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Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by Ericson2314 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:13PM (#28855486)
Well yeah, Bezos has been on a Musk-envy mid-life crisis the last few years.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by wonderwonder on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:16PM (#28855510)
yeah, I came out of that viewing with a reduced opinion of Bezos and it may not be fair to judge him based on just a moment. Musk seems to approach space as a serious thing with deep existential consequences to failing. This is not to excuse Musk who has a litany of personality flaws but it just seems that one is a serious person and the other is not.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by CapitalistCartr on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:19PM (#28855539)
Space IS musk's business; Bezos is playing. His business is Amazon, and always will be.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by ulfw on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:25PM (#28855606)
and Tesla is just a toy or what.

Come on.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by ASalazarMX on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:44PM (#28855802)
Elon has said from the start that his end game is Mars colonization. All of his other enterprises are means to achieve that.

He sounded like a loon back then, but not now.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by Ericson2314 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:05PM (#28856064)
Still feel like Venus is the more serious option

Mars is easier to "practice on", and get some toy colonies going, but once scale starts to matter, Venus is better.

At some point, you rather have too much energy and good self-sufficiency at geological scales, than too little energy and bad self-sufficiency.

Of course this stuff has been debated endlessly, but I do not recall reading the "Mars is the stepping stone, Venus is the real deal" needle thread.

If Musk was serious, I think he would admit this, rather than hype-beasting the stepping stone and the real deal.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by BitwiseFool on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:36PM (#28856533)
I'm not sure what you mean with Venusian colonization. The surface is so utterly hostile that all probes we've managed to land only last for at most a few hours due to the intense atmospheric pressure, corrosive atmosphere, and temperatures hotter than the melting point of lead.

Floating balloons were considered, but it turns out those have a whole host of practical engineering concerns that rule them out. Plus, getting back into orbit is nearly impossible from said cloudtop balloons. You'd basically need a full sized orbital rocket like the Falcon 9 because the gravity is basically the same and the atmosphere is still a major concern.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by wonderwonder on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:25PM (#28856364)
Musk is ~50. His goal is to get a colony on mars. Mars is probably a lot easier to start with. Venus is a target probably 50 years after all of us have died. Its going to be the goal of someone that has likely not even been born yet. He is serious that's why he is aiming for an achievable goal. Venus is not an achievable goal with our technology level.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by Ericson2314 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:29PM (#28856411)
If he were to come out and say "Mars is the stepping stone that I can do within my lifetime, and Venus is the real goal we can only think about once we establish the demand on Mars, probably after I'm dead", that would be great and I would have more respect for him.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by 0des on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @07:54PM (#28858964)
The SSL cert in the 'employer' link on your profile is broken.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by bbarnett on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:46PM (#28855828)
Tesla is how you make everything for Mars. H2, petrol, they need O2.

Mars needs solar power, batteries, motors, and the ability to build vehicles of labour.

Guess what Tesla does? It supports Mars.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by ccozan on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:30PM (#28856434)
I said that many times to my friends, Musk has created an entire tech ecosystem that supports human life on Mars.

The gig with the android is the last piece: there are dangers in space, where humans are not safe. This is where this comes in place.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by WalterBright on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:35PM (#28855706)
> This is not to excuse Musk who has a litany of personality flaws

Geez. Who doesn't have personality flaws?

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by rootusrootus on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:49PM (#28856724)
We all do. Although I gotta say I haven't publicly called anyone a pedophile yet. Fans cut Musk a lot of slack, and they give him the benefit of the doubt way beyond what they'd give to just about anyone else.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by wonderwonder on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:40PM (#28855758)
We all do :) I was comparing two people and trying to make it clear I did not expect anyone to be perfect. I am personally a fan of Musk and think he is making the world a better place.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by mmmpop on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:53PM (#28855920)
Came to post this too. Bill Gates has plenty himself (and worse ones so far as I am concerned) but no one seems to mention that with the frequency they do Elon. Perhaps far fewer envy Gates' life compared to Elon's?
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by nuerow on Thursday October 14, 2021 @01:30AM (#28860806)
> Perhaps far fewer envy Gates' life compared to Elon's?

Well, for starters, unlike Elon Musk, Bill Gates does not have a track record of accusing emergency cave rescuers of being pedophiles.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by mmmpop on Thursday October 14, 2021 @10:19AM (#28864602)
Pretty shitty of him, totally agree.

Shall we get into what Bill Gates has been accused of? How about the things we know he did? I don't think that's necessary. Bill is a pretty bad guy, I don't care what kind of charity he's been running, just ask his wife.

I don't care about his foundations and charities. Philanthropic acts are the norm for someone who has been the richest human on earth and it probably offers him some relief when he tries to sleep at night. Also they're just stupendous tax shelters and ways to cushy jobs for people who do nice things for you.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by rootusrootus on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:51PM (#28856760)
Envy? Interesting accusation to throw out there.

