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Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by prepend on Sunday September 05, 2021 @01:52PM (#28426187)
It’s easy to understand. If your customers won’t buy Mexican food at a high enough price to pay $20/hour, it’s better to close than to stay open and lose money.

Labor is the highest cost for a restaurant (higher than rent) so bumping wages from $15 to $20 may not be possible if you can’t also raise prices by 30%.

This may be hard to understand for us rich programmers. But it’s quite simple for companies that have really stiff price competition.

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by tayo42 on Sunday September 05, 2021 @01:58PM (#28426243)
You dont need to increase prices by 30% to raise the hourly rate from $15 to $20. Pay is like a fixed cost. If your cook makes 100 items an hour and you profit 1$ off each item. Your profit for the hour only goes down by $5 not by 33 cents per item
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by gruez on Sunday September 05, 2021 @02:20PM (#28426443)
But you also need to factor in the demand curve. Raising the price by 25% also means there will be less customers, which means your fixed costs (eg. rent, equipment) go up for each unit of good sold.
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by jzb on Sunday September 05, 2021 @02:42PM (#28426627)
Maybe? Maybe not. I'm not certain that restaurant owners know to the penny what people will or won't pay for this or that on a menu. It depends a lot on how cost conscious the customers are and other factors.

Try bumping up the wages and advertising the fact that you do pay a living wage, that might have some impact. My fiance and I try to choose restaurants that are locally owned and are known to treat staff well. (We have friends in food service, locally. Word gets around.) I doubt we're unique in this.

It does depend a lot on location and other factors - you're going to find more people willing to spend more in some areas than others. Other people are perfectly happy to go to restaurant X knowing they fuck over workers but have the cheapest menu.

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by neltnerb on Sunday September 05, 2021 @03:26PM (#28427014)
I think that most small restaurants tend to undervalue their food and service. Part of it is people's expectations, but even beyond that I believe they are so worried about going out of business that they try to run on the thinnest margins possible rather than raising prices by 50 cents and having some room for error.

There's also a lot of... this is how much it costs for me to make, so I should charge a little bit more. Where I think it should be... this is how much it would cost my customers to make in groceries and time.

When I eat out I almost only get food that is too inconvenient to make at home. I don't get spaghetti at the Italian restaurant, I get lasagna or stuffed shells or something that would take me hours of work at home. Yet, for a restaurant these are fairly easy items to cook because the time is less of a problem and are in many ways simpler for them to prepare because they are cooked ahead of time and reheated when ordered.

So for the restaurant, it makes sense to price a big plate of lasagna the same or lower than a plate of pasta they have to do more work on to serve. But to me the lasagna is worth more because it would take me at least 2-3 hours to make. So the restaurant sees it as a cheap thing while I see it as a valuable thing.

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by josephcsible on Sunday September 05, 2021 @06:29PM (#28428392)
> There's also a lot of... this is how much it costs for me to make, so I should charge a little bit more. Where I think it should be... this is how much it would cost my customers to make in groceries and time.

Your competitors would love it if you set your prices like that.

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by neltnerb on Sunday September 05, 2021 @11:25PM (#28429922)
Oh, no doubt. It's a difficult place to be, with no real margin for serious actual testing of what the price should be. It's too risky.

But I do think that they're subject to the pressure to under-price what they produce because to them it's easier. It's easy to discount your own labor when you think the job is easy.

Usually that perception of whether the job is easy is wrong.

In any case, I can't imagine a small restaurant having any way to seriously or accurately measure what their prices should be better than maybe a dollar. There's just not enough business to tell, and if you hit a bad region the place shuts down.

You can try setting it based off nearby businesses, but even then it's probably not better than a dollar of correct.

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by jimmaswell on Sunday September 05, 2021 @07:12PM (#28428649)
Every restaurant could raise every price on the menu by a dollar tomorrow and I wouldn't notice unless it was a soda or something. I'm highly skeptical a small increase in prices would drive people away. Like with minimum wage increases, every time it's allegedly going to be the end of small businesses in the area and then it never is.
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by Gibbon1 on Sunday September 05, 2021 @07:18PM (#28428694)
I remember an old lady talking about the diner her daughter and son in law were going broke running. She came in and raised prices 10 cents here, 15 cents there, and buck there. And after a few months the books were a lot better.
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by prepend on Monday September 06, 2021 @11:01AM (#28434333)
You wouldn’t notice, but many millions of people would. This is pretty established economic theory of supply and demand curves. Are you arguing that increasing prices doesn’t decrease demand?

