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Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by Swenrekcah on Thursday December 02, 2021 @05:09PM (#29423445)
The goal is to keep serious cases to a minimum so they don’t clog the healthcare system thus making people die of all sorts of other things because they couldn’t be treated.

Vaccines do help with that, tremendously.

Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by klipklop on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:19PM (#29424341)
>The goal is to keep serious cases to a minimum so they don’t clog the healthcare system...

Reminds me of 2 weeks to flatten the curve. Yet here we are. Why all the sudden are we at risk of clogging the healthcare system with some areas hitting 70%+ adult vaccination rates? Germany already has given out 124,401,062 doses of the vaccine. All I ever see is the goalposts being moved with this stuff.

I have taken the vaccine, but I am hesitant about mandates and vaccine passports.

Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by kelnos on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:27PM (#29424433)
I find it exhausting that people such as yourself seem to latch onto missed time frames as a reason to just assume all public health policy is bullshit. Yes, because when I say I'm going to finish some software project in 2 weeks, I absolutely always get it done in 2 weeks.

These are estimates. They are sometimes (often!) wrong. Sometimes they're wrong because the problem was underestimated. Sometimes they are wrong for political reasons.

Yes, "flattening the curve" took more than 2 weeks. Big deal. Doing so did absolutely reduce pressure on ICUs and saved many lives. And hell, if everyone had actually followed all the mandates and guidelines at the time, maybe it would have only taken two weeks. But people don't, and it's always hard to gauge how many people will refuse to cooperate, and in what ways, and exactly what effect that will have.

The reason the goalposts are moving is because this isn't a well-defined game with strictly-set rules. The virus doesn't care about our rules or projections. If it mutates, and the new variant does better against our vaccines, then... yes, the goalposts will move. Our utter failure to get high vaccination rates in poorer countries is likely a big cause of the new variants. It's all well and good to be sitting in a highly-vaccinated city in the first world, but all it takes is one person to fly in from somewhere with a new variant, and you're hosed.

Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by poszlem on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:54PM (#29424732)
You miss a time frame if you say "2 weeks" and end up having to lockdown for 3 instead. If you say "2 weeks" and end up with lockdowns for years you are either incompetent or lying or both.
Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by kelnos on Thursday December 02, 2021 @07:46PM (#29425197)
"Years"? We haven't even had the pandemic for "years", let alone lockdowns.
Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by TheRealNGenius on Friday December 03, 2021 @03:55AM (#29427994)
"1.5 years", nearing in on "2 years" as opposed to "1 year"
Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by Swenrekcah on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:34PM (#29424509)
I agree, it's getting old and we want to move on.

If we look at the numbers for Germany they're now getting 60 thousand cases per day, which is three times more than any previous period.

More cases mean more people in hospitals. The situation was bad last winter, it can get worse fast. Now, of course many are vaccinated, so that drops the likelihood of hospitalization, but unfortunately for them 30% of people are still unvaccinated. So I can understand why they're nervous.

The thing about the vaccine also is that the effects drop with time unfortunately, so people need boosters. I've already gotten 3 shots and expect there will be more.

If we aren't to keep the world in lockdown, we need people to be out and about, but vaccinated, so this can truly be treated like a few bad flu years in a row.

Until the virus hopefully mutates towards a less severe thing and we can stop talking about it.

Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by the_why_of_y on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:40PM (#29424594)
The initial estimate was that 70% of population (not only adult) would be sufficient to achieve herd immunity, but the problem is that while the initial virus had R_0 of 2-3, the Delta variant's is about 6.
Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by TurkishPoptart on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:09PM (#29424200)
Sure, yet since when do I have to undergo an irreversible medical procedure for the sake of the government healthcare infrastructure?
Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by Swenrekcah on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:15PM (#29424292)
I'll start by saying I haven't been a supporter of vaccine mandates. It's best if people can make this up for themselves. Given the right information it's not really a hard choice. And of course there can be personal reasons why it'd be wise to not get vaccinated, but those are rare.