It is more believable that Bill Gates isn't really in the news much these days, but Elon is.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by mmmpop on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:09PM (#28857771)
Just look at Bill and listen to him speak... that guy ain't talking his way into any romantic adventures if he weren't a gazillionaire.

Elon's hair plugs aside, at least he's got a personality and isn't the ugliest guy in tech.

So yeah, I'm coming from it totally from vanity but we're all human right? You couldn't pay me to be Bill Gates but I'd trade lives with Elon, no doubt.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by rootusrootus on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:05PM (#28858245)
Heh, I wouldn't take either one's life, for any amount of money. Now, if I could have 0.1% of either of their money and quietly continue to live as I do now, sign me up!
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by GDC7 on Friday October 15, 2021 @05:35PM (#28883386)
> Just look at Bill and listen to him speak... that guy ain't talking his way into any romantic adventures if he weren't a gazillionaire.

Yeah, Musk is a real charmer, with his stutter, he's worse than Biden and he's 35 years younger than him.

Also behind the scenes Bill Gates has a personality and then some.

More F-bombs were dropped in Microsoft board meetings than Stratton Oakmont's .

You have to read Paul Allen's 2011 book: Idea Man.

Of course an elder statesman can't go on live tv and pull this sort of antics. Very much like Bellichick and Brady didn't go on TV to pull such antics. Doesn't mean that they (like Gates, Michael Jordan, Tiger Woods) don't have a personality or don't get laid.

Musk on the other hand loves to wear his WWE Vince McMahon costume and say controversial stuff, while stuttering.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by heurisko on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:20PM (#28855552)
> Musk seems to approach space as a serious thing

Musk sent a car into space as a publicity stunt.

My colleagues liked it, but I found it ... disappointing, that it seemed to signal an end of an era that did see space as a serious thing, like in the film For All Mankind.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by lapetitejort on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:27PM (#28855626)
> Musk sent a car into space as a publicity stunt.

I'd say maybe 10% of that stunt was for publicity. The rocket had to be tested, it had to include a payload, and sending a suit to space provided extra data as well.

edit: let's also not forget that there always been an element of humor in spaceflight. Apollo 10's callsigns were Snoopy and Charlie Brown. Watch the funny moonwalk videos. Read transcripts of flights. It's okay to have a laugh in space. The astronauts who make it to Mars will sorely need it.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by wincy on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:42PM (#28855784)
I mean, peoples lives are at stake. When you’re doing something so impossible and so dangerous, a little humor really helps.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by heurisko on Thursday October 14, 2021 @02:06AM (#28861006)
> I'd say maybe 10% of that stunt was for publicity.

It was the dominant media image at the time. It was 100% publicity.

There is a difference between convivial behaviour between people on a mission, and a stunt by a private company.

I find the Pioneer Plaque cool and thought provoking. Launching a roadster into space? Not so much.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by adwn on Thursday October 14, 2021 @02:58AM (#28861301)
> I find the Pioneer Plaque cool and thought provoking. Launching a roadster into space? Not so much.

Maybe the inscription on one of its PCBs will stimulate your unprovoked thoughts: https://i.redd.it/7agxu1qjdz071.jpg

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by reaperducer on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:41PM (#28855772)
let's also not forget that there always been an element of humor in spaceflight

It's like the internet used to be in the old green screen and bang paths days.

I remember everyone from DARPA on down had wonderful senses of humor. Today, even on HN which is supposed to represent the best of the internet, humor is largely frowned upon, or replaced with anger.

Hopefully this slow opening up of space to the masses won't mean making everything sterile and boring, like happened to the 'net.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by FourHand451 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:28PM (#28855632)
I've never quite understood why a lot of people found launching the car to be so egregious. The first launch of a rocket routinely carries a "test mass" of some kind, which I understood to usually be a boring hunk of metal, or at least something that wouldn't be a great loss if the rocket failed. Putting a car on there didn't seem like a frivolous waste, as it would be unlikely for a customer to put forth a serious payload for the debut Falcon Heavy launch.

Yes, it was kind of meme-y and marketing-y. But it is a business, and I also don't think being serious about something means you can never make a joke about it.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by bbarnett on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:50PM (#28855876)
In Canada, a few years back, disaster preparedness exercises were to be held by a branch of the government.

The point was to test emergency response, processes, etc.

To make it fun, they chose zombies as the cause. Within a week of the media hearing of it, the entire exercise was canceled.

Zombies, plague, natural disaster, nuclear accident, it mattered not, the tests were for existing response mechanisms, but oh no! Can't be fun!

