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A comment on More Americans are saying they’re ‘vaxxed and done’. Parent comment

Re:More Americans are saying they’re ‘vaxxed and done’ by 1123581321 on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @03:03AM (#29888830)
It comes from a disbelief in natural immunity that is more prevalent in the US. I believe it’s due to our policy of not accommodating prior cases of COVID on vaccination records, unlike countries with more sophisticated record-keeping. It may also be due to what I perceive to be a culture preference for premium manufactured solutions in this wealthier, highly industrialized country (c.f. our relationship with health food vs. healthy eating.)

If you believe prior cases of COVID don’t affect your survival rate in subsequent cases, and that there will be an infinite number of similarly deadly successive variants, then you conclude that most unvaccinated people will eventually get the variant that kills them.

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Re:More Americans are saying they’re ‘vaxxed and done’ by nomel on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @03:32PM (#29897414)
> then you conclude that most unvaccinated people will eventually get the variant that kills them.

I think this makes three large assumptions:

  1. That natural infection doesn't result in durable immunity. This appears to be, unquestionably, not true [1].

  2. Those that are unvaccinated will not get a natural infection. This is exceedingly unlikely, assuming they're living normal lives.

  3. Vaccines will be constantly updated. This appears to be true, with a large time delay (see omicron vaccine being worked on now).
1: https://www.science.org/content/article/having-sars-cov-2-on...
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