either ceaseless merging or subsumption of the competition. The domination of markets by cartels is seen in countries whose governments have either been effectively captured by industry or are otherwise incapable of intervening in the affairs of the market. Prior to antitrust legislation, cartels dominated industries at the dawn of the capitalist economy.

Merging with competition allows both players to charge more without providing greater value, which is always the best option for both players.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cartel

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by AnthonyMouse on Sunday January 23, 2022 @09:01PM (#30052801)
> Free markets have a well established, well understood "tendency towards monopoly."

There is actually a lot of debate about what causes this.

The argument on one side is, of course companies unconstrained by laws would collude with each other to fix prices etc.

The argument on the other side is, as soon as they start doing this it becomes profitable for someone else to enter the market. Is the cartel charging $40 for something that should cost $20? Go around to all the customers and tell them you'll sell to them for $25 tomorrow if they agree to a long-term contract today to buy from you at that price. Then you have enough guaranteed customers to pay off your new factory, so you can build it without being bankrupted by the incumbents slashing prices. And because anyone can do this, the incumbents don't collude to charge $40 to begin with because they know they would invite it.

Under this theory, monopolies form because of regulatory capture. The large incumbents don't want to compete in a commodity market, so they pay off the government to erect barriers to entry. Then once no one new can enter the market, they can buy each other or collude or use conscious parallelism without risk of new competitors.

It seems to me that it's kind of both. Without the second one, companies would rarely if ever get big enough that no one could compete with them. But once they are, somebody's got to break them up.

Most importantly, we need to fix the regulatory environment so that it facilitates rather than impairs competition, or it will just happen again.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by adrianN on Monday January 24, 2022 @03:04AM (#30054726)
Entering a market is not free. Suppose you want to start a chip business because the small handful of existing manufacturers have formed a cartel. To be competitive you need hundreds of billions in starting capital and you must be able to survive price dumping longer than the members of the cartel.
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by AnthonyMouse on Monday January 24, 2022 @01:14PM (#30061528)
This is the purpose of the contract. You have to spend $200B, so you go to several large customers and sign contracts contingent on your ability to supply which will guarantee you $300B in future revenue. Now you can raise funding against the guaranteed revenue and the dumping can't change that because the contracts are already signed.

To prevent this the incumbents could go in and undercut you before you actually build anything, but that's not much of a cartel anymore then. Anyone could "compete with them" just by threatening to raise funding.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by fn-mote on Sunday January 23, 2022 @09:21PM (#30052943)
> Go around to all the customers and tell them you'll sell to them for $25 tomorrow if they agree to a long-term contract today to buy from you at that price.

This argument seems tenuous. I see the customer's risk. Where is your risk?

A source with details of this argument would also help. If you have are an economist, please mention it - I'll take the argument more seriously on your say-so.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by AnthonyMouse on Sunday January 23, 2022 @10:00PM (#30053215)
> This argument seems tenuous. I see the customer's risk. Where is your risk?

The purpose of the contract is to reduce your risk. The original problem was that if you built the factory intending to sell for $25, the incumbents could reduce the price to $20 or $15, i.e. below your cost. Then you could never recover your initial investment and the high probability of that happening would deter you from entering the market to begin with.

The customer takes the risk because if you don't enter the market, they're paying $40 to the incumbents.

> If you have are an economist, please mention it - I'll take the argument more seriously on your say-so.

Professional economists have a reputation that compares disfavorably with psychics and astrologers. If an economist gives you your horoscope, make sure to get a second opinion. If the second opinion is from another economist, expect it to be different.

"The track record of economists in predicting events is monstrously bad. It is beyond simplification; it is like medieval medicine." -Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by jquery on Sunday January 23, 2022 @11:48PM (#30053849)
Companies hire economists and pay them handsomely. They do no such thing with psychics or astrologers. So the market sees value in economists.
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by AnthonyMouse on Monday January 24, 2022 @12:47AM (#30054110)
The sector employing the largest number of economists is universities. The second largest is banks. Banks are the things that keep blowing up the economy.
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by rendall on Sunday January 23, 2022 @09:38PM (#30053069)
What's the risk to the customer? They get a $25 thing tomorrow or they pay the normal price.
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by midasuni on Monday January 24, 2022 @01:44AM (#30054345)
They go bust as the cartel drops to $20, so the company locked into $25 is paying over the odds compared to competitors
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by random314 on Sunday January 23, 2022 @10:24PM (#30053379)
Match.com continued success while actively ruining products it acquires is a stark counter example
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by AnthonyMouse on Monday January 24, 2022 @12:52AM (#30054136)
They keep buying them but people keep making more of them.