Bah.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by danellis on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:35PM (#28855716)
He's like Doc Brown. "The way I see it, if you're gonna make a payload out of a car, why not do it with some style?"
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by heurisko on Thursday October 14, 2021 @02:51AM (#28861267)
> But it is a business

This is why I was disappointed, because it marks a departure from things auspiciously done with consideration "for all mankind".

A publicity stunt I wasn't disappointed in, was the twitter account for the Philae Lander. It also got a lot of media coverage. https://twitter.com/philae2014

The point isn't humour, rather the context. One stunt is for the benefit of a business, with what I find dubious goals for launching a rocket to start with, the other, to promote a project for "all mankind".

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by _jal on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:38PM (#28855738)
I think a lot of people are just grossed out by the symbolism.

Destroying a car that retails for years of many folks' income in a flashy, ostentatious manner is going to look like lighting cigars with $100s to many people.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by TeMPOraL on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:55PM (#28855941)
Except the car wasn't destroyed, it's actually flying out there - and maybe, one day in the future, someone will retrieve it.

(I could understand people complaining about symbolism of sending a sports car, of all things, to be a first private industry artifact in interplanetary space. But this doesn't seem to be a majority complaint.)

Also: even the boring test mass payload would also cost "years of many folks' income". Not even counting the integration. Big things just costs big money - that's life for you. If someone is so sensitive about this, they probably shouldn't watch anything related to rockets at all.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by _jal on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:57PM (#28855971)
> even the boring test mass payload would also cost

Of course. I'm not talking about considered opinion, just knee-jerk human reactions to headlines.

You can tell people they're wrong if you want. Let me know how that goes for you.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by adwn on Thursday October 14, 2021 @03:00AM (#28861313)
> You can tell people they're wrong if you want. Let me know how that goes for you.

Yes, let's instead all nod and smile to people's inconsiderate knee-jerk reactions. Let me know how that goes for you.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by thepasswordis on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:13PM (#28856197)
>Musk sent a car into space as a publicity stunt.

This just seems like such a stretch for something to get mad at Elon about.

They needed to test the rocket. They used a couple of flight-proven (used) boosters that their competitors all would have throw into the trash, and instead of flying a hunk of concrete, flew one of Elon's cars.

The car, by the way, is symbolic in that it did usher in the end of ICE vehicles. Other companies tried to do EVs and failed, Tesla made it happen.

Is it really better if the car had sat in a museum instead? What better symbolism could there be than to put it into a sort of museum in orbit around our sun? The day we are able to go and visit that car will be another hugely symbolic turning point for humanity.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by LeifCarrotson on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:08PM (#28856100)
Would you rather he'd sent a block of precisely-weighed concrete into space, like other dummy payloads on other booster tests? I disagree that it's worse to send a publicity stunt instead of something more...respectful?...boring and completely useless.

I do agree that there are better things than publicity stunts to do with dummy payloads. You don't need to launch a multi-million-dollar satellite, but it would be low risk to launch a low-cost payload with corner reflectors for laser identification and distance measurement, chirping radio transmitters, or sensors, clocks, or radios for telemetry.

You can construct a Cubesat for on the order of $10k, but it used to cost 10x that to launch and now costs about that much for a SpaceX rideshare to SSO. Surely you could construct something with at least a little utility to use as a dummy payload.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by zlsa on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:44PM (#28857468)
I can't find a source for this info at the moment, but I believe Gwynne Shotwell saying that they'd actually approached NASA (and possibly other customers) and asked if they'd like to fly anything on the Falcon Heavy demo mission. Clearly, nobody took them up on the offer.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by spookthesunset on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:28PM (#28855633)
Wait until they land their first Mars rover. I wouldn’t be surprised if 25% of the available power gets dedicated to AV gear to send near real time HD 4K video back to earth. ‘Cause cool videos are what gets people excited and paying attention. And I for one can’t wait!
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by rsj_hn on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:32PM (#28855677)
There's always been a large performative aspect to all things space related. Even the original space race was basically an odd performance, similar to a sports performance (hence the "race"). What it showed us is that these types of performances are deeply satisfying to the public, which gives hope to those who refuse to view human beings as purely caring about their own material situation or personal comfort. A lot of national treasure and even some blood was spent on that "race", and still it is quite popular.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by wonderwonder on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:30PM (#28855645)
I thought launching the car was genius. It captured the attention of so many people that otherwise would not be interested in the launch. Parents saw it as a way to capture their kids imagination (at least I did). Something had to go up, may as well not waste the experience. Wonder how many of Space X's contracts are a result of that moment.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by ceejayoz on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:23PM (#28855585)
They had to launch a test payload. Might as well make it a fun one too.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by bpodgursky on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:52PM (#28855902)
Musk offered NASA and the military a free satellite launch on the Falcon Heavy test, with the caveat it might blow up.