Why do you think companies don’t just raise prices by $1, since jimmaswell won’t even notice it or care?

I’ve never heard that increasing minimum wage will be the end of small business, I’ve just heard that it will be incrementally harder to put those wages and number of jobs at the low end of the wage increase will go down. (And that’s what happens) Again, that’s a supply and demand thing.

Are you arguing that prices don’t have an impact on purchases? Again, how do you explain companies just increasing prices arbitrarily? What do you think stops them from doing this?

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by Sylamore on Monday September 06, 2021 @06:18PM (#28438740)
We used to go to Red Robin at least once a month. It would cost us about $30-35 to feed all 3 of us before tip. We stopped going regularly and recently went back on a whim. Our bill was for $60 for 3 burgers and (non-alcoholic) drinks, still before tip. Nevermind that they were obviously running on a skeleton crew. I can go to a fancier place like cowfish/bad daddies for a better burger and better experience that actually costs less, or go "cheap" to five guys or culvers or freddies.

I'm not sure what their reasons are for raising their prices so much compared to 5-6 years ago, but it will probably be a long time before we go back, the prices are just too high compared to other options.

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by jimmaswell on Monday September 06, 2021 @12:38PM (#28435421)
Small price changes don't necessarily always impact purchases, as in the example of the diner the other poster gave. You also wouldn't pass up a gum stick if it was 57 cents instead of 56, and you wouldn't buy more if they were 10 cents. There was a term for this in my economics class but I don't remember, essentially elasticity of demand is not always a perfectly continuous function in reality. Somewhere like Wal Mart might have the price figured out perfectly by their team of researchers but probably not most non-chain restaurants.
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by curryst on Wednesday September 08, 2021 @04:26PM (#28462592)
I'm with you, but others do notice. I know several people who will off-handedly comment on small increases in produce prices.

Likewise with items moving on/off the dollar menu at fast food places.

If there are 4 people in your family, that's an extra $4 at least, which is ~30 minutes of minimum wage, or about 1.25% of a week's pay before taxes. I'm not going to try to guess what portion of that hypothetical family's income is expendable, but if it's 1.25% of their total weekly earnings then it's probably a much higher percentage of their weekly disposable income.

If you've got $40 a week left over as disposable income, an extra $4 starts to seem like a lot more. In an economy where most people can't cover a surprise $200 bill, $4 means something to a lot of people.

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by prepend on Sunday September 05, 2021 @05:03PM (#28427767)
It’s not just cooks, there are many other workers in a restaurant. I don’t think you raise prices 33%. But labor is about 40% of costs.

So a 33% change in labor increases prices quite a bit. And if everyone increases labor costs, then that drives up food and other materials.

So you will easily see price increases of 15-25%. If my local Mexican restaurant increases prices by that much, I and many other customers will not go as much.

This is super simple Econ101 stuff. Your example is flawed as there’s more than just cooks and there’s not a profit of $1/item.

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by tayo42 on Sunday September 05, 2021 @11:25PM (#28429924)
My example was with simple numbers to illustrate a point that employee pay isn't directly tied to price of an item or the profit made. Also not every employee is paid the same. Maybe line cooks are getting a raise. Maybe the hostess doesn't expect one. Managers and what ever are already paid more.

> a National Restaurant Association publication that said the average restaurant runs about a 29.9 percent labor cost without taxes, benefits and insurance, and about 34 percent with taxes,

So your 40% number is way off. Also hourly rate doesn't effect other labor costs

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by jimmaswell on Sunday September 05, 2021 @02:02PM (#28426298)
McDonald's pays about 20% in labor costs, and from what I can see other restaurants also average 20-30%. Where are you getting that labor is the highest cost?
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by missedthecue on Sunday September 05, 2021 @03:25PM (#28427006)
Pretty sure he means highest of all fixed costs, not variable costs (COGS).
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by jimmaswell on Monday September 06, 2021 @01:36PM (#28436045)
I think anyone who's not deep in accounting would assume we're just talking about the simple sum of all expenses, not specifically fixed or variable. Like if over a month I paid $100 in rent, $100 in payroll, and $100 in new equipment, labor was 33%.
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by rubicon33 on Sunday September 05, 2021 @02:02PM (#28426292)
"Rich" programmers.

You know society is doomed when a wage supporting a middle class lifestyle is deemed "rich".

