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Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by mikewarot on Monday October 25, 2021 @02:05PM (#28991105)
It slowly dawns on the population that a great many of us have had a few decades slashed off of our lifespan by the after-effects of a disease that some of us still refuse to believe in.

There are likely millions in the US who are now functionally 20+ years older than they were a year ago. It's going to take a decade for this knowledge to diffuse through to everyone as the funerals of young people become the new normal.

There is a very small chance that the narrative of how this disaster happened is properly known, most likely it will continue to be buried.

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Computers still won't have capability based security, and the slow moving disaster will continue. We'll keep blaming C, programmers, hackers, and users... all the wrong causes.

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Democrats will fail to accomplish any of their stated goals (which suits the donor class just fine), and the other team will win a lot of seats. Donor control over government continues intact. In 2024 control flips, and the story repeats.

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Slowly evidence emerges that there have been many overunity devices invented in the past century that were suppressed to keep the status quo going in the fossil fuel industry.

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There's a small chance the donor class loses control... and it could go poorly.

Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by dude187 on Monday October 25, 2021 @02:32PM (#28991413)
> It slowly dawns on the population that a great many of us have had a few decades slashed off of our lifespan by the after-effects of a disease

A few decades? Do you have a citation on that?

Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by HappySweeney on Monday October 25, 2021 @02:48PM (#28991578)
You can't cite a self-made prediction.
Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by dude187 on Monday October 25, 2021 @03:33PM (#28992095)
Well I guess I was assuming the prediction was the realization, not the claim for harm. I predict the opposite, that the vast overreaction taken by much of the world will become to apparent to deny. Yet we'll be in too deep for most to admit it.
Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by mikewarot on Monday October 25, 2021 @03:41PM (#28992170)
The phenomenon of Long Covid - leaving people with symptoms that doctor's write off as anxiety due to its novelty. Eventually we're going to learn a whole new level of stuff about how the body and immune system work as a result of studying it, but the awareness has to come first, and it's against narrative for both mainstreams to talk about it.
Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by dude187 on Monday October 25, 2021 @03:57PM (#28992347)
So your prediction is that long covid slashes decades off of life expectancy?
Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by mikewarot on Monday October 25, 2021 @04:06PM (#28992478)
Yes, it certainly feels like it. Leading to the prediction.

If you look through all the reasonable predictions made in the 2020 predictions threads for the coming decade, there were only 3 mentions of pandemic, none of them close to being on point, and that had actually already started. Thus, if you want to actually have a chance of predicting things, you have to go out on a limb.

Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by TechBro8615 on Tuesday October 26, 2021 @11:26AM (#29001559)
How do you differentiate between long covid and a bunch of hypochondriacs?

If you haven't noticed, people love to feel fear and anxiety.

Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by dude187 on Monday October 25, 2021 @06:48PM (#28994139)
I predict we'll get more and more evidence that "long covid" isn't as real as people think it is.
Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by foobarbaz33 on Monday October 25, 2021 @11:28PM (#28996087)
Some young people get heart damage from covid. Where the blood doesn't circulate properly afterwards and stays stuck in the heart where it can harden. For the unlucky a serous heart issue brought by covid could shorten life span by decades

Some people still have not had their sense of smell or brain fog clear. People who experience these side effects have their brain literally shrink in size. These symptoms are real. Whether these symptoms lead to early death is speculation. But the calling them not real is as much denial as saying Covid itself is not real.

Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by muzani on Monday October 25, 2021 @07:36PM (#28994583)
I don't necessarily think it's long covid but also the damage that comes from being brought back from near death. The stats cover deaths and recovered, but rarely show "not fully recovered".
Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by hidden-spyder on Tuesday October 26, 2021 @07:41AM (#28999115)
> Slowly evidence emerges that there have been many overunity devices invented in the past century that were suppressed to keep the status quo going in the fossil fuel industry.

Can you elaborate this? I didn't understand much of it.

Re:Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022? by mikewarot on Tuesday October 26, 2021 @02:07PM (#29003928)
Throughout my life I've heard rumors of people who invented 100 MPG carburetors, or other types of devices which would radically improve efficiency, or allow for freedom from the petrochemical supply chain, or power grid. There are obvious problems with any devices which actually claim to produce more power out than in, but there can be systems which actually do it by a yet undiscovered mechanism.

For example, the carbon capture threads in the past two weeks seem to be over-unity, but in an obscure way. I suspect the ultrasound and silver nanorods floating it gallium might be involved in some form of sonoluminescent fusion events, the energy of which is captured in the splitting of CO2 back into carbon and oxygen.

I suspect that because the world is actually starting to die off due to the gigatons of CO2 we've dumped into the atmosphere, this (the Carbon capture/gallium thing) might be a trial balloon by the group that controls these technologies, having hoovered them up across the past century, to see how they can keep profits while slowly letting their dependence on fossil fuel profits give way.

I'd give that a 50/50 chance of reflecting reality. If true, the future will get better. If I'm wrong, and it's a fun tale to tell at parties as the world burns.