Where this serves as an instance of irrationality is that the investors in Match keep allowing them to spend money acquiring more products to ruin, as if This Time Things Will Be Different. What they ought to do is spin off what they already own with the hopes that someone less incompetent could potentially un-ruin some of them.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by random314 on Monday January 24, 2022 @01:19AM (#30054230)
Match.com investors are very clever and rational. Match.com business model is clear. Milk users for money with market segmentation. Building a good product will not make them any money. It will financially ruin them.

The core functionality of these apps is very cheap to build, ideally these apps should be near free.

What match.com does is capture the network. When a new cheap and better network appears, they offer the founders the kind of cash that simply cannot be earned by running their original network. For eg, okcupid was free. There was no way to make money from it. And then as per their plan - they ruin it.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by AnthonyMouse on Monday January 24, 2022 @01:34AM (#30054296)
So why are VCs not lining up to create a dozen new dating sites and take all of Match Group's buyout money?

1) Make a non-ruined dating product.

2) Get users. Should be easy because the incumbents are intentionally ruined and turnover is high.

3) Profit. (Match Group buyout)

Worst case they run out of money and you have a successful dating product which continues to siphon their users because it's the non-ruined one.

Not sure why it's so hard to make money from something like that. Sell flowers and chocolate and movie tickets to a captive audience. Do promotions for entertainment venues. Be Groupon for dating stuff.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by random314 on Monday January 24, 2022 @05:00AM (#30055486)
You can't click your fingers to produce a dozen new dating sites every year because of network effects. There can be at most one new successful dating site every year, which the 30B$ match group can buy out for 300M$.

The math you are proposing simply doesn't work.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by AnthonyMouse on Monday January 24, 2022 @01:07PM (#30061434)
> There can be at most one new successful dating site every year, which the 30B$ match group can buy out for 300M$.

Then why aren't they asking for more money? Match Group to maintain their $30B enterprise has to buy you out or you by being a non-ruined dating site will destroy their entire company by out-competing them. That should be worth substantially more than 1% of the company. (It also seems to be that it is; Tinder got $3B.)

Match Group owns more than 45 subsidiaries. Obviously the size of the network necessary to be viable would support more than one other challenger. But if there were 15 each of size similar to their own subsidiaries, they'd still have to buy all of them or whichever ones they didn't buy would continue to eat their market share by being non-ruined, and then have to be bought for a higher price later.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by random314 on Monday January 24, 2022 @02:04PM (#30062296)
I am not really sure where you are going with this, but the reality speaks for itself.

Match makes shitty products optimized for revenue. Good dating products optimized for users have low revenue and valuation. Match acquires virtually all of them and keeps its monopoly alive and thriving.

There is no point arguing with reality.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by AnthonyMouse on Monday January 24, 2022 @07:31PM (#30066242)
The premise isn't that someone with a lot of money can't buy up all the existing participants in a given market. It's that if they do, new competitors will keep appearing. Which we see happening.

The question is, how does that turn out? The theory says people should keep creating dating products to make Match buy, because it costs less to do than they have to pay. That doesn't mean it happens instantaneously. It doesn't mean they can't buy some of them. But it's an evolutionary process. They buy the ones they can buy, until one shows up they can't. Maybe because there are too many of them. Maybe one gets too big too fast. Maybe the owners are some stubborn purists who refuse to sell. It hasn't happened yet doesn't mean it won't.

Apparently Facebook is getting into the dating game. They already have the network effect and Match doesn't have the money to buy them. Facebook sucks, but now where's your monopoly?

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by random314 on Monday January 24, 2022 @08:03PM (#30066506)
You are arguing using a hypothetical future which doesn't even remotely exist.

And what's to stop FB dating from sucking. So the final solution is to replace one monopoly with an even bigger one? That's just talking out of both sides of the mouth.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by heavyset_go on Monday January 24, 2022 @02:30AM (#30054551)
> The argument on the other side is, as soon as they start doing this it becomes profitable for someone else to enter the market. Is the cartel charging $40 for something that should cost $20? Go around to all the customers and tell them you'll sell to them for $25 tomorrow if they agree to a long-term contract today to buy from you at that price. Then you have enough guaranteed customers to pay off your new factory, so you can build it without being bankrupted by the incumbents slashing prices. And because anyone can do this, the incumbents don't collude to charge $40 to begin with because they know they would invite it.