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by lotsofpulp on Sunday September 05, 2021 @02:15PM (#28426411)
> It’s easy to understand. If your customers won’t buy Mexican food at a high enough price to pay $20/hour, it’s better to close than to stay open and lose money.

I think the root problem is that most restaurant dining experiences are not worth the $30+ per person for enough people compared to cooking and eating at home.

I would like to see more places where you order at a register and bus your own food with minimal overheard and maximum investment in the quality of the food rather than the whole waiter and ambiance schtick.

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by yourapostasy on Sunday September 05, 2021 @06:13PM (#28428292)
> ...more places where you order at a register and bus your own food with minimal overheard and maximum investment in the quality of the food rather than the whole waiter and ambiance schtick.

This is currently a cultural non-starter except for niche markets, but once an economic crisis of sufficiently large and long duration is established, that model might work. Maybe. Look up any number of formerly-wealthy-now-poor nations, and I'm hard-pressed to recall any that adopted this model in the mainstream restaurant industry in that nation. Human culture changes are slow to arrive, and carry immense inertia.

I suspect the hyper-rationalization of markets is leading to continuous spectrum K-selection strategies that ultimately prove adverse to the overall market. All the monetization optimization (aided by the gradual incremental gains our industry delivers, however somnambulantly) is attaching a price to every factor that is priced, but under-pricing all non-priced factors (generally those on a long timeline like sustained incentives for young families to support future demographics, pollution, energy, etc.).

This optimization is blunted by currently-stronger cultural norms, especially those tangential or central to mating. It remains to be seen which force remains stronger over the long run (my personal bet is on the cultural norms).

Having said all that, I wouldn't mind at all patronizing a "meal plan" model-based co-op that lets me select 2-4 months in advance how many breakfast/lunch/dinner/brunch I want for a month, in a setting like you describe, a 1-3 minute walk from where I live, with online seating reservations, that operates 24x7x365, serving the locality's "home style" cuisine plus lots of greens. The business only lets in a dynamically-selected number of walk-ins, based upon seating availability and ML-projected food waste at that moment. The value proposition is trade off the customer-skin-in-the-game, fixed commitments for fresh ingredients freshly-prepared at near-home-prepared prices, with aggressively-amortized costs of running the co-op and its costs, thus able to pay fair wages for bare bones staff.

But I would be very surprised if there are enough potential customers like me in sufficient densities in even major metropolitan urban cores to make such a model feasible.

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by jclulow on Sunday September 05, 2021 @02:42PM (#28426625)
This is what happens in countries with higher labour costs, and it's basically just fine -- provided your core cultural experience doesn't drive you to expect a separate staff person to fill your water cup every time you set it down of course.
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by okaram on Sunday September 05, 2021 @03:34PM (#28427085)
How is this different than 'nice' fast food restaurants? Chainwise, Chipotle or similar?
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by antisthenes on Sunday September 05, 2021 @04:03PM (#28427297)
Chipotle is pretty much the only "eating out" experience I've engaged in since the pandemic started.

Somehow they managed to not raise their prices, or raise it insignificantly enough to where I didn't notice it (50 cents across the board maybe?).

For sit-down places, I frequently see price hikes of 20-30% since early 2020 and mandatory gratuity for parties of 4 now, which is frankly ridiculous, because the food quality stayed the same or has gotten worse. Not to mention that the whole experience of sharing an indoor space with an unknown demographic is dubious at best.

Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by pnutjam on Sunday September 05, 2021 @01:56PM (#28426224)
Honestly, it's better for these shoddy underpaid and low value places to close. They just undercut the good guys and slowly burn money.
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by varjag on Sunday September 05, 2021 @01:54PM (#28426212)
The competition recruits from the same labor pool, I don't think we misunderstand anything.
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by mananaysiempre on Sunday September 05, 2021 @01:58PM (#28426240)
The demand may just go elsewhere, like “screw it, I’ll just go to the supermarket”—not sure how plausible that is in a US context specifically, but surely there’s a possible world where the majority of people just stop eating Mexican or even most street food.
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by tarr11 on Sunday September 05, 2021 @02:04PM (#28426322)
We stopped eating out nearly as much during the pandemic and replaced it with higher quality groceries and prepared foods from delivery services.
Re:It's not a labor shortage – it's a wage and workers right... by mananaysiempre on Sunday September 05, 2021 @02:22PM (#28426460)
I’m sure a lower-quality segment will emerge once the whole thing has time to equilibrize :) And in some places the social aspect is not insignificant. (In others you’re better off without it, true.)