The procedure is benign. Describing it as irreversible is technically true but practically it's scaremongering.

And it's for the sake of the people around you. Your society. So they don't die waiting for their healthcare services to unclog. Edit: And it's also obviously for the sake of the person getting vaccinated, let's not forget that :)

Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by TurkishPoptart on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:27PM (#29424434)
Because, sadly, we know that's not true anymore.

>...fully vaccinated individuals with breakthrough infections have peak viral load similar to unvaccinated cases and can efficiently transmit infection in household settings, including to fully vaccinated contacts. Host–virus interactions early in infection may shape the entire viral trajectory.

Source: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...

Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by Swenrekcah on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:38PM (#29424568)
Yes I know, it was clear early on. The study also says:

>Although vaccines remain highly effective at preventing severe disease and deaths from COVID-19, our findings suggest that vaccination is not sufficient to prevent transmission of the delta variant in household settings with prolonged exposures.

Which is what we're talking about here, preventing serious cases.

Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by chki on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:16PM (#29424305)
Since we have a global pandemic. This is a completely novel and unusual situation, why wouldn't you think that the solutions will be novel and unusual as well?
Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by TurkishPoptart on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:28PM (#29424442)
Because we know that the mRNA vaccines won't effectively end the pandemic and only provide a prophylactic benefit at best.

>...fully vaccinated individuals with breakthrough infections have peak viral load similar to unvaccinated cases and can efficiently transmit infection in household settings, including to fully vaccinated contacts. Host–virus interactions early in infection may shape the entire viral trajectory.

Source: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...

Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by mynameisvlad on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:42PM (#29424615)
Good is the enemy of great.

That benefit is hardly "at best". That's a fantastic intermediate step. Why is it decried as horrible just because it's not the final solution to the problem?

Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by codr7 on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:15PM (#29424285)
Source?

From listening to nurses and doctors, I get the impression that most people in hospitals with Covid-issues lately are vaccinated; and I trust real people with real experiences over authorities with agendas.

Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by usr1106 on Thursday December 02, 2021 @06:51PM (#29424689)
> I get the impression that most people in hospitals with Covid-issues lately are vaccinated

I read some statistics over that the other day. It is correct when looking only at hospital patients.

The explanation is that most who need hospital care come from a risk group. And risk groups are fully vaccinated by over 90% (here). So you end up with high absolute numbers of vaccinated hospital patients.

If you look at a somewhat comparable group of people, chances to need hospital care are manyfold for the unvaccinated. It's true for higher risk groups and for lower risk groups.

Vaccinations are not perfect protection against anything, but they reduce risk by a high factor.

Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by codr7 on Friday December 03, 2021 @01:37PM (#29433437)
Wasn't filling up hospitals the problem we were trying to solve by vaccinating people in the first place?

Isn't that the excuse people use to harass anyone who doesn't feel like being experimented on for profit?

[dead]
Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by Swenrekcah on Thursday December 02, 2021 @05:42PM (#29423851)
You can look up all the statistics on vaccine effectiveness against serious cases. They work really well for that. They don’t work as well as first hoped against infection but data on third booster suggests better results on that front.

Look it up instead of asking me for proof, while you yourself are restating hearsay originating from who knows where.

Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by prohobo on Thursday December 02, 2021 @05:47PM (#29423908)
I asked if you can prove that they stop hospitals from being overwhelmed, not whether they were effective. So far it's not looking very good, is that why you support the decision to mandate the shots?
Re:Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan t... by Swenrekcah on Thursday December 02, 2021 @05:54PM (#29423995)
I'm not sure I support a vaccine mandate. I'm just saying that the vaccines work and it's foolish to claim otherwise.

I can understand hesitation to get vaccinated, but I'd like to ask those same people if they take any other medicine at all and if they have read the pamphlet that comes with those.

Also I'd like to ask if they are fine with getting a completely alien and known harmful substance into their body, the substance we call Coronavirus.