They didn't bite.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by wly_cdgr on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:29PM (#28855641)
Serious != humorless
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by zlsa on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:30PM (#28855653)
It was a test launch. The alternative would have been a block of metal.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by khazhoux on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:12PM (#28856170)
I don't understand this narrative. Does Musk now own the private pursuit of space travel? Was he the one who kickstarted X Prize or SpaceshipOne 20 years ago?

Somehow Musk is a hero for SpaceX but Bezos is a wannabe for Blue Origin? Makes no sense.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by dev_tty01 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @08:55PM (#28859364)
Bezos and Blue Origin have been trying longer than Musk and Spacex but BO still hasn't even gotten to orbit. Of course they are wannabe's. What else would you call them? They wannabe as successful as SpaceX but they are nowhere close on any useful metric.

SpaceX doesn't own space, of course not. But BO isn't even a serious player yet despite 21 years of effort. SpaceX got to orbit on the fourth flight attempt, after 7 years of effort. Despite Bezos' protests to the contrary, it isn't even a contest.

Plenty to not like about Musk, but SpaceX is enormously successful.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by snowwindwaves on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @09:48PM (#28859689)
Wannabe's is pretty harsh for a group of people that started first and achieved their goals second.

Wannabe's never do the thing. They don't seriously try to do it. I have no reason to defend bezos but people made a serious effort there and they would not be wannabes even if they failed

I'm a wannabe for launching weather balloons and model rockets with my kids from the comfort and security of my well paying public sector job

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by dev_tty01 on Thursday October 14, 2021 @01:10AM (#28860725)
I appreciate your point. Upon reading my post, I should have limited the term wannabe to Bezos in regards to building a space company. I should never have faulted hard working engineers making a serious effort to accomplish something noble. The fault, as always, is most likely with management.

However, I do not agree with your definition of wannabe. You can seriously try to do something and still be a wannabe. Bezos has seriously tried to do this, but I don't think he can cope with the notion that while he is enormously successful (by many metrics) at Amazon, he may not be the right person to lead a space company.

Webster's definition of wannabe 1 : a person who wants or aspires to be someone or something else or who tries to look or act like someone else 2 : something (such as a company, city, or product) intended to rival another of its kind that has been successful

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by PeterisP on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:47PM (#28856697)
One aspect is that SpaceX actually succeeded in getting to space (orbit is what counts for the purposes of doing something useful in space or going any further in space, suborbital hops for tourists might technically check the box but is a dead-end) and Virgin Galactic and Blue Origin did not, despite starting earlier, making them at least in part actual "wannabe's" who have the desire to do what SpaceX does, but are not able to (at least for now).
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by adwn on Thursday October 14, 2021 @03:08AM (#28861346)
> Was he the one who kickstarted X Prize or SpaceshipOne 20 years ago?

SpaceshipOne's design was a stroke of genius for the purpose of winning a narrowly defined contest. It is, however, a deadend when it comes to the pursuit of space travel: it can't even reach the Kármán line, let alone do any space travel (which requires orbital speeds at the very least), because it doesn't scale up.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by mehphp on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:24PM (#28856343)
My take is that both Musk and Bezos are megalomaniacs. However, Musk at least _appears_ to genuinely care about space travel and it's implications for the future of humanity.

For Bezos, it's just a dick measuring contest (and apparently influences his phallic rocket ship designs).

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by WalterBright on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:40PM (#28857404)
Envy has driven much of mankind's progress. Evolution provides us with these emotions because they work.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by GDC7 on Friday October 15, 2021 @05:39PM (#28883437)
That's right. For the competitive people out there, you must know that when you are suppressing envy and being happy for other people's success you might be losing the competition against those other people. They might have the fastest car or the biggest house and that might sting, but you are showing the middle finger to Nature and/or God which is a much bigger achievement.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by snowwindwaves on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @09:51PM (#28859707)
what else have envy and greed driven? What would the world look like without those inate human emotions? It might be a simpler place but potentially the worst of history could have been avoided.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by WalterBright on Thursday October 14, 2021 @12:50AM (#28860631)
> What would the world look like without those inate human emotions?

We'd be living nasty, brutish and short lives in caves.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by Ericson2314 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:29PM (#28855639)
I should make clear that I don't think Musk is good or anything, just that Bezos was jealous of the constant press and fan club.

Once narcissist infects spreads it to another, if anything.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by WalterBright on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:36PM (#28855724)
> I should make clear that I don't think Musk is good or anything

Why are you concerned others might think you think Musk is good?

I think Musk is good.

Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by JasonFruit on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:47PM (#28855843)
I don't care if Musk is good; I think he does worthwhile, cool stuff. His moral standing is no more interesting to me than yours.
Re:The Overview Effect – William Shatner's Words After Retur... by Ericson2314 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:08PM (#28856105)
I'm not concerned what other people think I think in this case, I just want to remind other non-worshipers that they are not alone.