The Phoebus cartel[1] existed for quite some time, and its operation contradicts this argument. They captured the world-wide light bulb market with agreements between manufacturers. It took WWII to put a dent in it.

Today, you can look at the price fixing that happens in the mobile app store and payments markets. 99% of each market is dominated by a two company duopoly. Prices in those markets have remained steady for over a decade, and any changes to pricing and terms are adopted in lockstep between Google and Apple. They've effectively captured 15% to 30% of all revenue collected in mobile apps.

Neither cartel relied on regulatory capture, but both cartels recognized that without collusion, it would be a race to the bottom if they compete on price, so they became complicit in ensuring that doesn't happen. It only costs so much to make a light bulb, download an app or process payments.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phoebus_cartel

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by AnthonyMouse on Monday January 24, 2022 @01:31PM (#30061808)
> The Phoebus cartel[1] existed for quite some time, and its operation contradicts this argument. They captured the world-wide light bulb market with agreements between manufacturers. It took WWII to put a dent in it.

They had intended the cartel to last for thirty years (1925 to 1955). The cartel ceased operations in 1939 owing to the outbreak of World War II.

So they didn't actually last all that long.

Both organisations co-ordinated the trading of patents and market penetration.

Patents are a government-granted monopoly.

> Neither cartel relied on regulatory capture

This is not remotely true for Apple and Google. The laws are written to allow them to exclude competitors. Why doesn't Amazon buy a bunch of iPhones and modify the software to include the Amazon App Store and then sell them to customers? Laws prohibit this.

And then it's the same situation again -- copyright too is a government-granted monopoly. Finding that a monopoly exists where the government prohibits anyone from competing with them was the original theory. Let's have 14 year copyrights again and see how the monopoly holds up when Apple has to compete with a fork of the original iPhone which would be out of copyright by now.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by siruncledrew on Monday January 24, 2022 @01:23AM (#30054258)
I highly doubt the government's core stance is "Heavens no, we can't intervene in the free market!" when the market is not even a literal "free market" to begin with. That's more a theoretical concept than a practical implementation.

To the government: i) they get a ton of John Deere lobbying dollars, ii) John Deere can always loom the potential of lost jobs over politicians' heads, iii) Farmers are not happy yet still begrudgingly using the system so things are not totally falling apart.... and, of course, iv) this matter doesn't really effect politicians personally.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by ashtonkem on Monday January 24, 2022 @12:36AM (#30054066)
Also, the idea that government intervention damages the "free market" implicitly relies on the idea that the market and the government are two distinct and potentially antagonistic entities. Personally I'd argue that they're symbiotic at best; you generally don't get country wide markets without governments either purposefully creating them, or accidentally creating them in the process of trying to do something else.
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by sithlord on Sunday January 23, 2022 @10:50PM (#30053531)
I kinda agree, and kinda don't. Often regulation (sometimes unintended) creates situations where companies basically have a walled garden, without these regulations - they wouldn't be able to do what they do. Think electric companies in a lot of places, they put in regulation to protect these companies, presumably because its such a significant start up cost to get going. But somehow these utilities can continue fighting for 0 competition - from a legal standpoint.
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by toolz on Sunday January 23, 2022 @08:46PM (#30052722)
These claims, while they might have some or even a lot of merit are demonstrably false (as they are made seemingly without exception or nuance). There is a very healthy and active black market, for example among plenty of other examples.

It seems rather disingenuous to make such fantastically bold claims as statements of understood fact. I can't imagine what sort of dialog you were hoping to encourage.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by badRNG on Sunday January 23, 2022 @08:50PM (#30052741)
Black markets can be thought of as truly free markets that are free from antitrust action. These markets, if permitted to exist for an extended period of time, are dominated by cartels. "The Little Guy" doesn't get to be disruptive in black markets, because they are fully captured by cartels that will squash, subsume, or merge with any meaningful competition.
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by HWR_14 on Monday January 24, 2022 @02:32AM (#30054559)
I'm pretty sure there isn't a free black market. I'm fairly sure drug dealing is very regulated by armed forces in any geographic region and historically most major criminal enterprises are similarly regulated.
Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by danny_codes on Sunday January 23, 2022 @09:35PM (#30053048)
Do you have any economic source or model that supports this claim?

Economic orthodoxy, in all cases I've ever encountered, do not support your claim.

Re:Alabama farmer sues John Deere for ‘right to repair’ by toolz on Sunday January 23, 2022 @10:10PM (#30053284)
An economic source that the black market is alive and healthy? I'm not sure what you're asking for to be honest - I don't think anyone contests the fact that the black market has been growing for a very long time.