The California reform was initiated in March of 2021. This Union Pacific letter suggests UP has collected early data since those reforms have lead to more crime. At this point the reforms appear to be correlated with the issues they are seeing and that it really ramped up in October of 2021.

"In October 2021 alone, the increase was 356% over compared to October 2020. Not only do these dramatic increases represent retail product thefts – they include increased assaults and armed robberies of UP employees performing their duties move.

These individuals are generally caught and released back onto the streets in less than twenty-four hours... Even with all the arrests made, the no-cash bail policy and extended timeframe for suspects to appear in court is causing re-victimization to UP by these same criminals."

Agree - its early data collected and correlation does not equal causation but the bail reform proponents should be investigating if more if/else/case statements need to be added to the underlying bail-reform feature codebase to prevent site outages being reported by power end users.

I'm hopeful that they are.

See the other thread for more nuanced commentary - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29990457